Drought in Missouri, November 1 to 30, 2024

Name: Drought in Missouri, November 1 to 30, 2024
Start: 2024-11-01T00:00
End: 2024-11-30T00:00
Location: Missouri

November 1 to 30, 2024 · NWS SGF · 25 events in 25 counties and zones

Drought Conditions diminished through the month. A period of significant rains fell across the region early in the month with 3 to 8 inches of rainfall measured at some locations.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 25 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

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The toll

Deaths: 0
Injuries: 0
Property damage: None recorded
Crop damage: $19 million
Events: 25

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SGF wrote it up.

Drought Conditions diminished through the month. A period of significant rains fell across the region early in the month with 3 to 8 inches of rainfall measured at some locations. This allowed for drought improvements to Moderate (D1) and Abnormally Dry (D0) drought by the end of the month despite little or no rain fall through the last three weeks of the month. Some locations also saw drought removal from their areas. Impacts across the region occurred over larger scale agriculture which began during the summer when Moderate (D1) drought deteriorated to Extreme (D3) drought during the month of October. Farm and stock ponds saw impacts with ground water levels also falling. Crop and vegetation growth showed signs of stress due to limited moisture with some impacts to crop yield during the fall harvest. Crop loss estimates notated are for fall harvest loses from the summer into the fall.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 31, 11:28 PM CST, 32 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

Cooler conditions will occur tonight into Friday with closer to normal temperatures.
Warming back up to above normal temperatures with some record warmest minimums possible Sunday into Tuesday(see climate section).
Unsettled pattern this weekend into early next week with several rounds of showers and thunderstorms. Several inches of rain will be possible with the highest probability north and west of the I-44 corridor.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 31, 11:28 PM CST, 32 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1228 AM CDT Fri Nov 1 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cooler conditions will occur tonight into Friday with closer
  to normal temperatures.

- Warming back up to above normal temperatures with some record
  warmest minimums possible Sunday into Tuesday(see climate
  section).

- Unsettled pattern this weekend into early next week with
  several rounds of showers and thunderstorms. Several inches of
  rain will be possible with the highest probability north and
  west of the I-44 corridor.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 238 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024

Synoptic overview and current conditions: Water vapor imagery
and upper level analysis show an upper level low lifting
northeast into the western Great Lakes region and another area
of low pressure off the Pacific northwest coast. Drier air was
moving in behind the system which brought widespread rainfall to
the area last night. The cold front has shifted east of the
area. Some lower clouds moved in behind the front and was
keeping temperatures in the mid 50s to low 60s across the area.

Tonight: Surface high pressure will move into the area while a
broad southwesterly flow aloft sets up over the area ahead of a
jet streak that was digging a trough over the west coast. Cooler
temperatures are expected tonight, but closer to normal with
lows from the mid 30s in parts of the eastern Ozarks to the low
40s.

Friday: The surface high will shift east of the area with a
southerly low level flow redeveloping across the region. Highs
will be in the mid 60s to low 70s.

Friday night: The beginnings of an unsettled period will begin
towards Saturday morning. The upper level southwesterly flow
will strengthen with low level Gulf moisture advecting back into
the region as well. Some initial showers and thunderstorms may
make it into our far southwestern CWA by 12z Saturday. Cool
temperatures in the east with lows in the upper 30s, but
increased cloud cover and warm advection in the southwest will
bring lows in the upper 50s to around 50 there.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 238 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024

Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms Saturday through
Tuesday: Southwest flow will continue ahead of the upper level
trough with several waves of energy moving through. Ensemble
means are showing high PW values for this time of year around
1.4-1.6" which is over the 90th percentile and near the max. A
warm front will lift through the area late Saturday into
Saturday night with a cold front and upper wave pushing through
the area Monday night. Needless to say, there will be several
rounds of precipitation with the chance of heavy rain. Models
have been consistent over the last few runs of bringing several
inches of rain to the area through the period.

Here are some ensemble probabilities for rainfall amounts through
Tuesday:

Station          >=1.00"    >=2.00"   >=3.00"   >=4.00"

Springfield        100%        96%      74%       40%
Joplin            100%        97%      84%       59%
West Plains       100%        96%      64%       27%
Rolla             100%        87%      54%       21%
Nevada            100%        97%      81%       54%
Branson           100%        90%      61%       20%

Warm low temperatures near records Sunday into Tuesday: Low
level warm advection and cloud cover will keep temperatures on
the warm side in the warm sector late in the weekend into early
next week. Some sites will approach or exceed record warmest
minimums during this time frame(see climate section).

