Hawaii, 2023

High Wind in Hawaii, March 7 to 12, 2023

March 7 to 12, 2023 · NWS HFO · 1 event in 1 county or zone

There was an extended period of sustained southwest winds of 55 to 80 mph with higher gusts in excess of 90 mph.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS HFO wrote it up.

There was an extended period of sustained southwest winds of 55 to 80 mph with higher gusts in excess of 90 mph.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Honolulu, HI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 6, 8:45 PM HST, 7 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 6, 8:45 PM HST, 7 hours 1 minute before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Honolulu HI
845 PM HST Mon Mar 6 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
Showery weather will continue over leeward Big Island tonight as
a front approaches, while diminishing showers are expected for
Maui County and dry conditions over Kauai and Oahu. A second and
much stronger cold front will move through the state from west to
east Tuesday night and Wednesday, bringing a brief period of
locally heavy showers followed by strong west-southwest winds on
Wednesday. Winds will ease with drier and cooler conditions
filtering into the state Thursday through the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Currently at the surface, a weakening front is located over Maui,
while a stronger cold front is located around 600 miles west-
northwest of Kauai. Light to moderate west to southwest winds
prevail across the island chain this evening. Infrared satellite
imagery shows mostly cloudy to overcast conditions from Oahu
eastward, with partly cloudy conditions over much of Kauai. Radar
imagery shows mainly scattered to numerous showers moving through
Maui County and the Big Island, with rain free weather over Oahu
and Kauai. Main short term focus revolves around the next front
and the potential for strong southwesterly winds across the island
chain.

The front over Maui will continue to weaken as it pushes eastward
through Maui and into the Big Island by late tonight, with the
front then dissipating over the Big Island Tuesday. Light to
moderate west-southwest winds will continue across the islands
tonight and Tuesday morning, with southwest winds picking up to
moderate and locally breezy levels in advance of the next front
Tuesday afternoon. This next cold front will sweep through Kauai
Tuesday night, through Oahu around daybreak Wednesday, through
Maui County Wednesday afternoon, before finally clearing the Big
Island late Wednesday night or early Thursday. Breezy
southwesterly winds Tuesday evening, are expected to become windy
prior to daybreak Wednesday, with windy west-southwesterly winds
continuing through Wednesday evening. A Wind Advisory will likely
be needed for most of the state from late Tuesday night through
Wednesday evening, with gusty downslope winds in excess of 50 mph
likely over the windward areas northeast of the mountains. Due to
the recent above normal rainfall and winds coming from the
opposite direction from our normal trade winds, there will likely
be a higher risk of tree falls.

Deep cyclonic flow will hold over the islands Thursday through
Saturday, with moderate westerly winds Thursday becoming light for
Friday and Saturday. Light winds are expected to prevail Sunday
and next Monday, as a weak ridge of high pressure slides eastward
over the island chain.

On the summits of the Big Island and the Haleakala summit, a High
Wind Watch remains in effect starting Tuesday morning and
continuing through at least Friday. A broad upper level trough
will linger over the area through most of this week and will
produce strong upper level winds over the summits. The strongest
winds looks to be from Tuesday night through Thursday where wind
gusts of over 100 mph will be possible on the Big Island summits.
Models are showing the winds staying very strong through much of
the weekend and decreasing early next week.

As for the remaining weather details, showers should gradually
diminish through the night over Maui County, while leeward
sections of the Big Island remain wet. Over Kauai and Oahu, mainly
dry conditions are expected through the night. For Tuesday,
showery conditions will likely continue over leeward sections of
the Big Island, with an increase in showers potentially sneaking
back into Maui as well. Mainly dry conditions will prevail over
Oahu, with perhaps a few showers developing in the southwest flow,
while wet weather should spread into Kauai by late Tuesday
afternoon in association with the next front. Fairly showery
weather can be expected across much of the island chain Tuesday
night and Wednesday, particularly over leeward areas, with
diminishing showers expected behind the front. Some showery
weather will likely continue over the Big Island Wednesday night,
with drier conditions overspreading the entire state Thursday
through next Monday, with noticeably cooler conditions expected
Thursday through Saturday as dewpoints drop into the 50s, highs
struggle to reach 80 degrees, with lows at night dropping into the
upper 50s to lower 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
The cold front progressing eastward through the islands will
stall near the Big Island tonight and slowly dissipate. Showers
and breezy southwest winds can be expected along and ahead of the
front. Widespread MVFR cigs/vsbys will continue in showers as the
front moves through, isolated IFR conditions are also possible.
Shower activity is expected to decrease by midnight. Drier
conditions will continue to spread across the state tonight on
the back side of the front.

