The D2 Severe Drought status extended into the west half of Red Willow County this month. Precipitation amounts were up to an inch below normal.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GLD wrote it up.
The D2 Severe Drought status extended into the west half of Red Willow County this month. Precipitation amounts were up to an inch below normal.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 7, 10:47 PM CST, 1 hour 13 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Goodland KS 947 PM MST Mon Feb 7 2022 .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday Night) Issued at 222 PM MST Mon Feb 7 2022 The short term period begins with northwesterly flow over the region as trough begins to develop over the northern plains in part with a developing closed low over the Great Lakes. Clear skies and quiet weather is expected for tonight as overnight lows fall into the 20s to perhaps a few areas in the low 30s as westerly winds develop overnight. The focus then turns to fire weather for Tuesday as a Fire Weather Watch has been issued for Red Willow, Norton, Decatur, Sheridan and Graham counties. The above mentioned trough moves further south towards the area along with a weak cold front. Winds increase starting mid morning in part to trough as gusts up to 40 mph look likely, with sustained winds of 20-25 mph. GFS forecast soundings indicate deep mixing up to 8000 feet which seems very reasonable given the unseasonable warmer temperatures. A deciding factor for the watch is that temperatures the past few days have exceeded expectations and have tapped into the stronger winds aloft. The forecasted RH values are not currently within criteria but if the same trend over the past few days continues will not be surprised if at least an hour or two of critical fire weather develops within the watch area. The area has also been deprived of any snowfall over the past few weeks which leads to drier conditions than the rest of the CWA currently. SPC has also introduced a critical fire area over the watch with the current thinking the main factor in the decision. Thought about extending the watch further west (Hitchcock, Dundy, Rawlins counties) however looking at the past monthly precipitation data, that area saw more precipitation, therefore slightly mitigating the risk. Temperatures for Tuesday will range from the upper 40s over east Colorado to the upper 50s to perhaps low 60s over the northeast portion of the area. Tuesday night winds will begin to weaken around sunset as overnight lows fall into the low to upper 20s. Wednesday, highs will be slightly cooler in wake of the previous day cold frontal passage as highs in the upper 40s to upper 50s continue. A weak shortwave within the northwesterly flow moves through the area overnight Wednesday and into Thursday morning resulting in the potential for some rain/snow showers across portions of the area. Overall precipitation accumulation looks to be minimal with a few hundredths of an inch currently forecasted. .LONG TERM...(Thursday through Monday) Issued at 222 PM MST Mon Feb 7 2022 The start of the extended period continues the spring like temperatures across the area with highs in the 50s on Thursday and potentially into the mid 60s over parts of the CWA on Friday. A potent clipper system develops over the Great Lakes on Friday which brings a trough along with a cold front through the area. Winds on Friday look to become breezy in part to the trough as wind gusts of 30 mph look probable at this time. Overnight lows Thursday look to remain in the upper 20s to just above freezing over the eastern portions of the area. Overnight lows for Friday are expected to be colder behind the front with temperatures in the upper teens to mid 20s. A brief cool down on Saturday into the 40s is expected before another warming trend for Sunday and next Monday. Highs for Sunday are in the 50s for the entire area and the 60s for Monday. Overnight lows in the mid 20s are currently forecasted. Each day has elevated fire weather conditions developing as RH values are forecasted into the mid teens to low 20s over nearly the entire forecast area. Winds for each day are currently forecasted to range from 10-20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. These days will continue to be monitored for any changes regarding the fire weather potential. && .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night) Issued at 943 PM MST Mon Feb 7 2022 For KGLD and KMCK... VFR conditions are expected through the period. Skies will be clear through the period. Winds will begin to increase just above the surface around 10-13Z. While not currently meeting wind shear criteria, expect speed increases of at least 25 knots through the lower few thousand feet. Winds through the daytime hours will increase in speed and shift to out of the north-northwest. Near surface gusts are forecasted to increase to around 30kts by the afternoon hours. Winds will decrease in speed and shift to out of the west after 0Z. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 330 PM MST Mon Feb 7 2022 Winds will increase tomorrow with development of a trough and an associated dry cold frontal passage. NNW winds will increase through the morning hours with sustained winds of 20-25 knots. A deep mixing layer indicates 30-40 knot winds within. The fire weather watch for Red Willow, Decatur, Norton, Sheridan and Graham counties was placed within an area that has been deprived of snowfall as precipitation analysis indicates those within the watch area have received 0.01 to 0.1 inches of moisture over the past 30 days. Despite the current forecast not having RH values in RFW criteria, any fires that may develop will have the capability of becoming out of control due to the strong winds and dry conditions. The potential does exists for RH values to drop further in upcoming forecasts. && .GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...Fire Weather Watch Tuesday afternoon for KSZ003-004-015-016. CO...NONE. NE...Fire Weather Watch Tuesday afternoon for NEZ081. && SHORT TERM...TT LONG TERM...TT AVIATION...KAK FIRE WEATHER...TT
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Goodland KS 940 PM MST Mon Feb 7 2022 COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-090445- Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas- Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock- Red Willow- 940 PM MST Mon Feb 7 2022 /1040 PM CST Mon Feb 7 2022/ This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska... northwest Kansas and east central Colorado. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY... A Fire Weather Watch is in effect Tuesday afternoon for locations along and east of a line from Culbertson, Nebraska to Hoxie, Kansas. Gusty northwest winds are expected Tuesday as gusts of 40-45 mph are expected. The winds may make travel difficult for high profile vehicles on east-west highways such as Interstate 70. Elevated Fire Weather conditions are possible again Sunday afternoon. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Precipitation amounts ranged from 0.00-0.01 for the month. Normal precipitation amounts range from 0.50-1.00. The precipitation amounts were half an inch to one inch below normal.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Nebraska in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Nebraska, February 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1000829.