Texas, 2024Drought in Texas, November 1 to 12, 2024
November 1 to 12, 2024 · NWS AMA · 5 events in 5 counties and zones
With drought conditions worsening and expanding over the course of October, November showed up with historical drought busting rains. November falls within the 'dry' season for the combined Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles, so drought busting is not the norm in November.
Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 5
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
With drought conditions worsening and expanding over the course of October, November showed up with historical drought busting rains. November falls within the 'dry' season for the combined Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles, so drought busting is not the norm in November. Normal precipitation for November only ranges from 0.50 to 0.75 for the entire 30 day period. A historical eight to ten inches of rain fell across parts of the eastern and southeastern Texas Panhandle. Three official NWS Amarillo climate sites all broke their record November rainfall.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Amarillo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 31, 11:30 PM CST, 30 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 31, 11:30 PM CST, 30 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1230 AM CDT Fri Nov 1 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday night)
Issued at 131 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024
Though the surface high pressure will be well to our northeast by
tomorrow morning, surface ridging will extend southwestward across
the FA and, though light, will keep winds out of the south to
southwest. This will also allow for warmer overnight lows compared
to widespread freezing temps that was observed this morning. Upper
troughing will amplify across the western CONUS through tomorrow
afternoon while also pushing eastward towards the Desert
Southwest.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 131 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024
Upper diffluence will increase as the aforementioned upper trough
continues to amplify and push eastward through the weekend, with
the trough axis reaching the Four Corners by late Sunday morning.
Saturday looks to be the best day for any severe potential severe
storms. Instability will be greatest Saturday with MLCAPE upwards
of 1000 J/kg along with 35-45 knots of shear. Large hail over one
inch, wind gusts up to 70 mph, and brief heavy downpours will be
the biggest threats. Precip will push to the east of the FA by
late Sunday/early Monday as the axis of the upper trough moves
through the region. Models continue to diverge greatly with the
evolution of the next potential storm system mid to late next
week. The ECMWF has a closed upper low pushing eastward across
Arizona/New Mexico which would be a good scenario for additional
widespread rainfall. The GFS, which had previous runs very similar
to the ECMWF, now has a progressive open trough that moves quickly
across the central CONUS and leaves the region dry while also
pushing a strong cold front southward into the Panhandles.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1226 AM CDT Fri Nov 1 2024
VFR conditions are expected through this forecast period. The
primary forecast concern is the potential for thunderstorms this
evening. The relatively greater confidence in thunderstorms by
02/06z is at Dalhart at this time. Amarillo could see
thunderstorms as well by that time, but confidence is lower
therefore have not included any mentions in the TAFs at this time.
Otherwise... low-level wind shear is being observed at Guymon and
should continue through around 12z.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX 74 54 70 52 / 10 80 80 40
Beaver OK 76 51 68 53 / 0 80 80 60
Boise City OK 71 46 70 45 / 0 40 30 10
Borger TX 78 55 73 54 / 0 80 80 50
Boys Ranch TX 76 54 73 51 / 0 90 60 40
Canyon TX 73 54 71 51 / 10 80 80 40
Clarendon TX 70 55 69 55 / 10 80 90 70
Dalhart TX 71 49 69 45 / 0 70 40 20
Guymon OK 74 49 68 49 / 0 60 60 30
Hereford TX 73 54 71 50 / 10 90 80 40
Lipscomb TX 74 54 68 55 / 0 80 90 60
Pampa TX 73 54 68 54 / 0 80 80 60
Shamrock TX 71 54 68 57 / 10 80 100 80
Wellington TX 71 55 70 57 / 10 80 100 90
&&
.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...52
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 31, 1:18 PM CST, 10 hours 42 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
Issued by National Weather Service Lubbock TX
218 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024
OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-010730-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
218 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
Showers and thunderstorms will be possible Friday night through
Sunday night. There is the potential for strong to severe
thunderstorms Friday night and Saturday afternoon and evening
with damaging winds and large hail being the primary threats.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.
