Alabama, 2023

Strong Wind in Alabama, January 18, 2023

January 18, 2023 · NWS HUN · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Gusty south winds developed ahead of a cold front and approaching line of thunderstorms. The winds knocked down at least one tree in Colbert County in northwest Alabama.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$500
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS HUN wrote it up.

Gusty south winds developed ahead of a cold front and approaching line of thunderstorms. The winds knocked down at least one tree in Colbert County in northwest Alabama.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Huntsville, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 18, 6:25 PM CST, 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 18, 6:25 PM CST, 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
625 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023

...New AVIATION...

.NEAR TERM...
(Tonight)
Issued at 335 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023

A brief break in cloud cover allowed temperatures in some
locations to climb into the upper 60s/lower 70s. Since then cloud
cover has redeveloped over much of the area. A few light showers
developed earlier as the warm front pushed north and now is
currently over central Tennessee. The earlier fog and cloud cover
through the day has keep us pretty stable. That being said, there
is just a tad of instability and plenty of shear. However, a
strong cap is in place between 850 mb and 700 mb and any
additional forcing south of this warm front is extremely weak.
Could see a few isolated to scattered showers this afternoon into
the early evening hours, but the afore-mentioned factors will work
against any strong to severe thunderstorms from developing.

As deeper and stronger forcing along the approaching frontal
boundary approaches the area around 10 PM, there might be just
enough surface based instability to produce strong to severe
thunderstorms. However, most guidance shows no instability and
extremely minimal elevated instability (<300 J/KG). So overall
threat for a few severe storms has lessened significantly, but
still cannot rule that out in portions of northwest Alabama. Main
threat with any severe storm would be damaging winds or a brief
tornado. Would not be surprised if we just see a line of showers
and embedded strong thunderstorms.

Gradient winds are expected to crank up to between 20 and 30 mph
with gusts around 45 mph outside of thunderstorms this evening and
overnight. A Wind Advisory was issued from 7 PM tonight through 6
AM on Thursday. Expect winds to decrease to between 10 and 15 mph
with gusts around 30 mph toward daybreak.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Thursday through Saturday)
Issued at 335 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023

Most guidance pushes this activity out of most of the area by
daybreak. The exception might be extreme northeastern Alabama,
where some chance of showers could linger just after sunrise.

Most guidance quickly moves the cloud cover out of the area
shortly after daybreak into the early morning hours. Despite some
weak cooler/drier air advection in behind the front, highs should
still get into the lower to mid 60s.

High pressure pushes east into the area Thursday through the day
on Saturday. This should make for colder days and nights through
then. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s are expected on Friday.
Lows should drop into the upper 20s to lower 30s Friday night.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 355 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023

An "atmospheric river" setup that brought a series of storms across
the western CONUS the past couple of weeks has shifted more westward,
now from the Himalayas to around the Date Line. East of the Date
Line, a more active pattern was in place with a few systems moving
ashore, this time more across British Columbia and the Alaska
Panhandle. These systems were then taking a move to the SE, with more
surface cyclones forming east of the Rockies. One such system now
moving ashore British Columbia and the upper Pacific NW will result
in the development of an upper low over the Four-Corners Friday. This
system will spawn the formation of a surface low east of the Rockies
this weekend. This next system will bring more chances of showers
beginning Saturday night, continuing into late Sunday. The precip
should stay all liquid, with daytime highs in the lower 50s and lows
in the mid 30s to low 40s. Rainfall amounts for what it is worth are
forecast to be on the light side, ranging from 1/4 to 1/2 of an inch.

Between systems, a dry period is forecast on Monday/Mon night as yet
another system coming ashore creates another area of low pressure
more over the Deep South, then moving it over the region Tue/Wed. It
will bring more showers for the early week. The Canadian run has the
low moving more over the Ohio Valley, bringing a better opportunity
for isolated thunder mixed in more scattered showers. The GFS/ECMWF
tracks the low over this region which would bring more of a cold
rain. In either case, temperatures should trend cooler as we go into
the middle of next week. Lows should range in the mid/upper 30s,
with highs in the low 50s. Depending on how long precipitation
continues on Wed, a mix with snow cannot be ruled out to close out
the forecast. Stayed all liquid this go around pending future model
runs.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 625 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023

A layer of MVFR stratus currently observed at the terminals will
continue to descend early in the TAF period, as southerly low-
level flow strengthens ahead of an approaching sfc trough and
broken QLCS across southwestern TN/northern MS. Cigs will fall to
arnd 1500 ft by 2Z, with an increasing coverage of light SHRA, and
LLWS has also been included at this time due to the magnitude of
the low-level jet. The broken QLCS is expected to arrive arnd 4-5Z
at MSL and will progress east-southeastward during the early
morning hours. TEMPO groups have been included at MSL/4-8Z and
HSV/6-10Z to indicate periods of +SHRA and more significant
reductions in cig/vsby. Conditions will improve during the second
half of the TAF period, with sfc winds veering to SW in the wake
of the trough and increasing to 10G18 knots once again by 14Z.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

AL...Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST Thursday for ALZ001>010-016.

TN...Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST Thursday for TNZ076-096-097.

&&

NEAR TERM...KTW
SHORT TERM...KTW
LONG TERM...09
AVIATION...70/DD

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Strong Wind, Colbert

When
January 18, 7:00 PM CST to 8:00 PM CST
Where
Colbert forecast zone
Measured
39 kt (45 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$500
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
34.700, -87.805 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A tree was knocked down at 2085 Jackson Highway at the Wesley Memorial Methodist Church.

What these are

Strong Wind
Non-thunderstorm winds below high wind criteria that nonetheless caused damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alabama in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Alabama, January 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1076816.