High pressure over the southeastern United States produced breezy southerly winds which combined with low relative humidity led to elevated fire weather conditions.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EWX wrote it up.
High pressure over the southeastern United States produced breezy southerly winds which combined with low relative humidity led to elevated fire weather conditions.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 13, 11:23 AM CST, 1 hour 7 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 1223 PM CDT Sun Mar 13 2022 .AVIATION... (13/18Z TAFs) VFR flying conditions this afternoon into evening become MVFR CIGs overnight at the I-35 sites and early Monday morning at KDRT. There is a potential for brief IFR CIGs early in the morning mainly at KSAT. Cannot rule out --SHRA at the I-35 sites early in the morning, however PROBS are too low to mention. Skies mix out to VFR by midday at KDRT and early afternoon at the I-35 sites. Southerly, except southeasterly at KDRT, winds of 10 to 15 KTs with gusts to 25 KTs this afternoon become more stable at 7 to 12 KTs this evening into overnight. Speeds increase to 10 to 20 KTs with gusts to 28 KTs on Monday at the I-35 sites. However, will shift to northwesterly Monday afternoon at KDRT. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 400 AM CDT Sun Mar 13 2022/ .New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... SHORT TERM... (Today through Monday) Issued at 359 AM CDT Sun Mar 13 2022 Decoupled winds and very low dewpoints should make for an interesting analysis of min temps this morning. Several obs in the mid 20s has already been observed in the Hill Country and adjacent valleys below the escarpment, which is concerning in regards to how well the model guidances are doing on low temp forecasts. Good mixing is expected after sunrise, so the temp discrepancies between hill and valley should wash out by midday. Such a cold collective starting point on temps will not be enough to get high temps back to mid-March normals for this afternoon, but a return into the mid 60s to low 70s is a great start. An upstream upper low digging diving SE in the polar westerlies aloft toward TX hasn't made much impact on surface winds overnight, but should be a good influence after sunrise, with winds of 15 to 25 mph expected by afternoon. This will likely lead to areas of elevated to near critical fire weather conditions; that narrative will be a common theme for much of this week, especially over the higher terrain areas of the Hill Country and Edwards Plateau. Gulf influenced surface dewpoints will increase with a much deeper marine layer above them tonight. The approaching storm system should carry the increasing wind momentum into tonight, so much less wind decoupling is expected, and no fog is currently forecast when near saturated surface conditions return. A couple finer resolution models hint at some drizzle, but this is not reflected in enough solutions to be taken seriously enough for a mention in the forecast. Daybreak Monday morning will thus have a touch of spring with a steady S/SE breeze and low temps a good 15 or more degrees warmer than from the previous morning. Some hazardous weather conditions come into play by Monday afternoon. A dry-line sets up over western counties with elevated to near critical fire weather conditions, while there is a non-zero chance for thunderstorms generally near the Hwy 77 corridor. The moist layer looks too shallow and too unlikely to break a capping inversion without frontal forcing, so the considerations for strong storms will not be discussed, as it is assumed the cap will hold through 00Z. However, the cold front arriving with the deepening upper low will arrive into our NW counties where very dry conditions have already developed by late afternoon. While most of the higher wind speeds are expected to fall in the 00Z to 03Z timeframe, the conditions in the late afternoon and much of the evening would suggest at least 3 of our western counties will meet the weather thresholds for Red Flag Warning criteria. Thus a Fire Weather Watch will be posted for the Edwards, Val Verde and Kinney counties starting at 21Z. Sharp packing of the 500 mb isobars over DRT would suggest some of those stronger mid level winds and strong mixing would make the higher surface wind speeds arrive a bit ahead of the actual cold front. LONG TERM... (Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 359 AM CDT Sun Mar 13 2022 A weak cold front will be pushing through the area Monday night and will bring with it a 20-40 percent chance of showers and storms to areas along and east of the I35 corridor. There will be ample shear for organized convection, but CAPE values around 500 J/kg should limit intensity for the most part. SPC has our extreme eastern CWA in a marginal risk for severe storms but should not see much more than an isolated strong storm or two given lack of moderate instability. On Tuesday behind this frontal system, highs will still remain in the 70s and 80s with another day of humidity values in the teens out west and in the 20s and 30s elsewhere. North wind speeds in the afternoon should be in the 12-17 mph range leading to another day of elevated to near critical fire weather conditions. Another couple of days of elevated to near critical fire weather conditions can be expected Wednesday/Thursday out west as very low dewpoints then combine with winds out of the south around 12-20 mph as southerly flow increases ahead of the next frontal system on Wednesday with westerly flow on Thursday. This front will arrive to the area Thursday night and bring with it a low chance of rain to the eastern areas. This front will keep afternoon humidity values in the 17-35 percent range for the entire CWA Friday and Saturday continuing the elevated to near critical fire weather conditions. The dry air will also allow for cool night time lows with relatively warm temperatures during the daytime for highs. AVIATION... /06Z TAFS/ No changes to the previous aviation discussion. So here we go again. VFR conditions are forecast for the area terminals with a southeast to south wind flow prevailing through the period. Light and variable winds are forecast for the I-35 airports through at least 15Z Sunday. Then, the southerly wind flow increases as mixing take place with gusts of 15 to 25 knots mainly during the afternoon. Winds across KDRT are forecast to stay around 6 to 8 knots overnight and pickup by mid to late Sunday morning into the afternoon period. Winds do come down to 12 knots or less across the area around 02Z Monday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 66 50 79 50 76 / 0 0 10 20 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 67 49 79 49 76 / 0 0 10 20 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 68 48 79 49 78 / 0 - - 20 0 Burnet Muni Airport 65 49 79 47 74 / 0 0 - 10 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 70 48 86 48 82 / 0 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 66 49 79 48 75 / 0 0 10 20 0 Hondo Muni Airport 70 47 82 47 81 / 0 0 0 - 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 67 48 79 48 77 / 0 0 - 20 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 67 51 79 51 74 / 0 - 20 30 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 67 50 79 51 77 / 0 - - 10 0 Stinson Muni Airport 71 51 83 52 81 / 0 0 - 10 0 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Fire Weather Watch from Monday afternoon through Monday evening for Edwards-Kinney-Val Verde. && Short-Term/Aviation...04 Long-Term...Brady
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 450 AM CDT Sun Mar 13 2022 TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-141000- Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera- Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde- Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala- Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit- 450 AM CDT Sun Mar 13 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas.. .DAY ONE...Today And Tonight. Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are expected today west of the I-35 corridor. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. A dry cold front and gusty winds will warrant a Fire Weather Watch for Val Verde...Edwards...and Kinney Counties Monday afternoon and evening. Some elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are possible west of Interstate 35 each day through at least Friday as dry air and breezy winds continue. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.
The Buddy Wildfire started approximately 8 miles WNW of Johnson City during the afternoon of the 13th. Winds gusted at 15 to 20 mph in the area during this time. The fire burned 1,469 acres before it was contained on the 16th.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, March 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1014473.