California, 2023

Flood in California, March 16 to 22, 2023

March 16 to 22, 2023 · NWS HNX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

The Merced River at Stevinson exceeded it's flood stage at 71 feet due to controlled dam releases on March 16 and remained above flood stage until March 22 when it finally dropped below 71 feet.

Where it happened

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  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS HNX wrote it up.

The Merced River at Stevinson exceeded it's flood stage at 71 feet due to controlled dam releases on March 16 and remained above flood stage until March 22 when it finally dropped below 71 feet.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hanford, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 16, 2:06 AM PST, 7 hours 54 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 16, 2:06 AM PST, 7 hours 54 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hanford CA
306 AM PDT Thu Mar 16 2023

.SYNOPSIS...Other than some upslope clouds along the foothills
and valley facing slopes this morning, mainly clear skies and calm
weather will continue through Saturday. A weak system may move
through and produce some light precipitation, but the next main
system will move in on Monday and go through Wednesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Shortwave ridging which built into central CA yday
has pushed precipitation out of the area. Some lingering upslope
low clouds persist along the Sierra foothills and the valley
facing slopes of the San Joaquin Valley but expect the low clouds
to dissipate by midday. Other than a slight chance of light
precipitation near Yosemite Park this afternoon and evening, dry
conditions with mild seasonable temperatures will prevail across
the area through Saturday.

The next system that will bring widespread precipitation to our
area will move through the region Sunday morning through Sunday
evening. Impacts from this system are expected to be minimal as
precipitation with this system is anticiapted to be light with a
quarter to a half inch of liquid precipitation in the Sierra
Nevada from Sequoia National Park northward, between a tenth and a
quarter inch of rainfall is expected along the adjacent foothills
with a tenth of an inch or less expected elsewhere in our CWFA.

A much stronger system is progged to impact central CA by Monday
as a large upper trough approaches the CA coast. The trough is
progged to move through CA on Tuesday and Wednesday. GEFS IWVT is
showing a strong atmospheric river accompanying this system with a
deep moisture fetch extending beyond the central Pacific. QPF
progs have been trending higher for this period with most of the
San Joaquin Valley expected to pick up between 1 and 2 inches of
rainfall. The Sierra foothills picking up between 2 and 4 inches
of rainfall and the higher Sierra Nevada picking up between 3 and
6 inches of liquid precipitation. Snow levels are not expected to
be as high as they were with the recent system which brought
widespread flooding to our area with snow levels expected to be
between 5500 and 6000 feet on Monday and lower by about 1000 feet
a day through Wednesday. While flooding remains a threat from this
system due to significant precipitation falling on a very
saturated ground, disruptions to travel from winter weather will
likely be the main concern with adverse impacts possible in the
Sierra foothills and Kern County Mountains by next Wednesday. The
probabilities of exceedance of a half inch of rain for the San
Joaquin Valley on Tuesday is 35-55% and on Wednesday is 20-40%.

&&

.AVIATION...Areas of MVFR ceilings in low clouds along the Sierra
foothills and valley facing slopes until 18Z Thu. Otherwise, VFR
conditions will prevail across the central CA interior for the
next 24 hours.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...None.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is medium.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is low.

Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information
and/or to provide feedback.

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

public...DAS
aviation....DCH

weather.gov/hanford

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 16, 9:30 AM PST, 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD CA
1030 AM PDT THU MAR 16 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     FLOOD            3 NE MCFARLAND          35.71N 119.19W
03/16/2023                   KERN               CA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MINOR FLOODING NEAR MCFARLAND OVERNIGHT.

&&

BRUSDA
Local storm report, Mar 16, 9:33 AM PST, 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD CA
1033 AM PDT THU MAR 16 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0115 AM     FLOOD            8 SW LAKE ISABELLA      35.56N 118.59W
03/16/2023                   KERN               CA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 178 CLOSED BECAUSE OF
            MUD SLIDES THROUGH THE CANYON.

&&

BRUSDA

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Merced

When
March 16, 10:00 AM PST to March 22, 12:45 PM PST
Where
Merced County, 2.5 mi NW of Stevinson to 3.04 mi NNE of Stevinson
Cause
Planned Dam Release
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
37.354, -120.884

The Merced River at Stevinson exceeded it's flood stage of 71 feet due to controlled dam releases of excess snowmelt runoff.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in California, March 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1079619.