AIRMET Sierra will likely continue for mountain obscuration
for portions of Maui County and Big Island tonight as MVFR cigs
continue.

&&

.MARINE...
A pair of fronts will affect the area during the next couple of
days, with much stronger winds accompanying the second front. A
weak cold front near Maui is expected to push slowly east
overnight, and stall in the vicinity of the Big Island Tuesday.
Expect locally fresh southwesterly winds ahead of the front, with
moderate westerly winds behind this feature through tonight.
Southwest winds will strengthen starting Tuesday over the
northwestern waters as the next front moves rapidly down toward
the region. Therefore, a Small Craft Advisory (SCA) has been
issued starting Tuesday morning for the waters surrounding Kauai,
as well as the Oahu Windward waters. Strong to near gale force
west winds are expected behind the front, which will likely pass
over Kauai late Tuesday, and then move down the rest of the island
chain on Wednesday. The west winds will likely reach SCA criteria
over nearly all Hawaiian waters, while local areas of gale force
winds will be possible. In addition, a large northwest swell
combined with locally generated wind waves will likely produce
elevated, hazardous seas over most of the marine area. The winds
are expected to ease by Thursday, with much lighter winds expected
Friday and Saturday. However, seas will likely remain above the
SCA threshold into Friday for most waters exposed to the lingering
northwest swell.

Generally small surf is expected along all shorelines through
Tuesday afternoon. In the short term, the National Data Buoy
Center buoys northwest of Kauai showed a modest increase in short-
period northwest swell earlier today. Expect the small boost in
surf to peak along most north and west facing shores overnight
and early Tuesday. A very large northwest swell (310-320 degrees)
will likely build late Tuesday night and Wednesday, peak Wednesday
night, and then slowly decline Thursday and Friday. An earlier
altimeter pass verified guidance, showing seas of nearly 28 ft in
the source region of the swell about 1400 nm northwest of Kauai.
The storm producing the swell will continue to advance toward the
region at a very low latitude during the next couple of days,
leading to a large swell, possibly in excess of 20 ft, across
Hawaiian waters from Wednesday into early Thursday. Surf will
exceed the High Surf Warning thresholds along most north and west
facing shores, including the leeward Big Island, and due to large
wind waves from the strong west winds, and a mix of medium and
longer period swell energy, the rough conditions could lead to
overwash and coastal erosion, mainly Wednesday evening through
Thursday morning along exposed north and west facing shores. Waves
could periodically overtop some vulnerable roads during the peak
of this event, especially during high tide. The swell will
gradually decline, and shift out of the north-northwest from
Friday through this weekend.

Minimal trade wind swell is expected this week, although there is
some potential for localized wave wrap along east facing shores
exposed to the large northwest swell Wednesday into Friday. Rough
surf may briefly increase on south facing shores as the front
moves down the island chain late Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Watch from 6 AM HST Tuesday through Friday afternoon
for Haleakala Summit-Big Island Summits.

Wind Advisory until 6 AM HST Tuesday for Big Island Summits.

Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM Tuesday to 6 AM HST Wednesday for
Kauai Northwest Waters-Kauai Windward Waters-Kauai Leeward
Waters-Kauai Channel-Oahu Windward Waters.

&&

DISCUSSION...Jelsema
AVIATION...Tsamous
MARINE...Houston

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Big Island Summit

When
March 7, 3:46 AM HST to March 12, 3:42 PM HST
Where
Big Island Summit forecast zone
Measured
80 kt (92 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
19.602, -155.523 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Hawaii in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Hawaii, March 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1084751.