California, 2024

Wildfire in California, November 1 to 8, 2024

November 1 to 8, 2024 · NWS STO · 1 event in 1 county or zone

The Shoe Fire continued into November but no new growth in acreage was observed. The Shoe Fire started the month at 90% containment and 5,124 acres, and was fully contained on November 8th.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS STO wrote it up.

The Shoe Fire continued into November but no new growth in acreage was observed. The Shoe Fire started the month at 90% containment and 5,124 acres, and was fully contained on November 8th.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Sacramento, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 31, 1:38 PM PST, 10 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 31, 1:38 PM PST, 10 hours 22 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
238 PM PDT Thu Oct 31 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
After a brief lull, widespread Valley/Foothill rainfall and
mountain snow returns Friday afternoon/evening and continues
through Saturday. Breezy northerly winds develop on Sunday and
into Monday, and again Wednesday.

.DISCUSSION...

Key Points:
-The next weather system will bring widespread measurable
 rainfall and mountain snow accumulations Friday PM thru Saturday.
-Following this system, north winds increase through the Valley on
 Sunday & Monday
-A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for elevations greater
 than 6000 feet in the northern Sierra and southern Cascades from
 5 PM Friday through 5 PM Saturday. Snow levels will start around
 6000 to 6500 feet Friday afternoon before dropping to around
 5000 to 6000 feet late Friday night into Saturday.

The first system that brought widespread precipitation to the area
has largely exited, though radar shows some lingering showers
continue in the Shasta County mountains and for the northern
Sacramento Valley. Most of the precipitation for the area ended
this morning. Much of the area saw around a tenth to a third of an
inch. Some spots in the mountains saw a half to three quarters of
an inch, locally higher. There were reports of 1 to 5 inches of
snow in the mountains above 6000 feet. This caused travel
impacts/delays for mountain roads, especially Eastbound I-80,
which had significant delays near Donner Pass this morning due to
a jackknifed big rig. The Winter Weather Advisory was cancelled
mid day as the snow showers and road impacts ended. Additional
rain showers and snow showers above 5000 feet are possible for
Shasta County into tonight.

On Friday another cool wave from the Gulf of Alaska low pressure
trough will drop into the region. This second wave has trended a
little weaker, with somewhat lower rain/snow totals than
previously projected, but widespread precipitation is still
expected from Friday afternoon/evening through Saturday. Snowfall
totals in the Sierra are now forecast to be around 5-10" inches
through Saturday, on top of what has already fallen. Locally
higher amounts are possible over peaks. As a result, a new Winter
Weather Advisory has been issued for Friday 5 PM to Saturday 5 PM
for the northern Sierra and southern Cascades about 6000 feet.
Snow levels look to fluctuate around 5000-6000 feet when
precipitation is forecast. Rainfall totals will range from an
additional 0.25" inches to 1.50" inches, with the lower totals
over the Central Sacramento and Northern San Joaquin Valleys. The
Sacramento and Redding metro areas are currently project to have
totals around 0.40-0.50"

The second wave of precipitation could potentially (~10%
probability) bring some isolated thunderstorms for the Valley and
foothills late night Friday into early morning Saturday.
Instability looks fairly limited and timing should limit impacts
if any convective cells do develop.

Overall rainfall and snowfall totals have trended slightly down
this morning, although potential impacts remain the same. Snowfall
totals in the Sierra are forecast to be around 6-12" inches
through Saturday, on top of what has already fallen. Rainfall
totals will range from an additional 0.50" inches to 2.00" inches,
with the lower totals over the Central and Southern Sacramento
and Northern San Joaquin Valleys. Snowfall totals across the
Sierra are still trending at around 4-12" inches, with the higher
totals at the peaks. Snow levels look to fluctuate around
5000-6000 feet when precipitation is forecast.

Gusty northerly winds will develop across the area on Sunday and
continue into Monday as the system exits to the east and high
pressure ridging develops. Northerly wind gusts of 30 mph will be
possible, with the strongest winds along the I-5 corridor and
Delta. This potential has shifted a little more eastward,
particularly into the Sacramento metro area. NBM probabilities of
30mph gusts or more for the mentioned areas continue to be around
40-80%. Fire weather risks should be alleviated thanks to the
widespread rainfall and some moisture lingering in the area, but
we will need to continue to monitor conditions as we move through
the rest of the week.

&&

.EXTENDED DISCUSSION (Monday THROUGH Thursday)...
Eastern Pacific upper ridging builds into NorCal next week as
upper troughing digs into the Great Basin. This pattern will
result in dry weather with gusty north to east winds next Monday
into early Thursday. Depending on amount of precipitation this
week, locally elevated fire weather conditions might be a concern
later next week, especially on Wednesday, after a few days of
drying northerly winds. High temperatures gradually warm through
the extended period returning to near normal by next Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...
General VFR conditions are expected over the next 24 hours.
Surface winds will be generally less than 12 kts. Isolated -SHRA
possible over Shasta County through 06z, with -SHSN above 5000
feet.

&&

.STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory from 5 PM Friday to 5 PM PDT Saturday
for West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada-Western Plumas
County/Lassen Park.

&&

Event by event

1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.

Wildfire, Shasta Lake/North Shasta County

When
November 1, 12:00 AM PST to November 8, 5:34 PM PST
Where
Shasta Lake/North Shasta County forecast zone
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue

The Shoe Fire continued into November but no new growth in acreage was observed. The Shoe Fire started the month at 90% containment and 5,124 acres, and was fully contained on November 8th.

What these are

Wildfire
A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in California, November 2024

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1215933.