Montana, 2023

Winter Storm and Heavy Snow in Montana, March 9 to 11, 2023

March 9 to 11, 2023 · NWS TFX · 22 events in 16 counties and zones

A Pacific low pressure system brought accumulating snowfall to much of Southwest, Central, and North Central Montana. The passage of an associated cold front also brought gusty winds to much of the area, especially through the valleys of Southwest Montana, where heavier snow occurred.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 22 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
22

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

A Pacific low pressure system brought accumulating snowfall to much of Southwest, Central, and North Central Montana. The passage of an associated cold front also brought gusty winds to much of the area, especially through the valleys of Southwest Montana, where heavier snow occurred.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 9, 4:45 PM MST, 3 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 9, 4:45 PM MST, 3 hours 15 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...corrected
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
445 PM MST Thu Mar 9 2023

...Aviation Section Updated...

.SYNOPSIS...

After a tranquil day today, wind and snow will return to the
region overnight tonight and will linger through the day on
Friday. Some of this snow may come in heavy bursts during the
afternoon, resulting in rapid reductions in visibility. Tranquil
conditions return over the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Through Saturday... Currently in the calm between two weather
systems, today has been a pleasant, if not chilly, day across
North Central and Southwestern Montana. Temperatures have
generally topped out in the 20s in the valleys of the Southwest,
with teens across the plains under some filtered sunshine.
However, there has been a gradual increase in the thickness of the
clouds this afternoon as moisture begins to work in from the
Southwest.

As our next system approaches, winds will begin to increase across
Southwestern Montana this evening and overnight tonight, with snow
also developing over and near the Montana/Idaho border by later
this evening. This snow will gradually spread northward overnight,
reaching the North Central Plains by sunrise, where the steady
snow will linger through most of the day on Friday. Further south,
snow will be relatively brief during the overnight hours, and may
actually appear to be over by the time many folks wake up in the
lower elevations. However, this lack of snow in the morning will
just be a bit of an illusion before the real show begins in the
afternoon.

This leads us to our big concern for tomorrow, bursts of very
heavy snow potentially to snow squall criteria. The atmospheric
setup is actually quite impressive for this, with Southwestern
Montana being in the left exit region of the jet streak (which will
promote lift), along with very strong PVA (Positive Vorticity
Advection), which will also promote lift, and a surface cold front,
which will serve as a focal point for the activity. Factor in the
relatively warm and moist environment that this strong lift will be
moving into, and you have yourself a fairly classic setup for
intense bands of convective snow. The main focal point for this
activity will be across Southwestern Montana, where the jet dynamics
and PVA will be the strongest, but a few could work their way as far
north as Great Falls. In addition to the intensity of the squalls,
temperatures may rapidly drop behind the front, leading to a flash
freeze. Current plan will be to continue to message the threat via
social media, along with an SPS for areas not currently under a
winter weather highlight early tomorrow morning. As a secondary
concern, we will have a few areas of falling and blowing snow both
along the MT/ID border and along the Hi-Line, particularly near and
east of Havre.

Once this system exits the region Friday night/Saturday morning,
upper level ridging will build into the area and will linger
through around the middle of next week. This ridge will result in
relatively quiet weather for the region (save for a few periods
of mountain snowfall) and gradually warming temperatures. Upper
level troughing may try to work back into the area for midweek,
but details remain uncertain at this time. Ludwig

&&

.AVIATION...
445 PM MST Thu Mar 9 2023 (10/00Z TAF Period)

We start this TAF period with VFR conditions. High to mid-level
clouds continue to move into the region through the evening period
as our next weather system moves in across Southwest Montana and
along the Rocky Mountain Front tomorrow morning. Periods of blowing
snow is expected this evening for KENS as winds will be gusting up
to 30 knots. Beginning tomorrow late afternoon and evening,
visibility will be reduced with IFR to LIFR conditions as bands of
heavy snow move through the region. Low level wind shear across
north-south orientated valleys in Southwest Montana such as KENS is
expected tomorrow as winds have potential to gusting up to 55 knots.
Mountain obstruction along the Continental Divide and across
Southwest Montana Mountains begins tomorrow morning through the
rest of the day tomorrow. Webb

Refer to weather.gov/zlc for more detailed regional aviation weather
and hazard information.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  14  28  12  25 /  10  90  70  10
CTB   7  22   9  22 /   0  90  50   0
HLN  19  36  17  35 /  40  90  60  10
BZN  15  41  15  34 /  30  80  60   0
WYS  10  38   4  30 /  90 100  70  10
DLN  19  39  15  34 /  30  80  20   0
HVR   9  25  13  23 /   0  90  90  10
LWT  13  31  12  22 /  10  80  80  10

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Storm Warning from 2 AM Friday to 11 AM MST Saturday for
East Glacier Park Region-Northern High Plains-Southern Rocky
Mountain Front.