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1227 AM CDT Fri Nov 1 2024

VFR conditions will occur across the area tonight through the
day on Friday as surface high pressure moves across the region.
Winds will be light tonight and will pick up slightly out of
southeast Friday morning and afternoon.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 238 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024

Record Warmest Minimum Temperatures:

                            Forecast
                              Lows

November 3: KSGF: 63/1994      58
            KUNO: 58/2003      57

November 4: KSGF: 59/1994      62
            KJLN: 63/2005      63
            KUNO: 63/2022      63
            KVIH: 62/2022      63

November 5: KUNO: 59/2015      56
            KVIH: 58/1978      57

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.

&&

SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Wise
CLIMATE...Lindenberg/Camden

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 31, 6:02 PM CST, 5 hours 58 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
702 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-020015-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
702 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

  No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Additional chances for showers and thunderstorms will occur at
times from this weekend into early next week. There will be the
potential for locally heavy rainfall with this activity late this
weekend into early next week. Some strong to severe storms may be
possible late Monday into Monday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Price

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

25 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Barton

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Barton forecast zone
Crop damage: $6.3 million
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 37.502, -94.347 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A period of significant rains fell across the region early in the month with 3 to 5 inches of rainfall measured at some locations. This allowed for drought improvements to Abnormally Dry (D0) drought by the end of the month despite little or no rain fall through the last three weeks of the month. Impacts across the region occurred over larger scale agriculture which began during the summer when Moderate (D1) drought deteriorated to Extreme (D3) drought during the month of October. Farm and stock ponds saw impacts with ground water levels also falling. Crop and vegetation growth showed signs of stress due to limited moisture with some impacts to crop yield during the fall harvest. Crop loss estimates notated are for fall harvest loses from the summer into the fall.

Drought, Newton

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Newton forecast zone
Crop damage: $500,000
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 36.906, -94.339 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A period of significant rains fell across the region early in the month with 3 to 5 inches of rainfall measured at some locations. This allowed for drought improvements to Moderate (D1) drought by the end of the month despite little or no rain fall through the last three weeks of the month. Impacts across the region occurred over larger scale agriculture which began during the summer when Moderate (D1) drought deteriorated to Extreme (D3) drought during the month of October. Farm and stock ponds saw impacts with ground water levels also falling. Crop and vegetation growth showed signs of stress due to limited moisture with some impacts to crop yield during the fall harvest. Crop loss estimates notated are for fall harvest loses from the summer into the fall.

Drought, Jasper

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Jasper forecast zone
Crop damage: $4.9 million
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 37.204, -94.341 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, McDonald

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: McDonald forecast zone
Crop damage: $640,000
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 36.629, -94.348 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, St. Clair

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: St. Clair forecast zone
Crop damage: $2.0 million
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 38.037, -93.776 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Cedar

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Cedar forecast zone
Crop damage: $775,000
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 37.724, -93.857 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A period of significant rains fell across the region early in the month with 3 to 5 inches of rainfall measured at some locations. This allowed for drought improvements to Moderate (D1) to Abnormally Dry (D0) drought by the end of the month despite little or no rain fall through the last three weeks of the month. Impacts across the region occurred over larger scale agriculture which began during the summer when Moderate (D1) drought deteriorated to Extreme (D3) drought during the month of October. Farm and stock ponds saw impacts with ground water levels also falling. Crop and vegetation growth showed signs of stress due to limited moisture with some impacts to crop yield during the fall harvest. Crop loss estimates notated are for fall harvest loses from the summer into the fall.

Drought, Dade

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Dade forecast zone
Crop damage: $870,000
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 37.432, -93.850 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A period of significant rains fell across the region early in the month with 3 to 5 inches of rainfall measured at some locations. This allowed for drought improvements to Moderate (D1) and Abnormally dry (D0) drought by the end of the month despite little or no rain fall through the last three weeks of the month. Impacts across the region occurred over larger scale agriculture which began during the summer when Moderate (D1) drought deteriorated to Extreme (D3) drought during the month of October. Farm and stock ponds saw impacts with ground water levels also falling. Crop and vegetation growth showed signs of stress due to limited moisture with some impacts to crop yield during the fall harvest. Crop loss estimates notated are for fall harvest loses from the summer into the fall.

