Texas, 2022

High Wind in Texas, March 13, 2022

March 13, 2022 · NWS MAF · 1 event in 1 county or zone

An upper level storm system moved across the central Rocky Mountains bringing brief strong winds to the higher elevations of the Guadalupe Mountains.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.

An upper level storm system moved across the central Rocky Mountains bringing brief strong winds to the higher elevations of the Guadalupe Mountains.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 13, 9:38 PM CST, 1 hour 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 13, 9:38 PM CST, 1 hour 10 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1038 PM CDT Sun Mar 13 2022

...New FIRE WEATHER...

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 PM CDT Sun Mar 13 2022

VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. Winds will be
elevated with some gusts this evening out of the southeast to
southwest. Winds will weaken some overnight and will become more
westerly. Winds will become gusty out of the northwest to north
Monday afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday night)
Issued at 212 PM CDT Sun Mar 13 2022

A much warmer day is underway across Southeast New Mexico and West
Texas, with high temperatures this afternoon expected to top out in
the upper 60s and 70s. At least intermittently breezy conditions are
expected through tonight, particularly across eastern portions of
the area as a low-level jet develops. Low temperatures tonight will
continue to trend warmer, and are expected to be fairly close to
normal in the upper 30s and 40s for most locations.

A big change arrives Monday in the form of a positively-tilted
trough that will deepen as it swings from the Great Basin across the
Rockies, skirting just north of the region Monday late morning
through afternoon. In response to this trough and the associated
~100kt 300mb jet rounding its base, winds will increase
substantially across the region. By late morning into early
afternoon, west-northwesterly winds will become strong across
western areas, particularly across the higher terrain, and then
gradually expand eastward across the Plains. Have elected to upgrade
the High Wind Watch to a High Wind Warning in the Guadalupe
Mountains, and while this warning may need to be expanded, and an
accompanying advisory issued for adjacent areas, will defer to the
next forecast package, given fairly significant discrepancies among
current deterministic guidance. As the Pacific Front associated with
this trough surges across the region, temperatures Monday afternoon
will be a few degrees cooler than today, with highs in the upper 50s
and 60s, with 70s and even lower 80s focused east and south.
However, despite temperatures remaining near or even slightly below
normal in some spots, it will be very dry, with the windy conditions
expected to yield critical to extreme fire weather conditions
possible for a large portion of the region. Additional details on
this can be found in the Fire Weather Discussion below. Of
additional concern late Monday afternoon into Monday evening is the
potential for high based showers/thunderstorms, which would mainly
impact only far northern portions of the region in closer proximity
to the passing trough. For now, have maintained a dry forecast,with
a bulk of this activity expected to remain just north of the area.

Monday evening, the aforementioned trough will quickly progress
eastward across the Red River Valley, with winds expected to
diminish rapidly in its wake. A weak trailing cold front Monday
night will yield cooler overnight temperatures, ranging from the
upper 20s and lower 30s north to the 40s south, with light
northwesterly to northerly flow continuing through the night.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through  Saturday)
Issued at 212 PM CDT Sun Mar 13 2022

Upper ridge builds into the region Tuesday becoming established over
the area Wednesday.  Behind this the next trough Wednesday will
extend from the Canadian border down through the great Basin to
Mexico. This trough will move into NM early Thursday... then across
the Panhandle and into OK by that evening.  High pressure builds
back over the region Friday and Saturday.

Temperatures Tuesday will warm into the 70s across the region as a
return to a S wind aids the recovery from the recent cold front.
Wednesday will be the warmest day of the week as widespread 80s
expected.  Thursday looking windy as a Pacific front pushes across
the area leaving a gusty W wind in its wake... then a polar front
moves down into the area with a N wind during the late afternoon.
Friday will only warm into the 60s but temps rebound quickly by the
weekend. Lows mainly in the 30s and 40s.

No rain. Thursday may be another high wind event in the
Guadalupes.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1034 PM CDT Sun Mar 13 2022

Today's RFW has expired and we have upgraded the watch for Monday
to warning. Concerns will be maximized across the eastern half or
so of the Trans Pecos where a strong mid-level jet will intersect
the low-level thermal ridge. Widespread critical to extreme fire
wx will align with dry to critically dry fuels, especially Pecos
and Terrell counties. An afternoon wind shift to the nw assocd
with a cold front will increase concerns for any fire that might
be ongoing.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               43  70  38  72 /   0  10   0   0
Carlsbad                 42  68  34  73 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   40  82  45  76 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            46  74  39  73 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           43  61  39  65 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    38  64  32  70 /   0  10   0   0
Marfa                    30  67  27  70 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     43  70  37  72 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   44  70  37  72 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     37  71  34  72 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Red Flag Warning from 9 AM CDT /8 AM MDT/ to 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/
     Monday for Central Brewster County-Chinati Mountains-Chisos
     Basin-Crane-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-
     Eastern Culberson County-Ector-Guadalupe and Delaware
     Mountains-Loving-Lower Brewster County-Marfa Plateau-
     Midland-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Reagan-Reeves County Plains-
     Terrell-Upton-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.

     High Wind Warning from noon CDT /11 AM MDT/ to 8 PM CDT /7 PM
     MDT/ Monday for Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
     Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

NM...Red Flag Warning from 8 AM to 7 PM MDT Monday for Eddy Plains-
     Lea.

     High Wind Warning from 11 AM to 7 PM MDT Monday for Guadalupe
     Mountains of Eddy County.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 13, 9:24 PM CST, 1 hour 24 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1024 PM CDT Sun Mar 13 2022

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-150330-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
1024 PM CDT Sun Mar 13 2022 /924 PM MDT Sun Mar 13 2022/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

A High Wind Warning is in effect Monday afternoon and evening for
the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

A Red Flag Warning is in effect Monday for Southeast New Mexico and
most of West Texas.

Critical fire weather conditions will be possible again Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the
NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet

When
March 13, 10:48 PM CST to 11:38 PM CST
Where
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet forecast zone
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) measured gust
Reported by
RAWS
Coordinates
31.447, -104.517 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, March 2022

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1017287.