Winter Weather Advisory from 5 AM Friday to 11 AM MST Saturday
for Eastern Glacier, Western Toole, and Central Pondera-Eastern
Toole and Liberty.

Winter Storm Warning from 5 AM Friday to 2 PM MST Saturday for
Bears Paw Mountains and Southern Blaine-Hill County-Northern
Blaine County.

Winter Weather Advisory from 5 AM to 5 PM MST Friday for Cascade
County below 5000ft-Eastern Pondera and Eastern Teton-Fergus
County below 4500ft-Judith Basin County and Judith Gap-Snowy and
Judith Mountains-Southern High Plains-Western and Central
Chouteau County.

Winter Weather Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 11 AM MST
Saturday for Big Belt, Bridger and Castle Mountains-Elkhorn and
Boulder Mountains-Gates of the Mountains-Little Belt and
Highwood Mountains-Meagher County Valleys-Northwest Beaverhead
County-Upper Blackfoot and MacDonald Pass.

Winter Storm Warning from midnight tonight to 5 AM MST Saturday
for Gallatin and Madison County Mountains and Centennial
Mountains-Ruby Mountains and Southern Beaverhead Mountains.

High Wind Warning from midnight tonight to midnight MST Friday
night for Beaverhead and Western Madison below 6000ft-Madison
River Valley.

&&

http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

11 heavy snow, 6 high wind, 3 winter storm, 2 winter weather. Local standard time, as filed.

Heavy Snow, Hill County

When
March 9, 8:00 PM MST to March 10, 12:00 PM MST
Where
Hill County forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
48.628, -110.111 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

CO-OP observer station Simpson 6N Wildhorse (SIPM8) reported 6 inches of snowfall over a 24 hour period. Band of heavy snow occurred overnight along the International Border.

Winter Storm, Gallatin and Madison County Mountains and Centennial Mountains

When
March 10, 12:00 AM MST to 5:00 PM MST
Where
Gallatin and Madison County Mountains and Centennial Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
45.325, -111.996 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Strong winds resulted in poor visibility, blowing snow, and poor driving conditions. Wind gusts of 66 mph, 67 mph, and 73 mph were recorded at about 11 miles west of Emigrant, Virginia City and by the Yellowstone Mule RAWS, respectively.

Heavy Snow, Big Belt, Bridger and Castle Mountains

When
March 10, 4:00 AM MST to March 11, 2:00 PM MST
Where
Big Belt, Bridger and Castle Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
SNOTEL
Coordinates
46.398, -111.485 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Mesonet station Elk Peak Snotel reported 10 inches of snowfall. 9 inches fell by 5 AM on the 11th.

Heavy Snow, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
March 10, 4:00 AM MST to March 11, 1:00 AM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
47.480, -112.315 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Two snotels reported an estimated 8 inches of storm total snow. Snotel sites Copper Bottom and Copper Camp estimated an event total amount of 8 inches. Most fell within a 12 hour period. Start time estimated by radar.

Heavy Snow, Cascade County Below 5000ft

When
March 10, 4:00 AM MST to March 11, 1:00 AM MST
Where
Cascade County Below 5000ft forecast zone
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
47.308, -111.347 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Trained spotter reported a storm total of 6 inches ending March 10 at 5:37 PM (Friday). The spotter received an additional three inches of snow overnight into the morning of the 11th ( 7:22 AM Saturday). Official NWS observation reported 6.3 inches snowfall between 5am Friday and 5am Saturday. NWS employee located 6 miles west of Sand Coulee reported an event total of 5.8 inches.

Heavy Snow, Bears Paw Mountains and Southern Blaine

When
March 10, 7:00 AM MST to March 11, 10:00 AM MST
Where
Bears Paw Mountains and Southern Blaine forecast zone
Reported by
SNOTEL
Coordinates
48.314, -109.835 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Rocky Boy Snotel reported 9 inches of snowfall for an event total.

Heavy Snow, Helena Valley

When
March 10, 7:00 AM MST to March 11, 5:00 AM MST
Where
Helena Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
47.122, -112.390 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Multiple trained spotters reported storm total snow of 6 inches or greater, including a reported 8.9 inches of snowfall 2 miles west of Helena.

Winter Storm, Ruby Mountains and Southern Beaverhead Mountains

When
March 10, 7:00 AM MST to 6:00 PM MST
Where
Ruby Mountains and Southern Beaverhead Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
45.217, -112.410 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Sheriff's office reported multiple accidents, extremely poor visibility, and strong gusty winds along I-15, which a portion of became closed for a period of time. Wind gusts in excess of 60 mph were recorded by the Harkness RAWS equipment.

