Wyoming, 2022

High Wind in Wyoming, February 19, 2022

February 19, 2022 · NWS RIW · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

High winds developed in the lee of the Absaroka Range ahead of an advancing cold front. The highest wind gust of 95 mph occurred along Chief Joseph Highway.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

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  • Hail
  • Winter weather
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  • Cold
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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS RIW wrote it up.

High winds developed in the lee of the Absaroka Range ahead of an advancing cold front. The highest wind gust of 95 mph occurred along Chief Joseph Highway. In the Cody Foothills, a peak gust of 64 mph was recorded along Wyoming Highway 120 near Meeteetse.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Riverton, WY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 19, 9:45 AM MST, 5 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 19, 9:45 AM MST, 5 hours 27 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Riverton WY
945 AM MST Sat Feb 19 2022

.SHORT TERM...Today through Monday night

We have a lot of talk about this morning, including a pattern change
that given the mild winter we have had so far will hit a lot of
people like an uppercut from Mike Tyson.

Things looks fairly quiet in the precipitation department for the
first 24 hours or so with the exception of some snow showers in the
northwest. The first concern will be wind. A subtle shortwave will
move through the area today. In addition, an Arctic Front will begin
to drop southward out of Canada and into Montana. This will tighten
up the pressure gradient across the area and bring strong winds to
much of the area. The strongest winds will be across the north,
where models show 700 millibar winds approaching 65 knots by late
today and tonight. With this, we will continue the high wind warning
for the Cody Foothills. Winds past 50 mph have already been reported
along the Chief Joseph Highway, so we will add the Absarokas to the
warning as well. The strongest winds would likely be late today and
tonight, when they usually occur though. Windy conditions are also
likely in other wind prone areas. We thought about a high wind
warning for Natrona County and the Green Mountains but decided
against it. There may be a few high wind gusts in the wind prone
areas south of Casper but it does not look widespread. There could
be a few in the Green Mountains as well but only at the highest
elevations where impacts would be zero. We will continue the Special
Weather Statement for now. The wind alignment does not look ideal
for the Upper Wind River Basin, so we will stick with a statement
there as well. There could be some strong winds in Johnson County as
well, but these would be later tonight and again, should remain
below high wind thresholds. Temperatures should be above normal for
most areas.

The aforementioned Arctic Boundary will begin to slide into the area
Sunday morning, but should remain north of the area through at least
early afternoon. This should bring a breezy to windy and mild day
for most. The effects will begin to be felt in the north late, but
other areas, any precipitation should hold off until after dark. As
for amounts, this is an Arctic airmass and does not hold a lot of
moisture. The dendritic growth layer is not optimal either.
However, this will be a high ratio snow with the very cold air
coming in behind it. As for highlights, it is still a bit too
early but widespread advisories look to be the most likely
solution. Snow will spread southward Sunday night and continue
into Monday and possibly Monday night through the area. A lot of
the snow will be driven by jet dynamics as well and this leads to
the quandary we have had with many systems this winter. That is
that the snow will be banded and the models, including the high
resolution models, have a difficult time nailing these down;
especially this far out. Adding to this is a bit of energy coming
around the base of the trough Monday into Monday evening that
could bring enhanced snowfall to central and southern Wyoming.
This will likely be a narrow band and a 50 mile spread can make a
big difference. So for now, we have made few changes to the
snowfall amounts. Regardless of amounts, the dry powdery snow will
blow around with breezy conditions and bring difficult travel
conditions.

Now on to temperatures. Cold air will drop in Sunday night and into
Monday and bring the coldest day for quite a while. Many areas may
have steady or slowly falling temperatures on Monday so many if the
highs in the forecast may be morning highs. A few spots may see
record low maximum temperatures on Monday, especially in the north.
Monday night will be very cold as well but with cyclonic curvature
lingering over the area cloud cover may linger and keep things from
getting super cold. The coldest time will likely be Tuesday. My
partner will have more on that in the long range discussion. Also,
with it being late February and not early January, somewhat shorter
nights and a higher sun angle may keep things from getting as cold
as they would earlier in the winter.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 226 AM MST Sat Feb 19 2022

On Tuesday, a positively tilted trough will be across the western
U.S. to Hudson Bay. A shortwave pulling across the forecast area
will continue a chance of light snow mainly in the morning. Strong
energy on the backside of the overall longwave trough looks to dive
southward into California on Wednesday. This energy then pulls
eastward across the southern and central Rockies Wednesday night and
Thursday. At the same time, Wednesday and Thursday, there will be
weaker energy pulling east across the northern Rockies. The best
chance of any snowfall looks to be over southern areas of the
forecast area. The main issue will be the bitter cold temperatures.