Drought, Lawrence

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Lawrence forecast zone
Crop damage: $760,000
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 37.106, -93.833 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Barry

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Barry forecast zone
Crop damage: $240,000
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 36.710, -93.829 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Douglas

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Douglas forecast zone
Crop damage: $10,000
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 36.933, -92.499 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A period of significant rains fell across the region early in the month with 3 to 5 inches of rainfall measured at some locations. This allowed for drought improvements to only a small area for Abnormally Dry (D0) conditions with most of the county out of drought by the end of the month despite little or no rain fall through the last three weeks of the month. Impacts across the region occurred over larger scale agriculture which began during the summer when Moderate (D1) drought deteriorated to Extreme (D3) drought during the month of October. Farm and stock ponds saw impacts with ground water levels also falling. Crop and vegetation growth showed signs of stress due to limited moisture with some impacts to crop yield during the fall harvest. Crop loss estimates notated are for fall harvest loses from the summer into the fall.

Drought, Webster

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Webster forecast zone
Crop damage: $70,000
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 37.281, -92.876 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A period of significant rains fell across the region early in the month with 3 to 5 inches of rainfall measured at some locations. This allowed for drought improvements to Abnormally Dry (D0) conditions by the end of the month despite little or no rain fall through the last three weeks of the month. Impacts across the region occurred over larger scale agriculture which began during the summer when Moderate (D1) drought deteriorated to Extreme (D3) drought during the month of October. Farm and stock ponds saw impacts with ground water levels also falling. Crop and vegetation growth showed signs of stress due to limited moisture with some impacts to crop yield during the fall harvest. Crop loss estimates notated are for fall harvest loses from the summer into the fall.

Drought, Dallas

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Dallas forecast zone
Crop damage: $72,000
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 37.680, -93.024 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Benton

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Benton forecast zone
Crop damage: $840,000
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 38.295, -93.288 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Hickory

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Hickory forecast zone
Crop damage: $260,000
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 37.941, -93.321 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Polk

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Polk forecast zone
Crop damage: $120,000
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 37.617, -93.400 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Greene

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Greene forecast zone
Crop damage: $300,000
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 37.258, -93.342 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Christian

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Christian forecast zone
Crop damage: $120,000
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 36.970, -93.189 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Stone

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Stone forecast zone
Crop damage: $30,000
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 36.747, -93.456 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Taney

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Taney forecast zone
Crop damage: $20,000
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 36.655, -93.041 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A period of significant rains fell across the region early in the month with 3 to 5 inches of rainfall measured at some locations. This allowed for drought improvements to Moderate (D1) and Abnormally Dry (D0) drought conditions by the end of the month despite little or no rain fall through the last three weeks of the month. Impacts across the region occurred over larger scale agriculture which began during the summer when Moderate (D1) drought deteriorated to Extreme (D3) drought during the month of October. Farm and stock ponds saw impacts with ground water levels also falling. Crop and vegetation growth showed signs of stress due to limited moisture with some impacts to crop yield during the fall harvest. Crop loss estimates notated are for fall harvest loses from the summer into the fall.

Drought, Laclede

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Laclede forecast zone
Crop damage: $90,000
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 37.658, -92.590 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Pulaski

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Pulaski forecast zone
Crop damage: $25,000
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 37.825, -92.208 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Camden

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Camden forecast zone
Crop damage: $20,000
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 38.027, -92.766 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Morgan

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Morgan forecast zone
Crop damage: $260,000
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 38.424, -92.886 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Miller

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Miller forecast zone
Crop damage: $60,000
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 38.215, -92.428 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Maries

When: November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 12:00 AM CST
Where: Maries forecast zone
Crop damage: $30,000
Reported by: Drought Monitor
Coordinates: 38.162, -91.925 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Drought: A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

Every storm in Missouri in 2024 Every state in 2024 This day in weather history Warnings in Missouri, November 2024

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1223321, 1223322, 1223323, 1223324, 1223325, 1223326, 1223327, 1223328, 1223329, 1223330, 1223331, 1223332, 1223333, 1223334, 1223335, 1223336, 1223337, 1223338, 1223339, 1223340, 1223341, 1223342, 1223343, 1223344, 1223345.