A nearly stationary front sagged slowly southeast across the region from the 1st to the 4th. Heavy rainfall on the 2nd was followed by snow and sleet on the 3rd and 4th.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
A nearly stationary front sagged slowly southeast across the region from the 1st to the 4th. Heavy rainfall on the 2nd was followed by snow and sleet on the 3rd and 4th. Rainfall totals and liquid water equivalents during this time totaled between 2 and 3 inches. Some minor river flooding ensued.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 8, 5:21 PM CST, 24 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY Issued by National Weather Service Springfield MO 521 PM CST Tue Feb 8 2022 .SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Thursday) Issued at 233 PM CST Tue Feb 8 2022 A mild day is occurring across the quad state region this afternoon as temperatures have warmed into the upper 40s to mid 50s thanks to southwesterly winds and sunny skies. Some cloud cover moves into the area overnight into tomorrow as a cold front passes west to east across the region on Wednesday afternoon into evening. Due to the later passage of the front, high temperatures on Wednesday will again be mild and very similar to today. Weather should generally remain dry given a relative lack of moisture with the frontal passage, but the RAP and HRRR short term models do suggest some low-end isolated shower chances across southern Illinois and Indiana. Have included slight chance PoPs Wednesday evening to account for this. Dry conditions and slightly cooler temperatures in the 40s to low 50s (coldest over the northern CWA) are in store for Thursday under mostly clear skies a weak surface high pressure moves over the quad state region. .LONG TERM...(Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 233 PM CST Tue Feb 8 2022 Overview: Overall, this portion of the forecast looks predominately dry, though some low end precipitation chances will be possible again on Friday and Saturday despite some model variance. The upper-level pattern late this week into early next week will be mainly defined by west to northwesterly flow across the region given am upper-level ridge over the eastern Pacific and western CONUS and a general troughing pattern over the eastern half of the CONUS. Friday-Tuesday: Inside this northwesterly upper-level pattern, a couple shortwave trough/surface cold front pairs are expected across the region: the first on Friday evening into Saturday and another on Sunday night into Monday. The overall moisture return with these systems are lacking, but the GEFS does show a weak remnant of Pacific moisture present with the Friday-Saturday system. This could be just enough moisture to produce some light, measurable precipitation for the area, but chances are low at the moment. If we do see precipitation with the Friday-Saturday system, it looks to be mainly in the form of rain, but could briefly mix with snow if any precipitation falls Friday night. The Sunday night clipper system looks to be even more moisture starved, so this is currently reflected in a dry forecast for Sunday night-Monday. A colder airmass moves in behind the late Friday cold front, dropping high temperatures back into the 30s for Saturday and Sunday. Model consensus is in fairly good agreement on a shortwave ridge moving over the central CONUS early next week, which should lead to temperatures gradually warming back to near 50 degrees by Tuesday with the early portion of the week remaining dry. Mid-late next week: Larger upper-level troughing digs through the Rockies into the central CONUS, with an associated surface low developing with it. Ensemble guidance hints at a better fetch of western Gulf moisture being brought northward with this system, with a potentially wetter pattern in store for this timeframe further backed by a wet signal in the CIPS extended analog guidance. && .AVIATION... Issued at 514 PM CST Tue Feb 8 2022 Initially clear skies will continue into tonight before some mid level cloud cover slides over the region. Despite clouds moving over the area, VFR flight conditions will prevail. In advance of an approaching dry cold front, low level winds shear will impact the areas TAF sites into the early morning before diminishing early in the morning. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && SHORT TERM...WFO SGF LONG TERM...WFO SGF AVIATION...WFO SGF
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Paducah KY Issued by National Weather Service Springfield MO 135 PM CST Tue Feb 8 2022 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-091945- Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell- Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean- Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- 135 PM CST Tue Feb 8 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding occurred on the Ohio River. Some low-lying fields and woodlands were underwater.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Illinois in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Illinois, February 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1006573.