On Tuesday, 700mb temperatures should be 20 below to 25 below zero,
warming to 15 below to 20 below zero on Wednesday. This will result
in bitterly cold temperatures. Record coldest highs look likely to
be set Tuesday and/or Wednesday. Some record lows are possible, but
not as dramatic as how cold the highs will be both days. On Tuesday
night/Wednesday morning a 1045mb surface high will be over the
northern High Plains, before weakening a bit and pulling away from
the area Wednesday night. The 00Z deterministic GFS shows clearing
especially north and central areas Tuesday night which could
result in the coldest lows of this winter season. However there is
more confidence in mostly clear skies Wednesday night. Also the
winds look to be lighter on Wednesday night than Tuesday night. So
a few variables out there to decide which one will end up bing
the coldest morning of the two.

In wake of the trough, a strong northwest flow is expected Thursday
and Friday. A quick moving shortwave trough in the flow could impact
the area with chances of snow on Friday mainly in the mountains.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 943 AM MST Sat Feb 19 2022

Weather conditions remain mostly quiet through the period with
prevailing VFR across the area. Winds will be increasing ahead of
the next system today and tomorrow. Gusts this afternoon will
generally range from 20 to 30 knots, but higher gusts up to 45 knots
are possible at KCPR and up to 50 knots possible at KCOD. It stays
windy tonight, but gusts should not be as prevalent. Clear skies
this afternoon give way to Scattered high clouds this evening.
ceilings will gradually go from scattered to broken and lower
tonight into Sunday, but will stay VFR. VCSH are likely from KJAC
to KPNA and KBPI Sunday morning.

Please see the Aviation Weather Center and/or CWSU ZDV and ZLC for
the latest information on icing and turbulence forecasts.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Other then some snow showers in northwestern Wyoming, it will be a
dry and mild day across most of the area. Strong to high winds will
be likely in the wind prone areas, especially in the lee of the
Absarokas and from east of Rock Springs through Casper. Many
areas will have breezy conditions through. Relative humidity will
remain above critical level. Mixing and smoke dispersal will range
from poor in the basins to good in the normally windier
locations.

&&

.RIW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Warning until 5 AM MST Sunday for WYZ002-003.

&&

SHORT TERM...Hattings
LONG TERM...Murrell
AVIATION...Rowe
FIRE WEATHER...Hattings
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 19, 2:45 PM MST, 27 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...Retransmitted
National Weather Service Riverton WY
245 PM MST Sat Feb 19 2022

WYZ001>020-022>030-202145-
Yellowstone National Park-Absaroka Mountains-Cody Foothills-
North Big Horn Basin-Southwest Big Horn Basin-
Southeast Big Horn Basin-Owl Creek and Bridger Mountains-
Bighorn Mountains West-Bighorn Mountains Southeast-
Northeast Johnson County-Southeast Johnson County-
Teton and Gros Ventre Mountains-Jackson Hole-
Wind River Mountains West-Wind River Mountains East-
Upper Wind River Basin-Wind River Basin-Lander Foothills-
Green Mountains and Rattlesnake Range-
Natrona County Lower Elevations-Casper Mountain-Star Valley-
Salt River and Wyoming Ranges-Upper Green River Basin Foothills-
Upper Green River Basin-South Lincoln County-
Rock Springs and Green River-Flaming Gorge-East Sweetwater County-
245 PM MST Sat Feb 19 2022

...High Wind Warning through Sunday morning for the Cody Foothills
and Absarokas...

...Winter Weather Advisories Sunday morning through Monday night
for Yellowstone Park and the Northwestern Mountains...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Western and Central
Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Strong and gusty southwest and west winds likely in the Cody
Foothills, Absarokas, and from Muddy Gap to Casper. Please see
High Wind Warning and Special Weather Statements for Details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Sunday through Tuesday...Much colder with a good chance of snow
across the entire area. The most significant snow should occur
Sunday night through Monday evening, but placement and amounts
remain uncertain at this time.

Monday through Wednesday...Bitter cold temperatures.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report snowfall amounts and any
wind damage.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Absaroka Mountains

When
February 19, 3:12 PM MST to 10:00 PM MST
Where
Absaroka Mountains forecast zone
Measured
95 kt (109 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
43.760, -108.887 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

High wind blew for several hours along Chief Joseph Highway with a maximum wind gust of 95 mph.

High Wind, Cody Foothills

When
February 19, 6:15 PM MST to 11:45 PM MST
Where
Cody Foothills forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
44.521, -109.588 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Wind gusts over 60 mph were reported in the Cody Foothills, with a maximum gust of 64 mph along Wyoming Highway 120 over Meeteetse Rim north of Meeteetse.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Wyoming in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Wyoming, February 2022

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1006460, 1006461.