Drought, Wheeler
- When
- November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 5, 5:00 PM CST
- Where
- Wheeler forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 35.401, -100.270 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
November 2nd brought in quite the prolonged rain event to the combined OK/TX Panhandles, especially the southeastern half where 2 to 3 fell. This was 2 to 3 times the normal monthly rainfall for the area and allowed parts of Donley, Wheeler, and Collingsworth counties that were in Extreme Drought (D3) and Severe Drought (D2) to improve a category by the end of the first week of November. Two more events occurred within the first half of November, allowing all areas to be removed from all drought fully and completely. Donley, Wheeler, and Collingsworth counties received a total of 8 to 10 of rain by the middle of the month. This amount of rain in November is not common at all and well received for the removal of drought.
Drought, Donley
- When
- November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 12, 5:00 PM CST
- Where
- Donley forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 34.965, -100.814 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
November 2nd brought in quite the prolonged rain event to the combined OK/TX Panhandles, especially the southeastern half where 2 to 3 fell. This was 2 to 3 times the normal monthly rainfall for the area and allowed parts of Donley, Wheeler, and Collingsworth counties that were in Extreme Drought (D3) and Severe Drought (D2) to improve a category by the end of the first week of November. Two more events occurred within the first half of November, allowing all areas to be removed from all drought fully and completely. Donley, Wheeler, and Collingsworth counties received a total of 8 to 10 of rain by the middle of the month. This amount of rain in November is not common at all and well received for the removal of drought.
Drought, Collingsworth
- When
- November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 12, 5:00 PM CST
- Where
- Collingsworth forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 34.965, -100.270 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
November 2nd brought in quite the prolonged rain event to the combined OK/TX Panhandles, especially the southeastern half where 2 to 3 fell. This was 2 to 3 times the normal monthly rainfall for the area and allowed parts of Donley, Wheeler, and Collingsworth counties that were in Extreme Drought (D3) and Severe Drought (D2) to improve a category by the end of the first week of November. Two more events occurred within the first half of November, allowing all areas to be removed from all drought fully and completely. Donley, Wheeler, and Collingsworth counties received a total of 8 to 10 of rain by the middle of the month. This amount of rain in November is not common at all and well received for the removal of drought.
Drought, Lipscomb
- When
- November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 5, 12:00 AM CST
- Where
- Lipscomb forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 36.278, -100.273 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
November 2nd brought in quite the prolonged rain event to the combined OK/TX Panhandles, especially the southeastern half where 2 to 3 fell. This was 2 to 3 times the normal monthly rainfall for the area and allowed parts of Hemphill and Lipscomb counties that were in Severe Drought (D2) to improve to Moderate Drought (D1) by the end of the first week of November. Two more events occurred within the first two weeks of November allowing the area to be removed from all drought categories. Lipscomb and Hemphill counties received a total of 7 to 9 of rain by the middle of the month. This amount of rain in November is not common at all and well received for the removal of drought.
Drought, Hemphill
- When
- November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 5, 4:00 PM CST
- Where
- Hemphill forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 35.838, -100.270 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
November 2nd brought in quite the prolonged rain event to the combined OK/TX Panhandles, especially the southeastern half where 2 to 3 fell. This was 2 to 3 times the normal monthly rainfall for the area and allowed parts of Hemphill and Lipscomb counties that were in Severe Drought (D2) to improve to Moderate Drought (D1) by the end of the first week of November. Two more events occurred within the first two weeks of November allowing the area to be removed from all drought categories. Lipscomb and Hemphill counties received a total of 7 to 9 of rain by the middle of the month. This amount of rain in November is not common at all and well received for the removal of drought.
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Drought in Missouri, November 1 to 30, 2024$19 million · 25 events
- Drought in Kansas, November 1 to 30, 2024$5.3 million · 2 events
- Flash Flooding and Debris Flows in Puerto Rico, November 1, 2024$67,000 · 8 events
- Drought in West Virginia, November 1 to 30, 202440 events
- Drought in South Dakota, November 1 to 30, 202424 events
- Drought in Tennessee, November 1 to 30, 202422 events
- Drought in Oklahoma, November 1 to 30, 202422 events
- Drought in Iowa, November 1 to 5, 202421 events
- Drought in Nebraska, November 1 to 30, 202421 events
- Drought in Oklahoma, November 1 to 12, 202421 events
- Drought in Nebraska, November 1 to 30, 202420 events
- Drought in Texas, November 1 to 5, 202420 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1223223, 1223224, 1223225, 1223226, 1223227.