Tropical Storm Francine continued to weaken as it neared the Mid-South. Francine weakened to a post-tropical cyclone on its northerly track.
Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
Tropical Storm Francine continued to weaken as it neared the Mid-South. Francine weakened to a post-tropical cyclone on its northerly track. A corridor of up to 45 mph wind gusts developed west of the Mississippi River. Days of prior rainfall in addition to gusty winds was able to produce sporadic tree damage across eastern Arkansas.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 12, 2:22 PM CST, 8 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
322 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024
...New SYNOPSIS, DISCUSSION...
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 325 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024
Francine continues to move through the Mid-South, bringing heavy
rainfall and strong wind gusts this afternoon. Strong winds will
continue through the evening, with heavy rainfall continuing for
portions of the Mid-South through at least Friday. A Wind Advisory
remains in effect for the entire area until 1 AM. A Flood Watch
continues for most of the area into this evening, with a small
portion along the Tennessee River continuing through Friday
Night.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Wednesday)
Issued at 325 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024
Francine remains the main talking point for the forecast period,
with the remnant low pressure making its way across the Mid-South.
Several locations have gusted over 40 mph this afternoon, with
Memphis International Airport reporting a gust to 52 mph.
Strongest winds will continue now through this evening, slowly
continuing to move northward with the parent system. In addition
to the strong winds, heavy rainfall continues to be a problem
across the Mid-South and will continue into this evening for West
TN and NE AR. Several locations have already seen 3 to 4 inches,
with some locally higher amounts reported. The one good news thus
far in everything is that CAPE has remained negligible, thus no
thunderstorms have been in the mix. A Marginal Risk continues
across portions of North MS along the MS/AL border, but the
environment continues to remain stable over these locations and
latest trends indicate that it will continue to remain stable
into the evening. All of that to say, if we get a thunderstorm or
two it would be over north MS, but that looks unlikely at this
point.
As we move into the overnight hours and into tomorrow, there is an
isolated flooding threat that will continue along the TN River. A
few CAMs continue to paint an axis of heavy rainfall setting up by
tomorrow afternoon, that could bring and additional 2 to 3 inches
to those locations. There is a lot of uncertainty with where this
axis will set up, but have included some locations in an
additional Flood Watch through tomorrow. Expect for temperatures
to remain well below-normal again tomorrow as cloud coverage will
aid in keeping high temperatures in the 70s across the area.
Forecast will remain somewhat unsettled through the weekend and
into the beginning of next week as the remnant low pressure from
Francine will remain over the Mid-South. Most models keep at least
some precipitation in the area through Monday. Parent low will
finally track eastward by Tuesday, bringing a warmer and drier
airmass back to the Mid-South. By the middle of next week, expect
for high temperatures to return to near normal in the mid 80s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1214 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024
MVFR/IFR appears likely through the period at all terminals as
the remnants of Francine trudge their way through the region.
Strong winds associated with these remnants are expected with wind
gusts anywhere from 25 - 35 knots out of the ENE, gradually
shifting to a southerly direction with time. LLWS is another
concern at MEM/MKL/TUP through 04z tonight at 45 - 50 knots. Low-
hanging CIGs will persist at around 500 - 800 ft through the
entire period.
&&
.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Wind Advisory until 1 AM CDT Friday for ARZ009-018-026>028-035-
036-048-049-058.
Flood Watch until 10 PM CDT this evening for ARZ026>028-035-036-
048.
Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for ARZ049-058.
MO...Wind Advisory until 1 AM CDT Friday for MOZ113-115.
MS...Wind Advisory until 1 AM CDT Friday for MSZ001>017-020>024.
Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ001>017-020>024.
TN...Wind Advisory until 1 AM CDT Friday for TNZ001>004-019>022-
048>055-088>092.
Flood Watch until 10 PM CDT this evening for TNZ019-020-048>052-
088>090.
Flood Watch from 10 PM CDT this evening through Saturday morning
for TNZ021-022-053>055-091-092.
&&
PUBLIC FORECAST...CMA
AVIATION...JABPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1218 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1130 AM Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg 5 WSW Paynes 33.89N 90.15W
09/12/2024 Tallahatchie MS Public
Tree down on a vehicle in Leverett, MS
related to Francine.
&&
CMAThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
4 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A large tree branch fell in front of the court house in Osceola.
A tree was down on Madison Street in Marked Tree.
A large tree (more than 2 feet in diameter) fell in Parkin taking down a power pole and power lines.
A large tree fell on a trampoline in Marmaduke.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, September 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1216181, 1216183, 1216180, 1216178.