Heavy Snow, Eastern Glacier, Western Toole, and Central Pondera

When
March 10, 8:30 AM MST to 11:30 PM MST
Where
Eastern Glacier, Western Toole, and Central Pondera forecast zone
Reported by
CoCoRaHS
Coordinates
48.529, -112.306 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

CoCoRaHS observer in Cut Bank reported an event total snowfall of 5.5 inches.

High Wind, Gallatin Valley

When
March 10, 9:00 AM MST
Where
Gallatin Valley forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
45.541, -111.170 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Mesonet station GNFHY (10.7 W Emigrant) reported 65 mph wind gust.

Heavy Snow, Eastern Toole and Liberty

When
March 10, 12:00 PM MST to 11:00 PM MST
Where
Eastern Toole and Liberty forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
48.609, -111.360 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

COOP Observer neat Chester reported event total of 5.1 inches of snow, which met newly implemented heavy snow criteria for particular forecast zone.

Heavy Snow, Eastern Pondera and Eastern Teton

When
March 10, 12:00 PM MST to March 11, 2:00 AM MST
Where
Eastern Pondera and Eastern Teton forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
48.033, -112.233 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

MT DOT reported severe driving conditions from blowing snow and poor visibility along I-15. Conditions deteriorated rapidly. COOP observer at Conrad reported an event total snow amount of 7.0 inches along with significant blowing snow.

Heavy Snow, Northern Blaine County

When
March 10, 1:00 PM MST to March 11, 12:00 AM MST
Where
Northern Blaine County forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
48.433, -108.959 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Wind gusts up to 64 mph were recorded across northern Blaine County, which resulted in significant blowing of snow, poor visibility, and poor driving conditions. COOP observer located about 11 miles north of Turner reported an event total snow amount of 11.5 inches.

Winter Storm, Hill County

When
March 10, 1:30 PM MST to March 11, 12:00 AM MST
Where
Hill County forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
48.628, -110.111 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Department of Transportation closed both lanes of S-232 northwest out of Havre to the International Border due to poor winter weather conditions. A trained spotter about 4 miles west of Havre reported an event total snow amount of 5.2 inches.

High Wind, Madison River Valley

When
March 10, 2:00 PM MST
Where
Madison River Valley forecast zone
Measured
67 kt (77 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
45.301, -111.920 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Mesonet station YCTIM (Yellowstone Club) reported 77 mph wind gust.

High Wind, Madison River Valley

When
March 10, 2:35 PM MST
Where
Madison River Valley forecast zone
Measured
54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
Reported by
AWOS
Coordinates
45.301, -111.920 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

AWOS station KEKS (Ennis Big Sky) reported 62 mph wind gust.

High Wind, Beaverhead and Western Madison Below 6000ft

When
March 10, 3:00 PM MST
Where
Beaverhead and Western Madison Below 6000ft forecast zone
Measured
53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
45.217, -112.410 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Mesonet station MTM14 (BLM Argenta) reported 61 mph wind gust.

High Wind, Beaverhead and Western Madison Below 6000ft

When
March 10, 3:48 PM MST
Where
Beaverhead and Western Madison Below 6000ft forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
45.217, -112.410 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

ASOS station KDLN (Dillon Airport) reported 64 mph wind gust.

Winter Weather, Gallatin Valley

When
March 10, 4:45 PM MST
Where
Gallatin Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
45.541, -111.170 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Trained spotter reported a snow squall, which produced a quick accumulation of a half inch of snow. Spotter did not report any more details.

Winter Weather, Big Belt, Bridger and Castle Mountains

When
March 10, 5:07 PM MST
Where
Big Belt, Bridger and Castle Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
46.398, -111.485 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snow Squall. The Bozeman Pass mesonet station (mtbzh) reported a peak wind gust of 53 mph. Webcam images showed poor visibility associated with the squall along Interstate 90.

High Wind, Madison River Valley

When
March 10, 5:12 PM MST
Where
Madison River Valley forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
45.301, -111.920 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Mesonet station MTNOR (Norris Hill) reported peak gust of 65 mph and sustained winds at 48 mph.

Heavy Snow, Southern High Plains

When
March 10, 6:00 PM MST to March 11, 1:00 AM MST
Where
Southern High Plains forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
47.480, -112.315 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Spotter located about 17 miles WSW of Bynum reported an event total snow amount of 8.0 inches.

What these are

Heavy Snow
Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.
Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
Winter Weather
Snow, sleet or freezing rain below warning levels that still caused disruption, damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, March 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1084005, 1091405, 1083735, 1083999, 1084003, 1083989, 1083991, 1091363, 1089483, 1083727, 1092033, 1092035, 1092069, 1089489, 1083722, 1083732, 1083733, 1083730, 1087715, 1087716, 1083728, 1089492.