New Mexico, 2017

High Wind in New Mexico, January 19, 2017

January 19, 2017 · NWS ABQ · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Strong westerly flow aloft and a surface lee trough over eastern New Mexico generated localized high winds over the high plains. The strongest winds occurred in the area from near Clines Corners south into rural eastern Lincoln County.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.

Strong westerly flow aloft and a surface lee trough over eastern New Mexico generated localized high winds over the high plains. The strongest winds occurred in the area from near Clines Corners south into rural eastern Lincoln County. Sustained winds averaged 40 to 45 mph with gusts near 60 mph.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 18, 10:51 PM MST, 4 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 18, 10:51 PM MST, 4 hours 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1051 PM MST Wed Jan 18 2017

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF CYCLE
All TAF sites hanging on to VFR at the moment, but some will drop
to MVFR or IFR during the night, and to LIFR conditions at GUP and
possibly FMN. Precipitation free overnight into early Thursday
afternoon. Rain and snow showers will develop later Thursday
afternoon over the northwest, including KGUP and KFMN, but for
now only VCSH. Windy conditions tonight and Thursday over the
central mountains onto the east slopes and highlands. Strongest
winds around CQC with gusts approaching 50 kt.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...332 PM MST Wed Jan 18 2017...
.SYNOPSIS...
An upper level low pressure system over New Mexico is sluggishly
shifting eastward. Some isolated showers and perhaps a stray
thunderstorm will be possible in some central to eastern sections
of the state through the evening, but thereafter mostly dry
conditions will prevail overnight. Some areas of low clouds and
fog could redevelop toward dawn Thursday. A short-lived ridge of
high pressure will move over New Mexico Thursday, but will quickly
give way to a one-two punch of unsettled weather. A first
disturbance, arriving late Thursday into Friday, will bring some
precipitation to central and western New Mexico with more
widespread precipitation into Saturday as the second disturbance
arrives. Cooler temperatures, accumulating mountain snow, and a
mix of rain and snow in the valleys are expected through this
time.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Isolated showers are blossoming over central, east central and
southeastern NM with prospects for a few lightning strikes before
mid evening, given some sufficient temperature lapse rates. Have
held onto some low POPs through mid evening with chances
diminishing thereafter as the upper low shifts farther away and
the atmosphere stabilizes. Low clouds and some patchy fog are
expected, but the areal extent should be less than was observed
this morning.

Into Thursday, short wave ridging will be observed on a short-
lived basis. Toward late Thursday afternoon the next round of
upper level forcing will arrive with increasing dynamics from the
next trough aloft. Sufficient Pacific moisture and some
orographics on west facing slopes will yield areas of
precipitation, generally in the form of valley rain and mountain
snow during the daytime, changing over to all snow in the
overnight hours. Overall Thursday's high temperatures will not
deviate too much from today's highs, and strong winds will persist
in the central mountains and highlands. Into Thursday night and
early Friday the initial short wave trough will race to the
northeast corner of NM with a second trough on its heels.

While short wave ridging would be observed during the day Friday,
the moisture and orographics should keep precipitation going in
the central to western NM zones. Friday will see cooler
temperatures, but any snow will likely still change over to rain
in lower elevation valleys Friday afternoon. Precipitation will
become more widespread and likely more substantial into Friday
night and Saturday with a lot more assistance from a stronger jet
streak aloft ushering in the next trough. This trough will likely
deepen and even close off into a low just beyond eastern NM late
Saturday. Overall QPF amounts are moderate to fairly high, and
could yield a few to several inches of snow for the mountainous
zones of central to western NM. The southward extent of the higher
QPF is notable with some of the southwestern mountains/Gila of NM
also faring quite well with several inches possible due to the
better moisture tap the jet is progged to make.

Sunday will be a chilly morning, but precipitation should wane
into the afternoon. The upper level pattern remains progressively
unsettled with another low crossing the intermountain west Monday
and Tuesday.

52

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Wrap around moisture from the lingering upper level low across the
northern half of the state will keep cloud and occasional rain
showers around throughout the rest of the evening before slowly
exiting east of Tucumcari overnight. Occasional showers will develop
along and east of the central mtn chain. Low clouds/freezing fog
potential looks to develop again tonight across the northwest and
west central highlands. Meanwhile, overnight Rh recoveries will be
good to excellent the next several days.

As the upper low exits the state to our east, drier mid level air
will filter in from the N/NW Thurs as a brief upper level ridge sets
up over the state. Temperatures will be normal to above normal
central and east with lower daytime Rh values east of the estancia
valley in the upper teens/low 20s. W/NW winds will also increase
areawide with greater gusts along and east of the central mtn chain.
Thursday night, wetting precipitation will begin developing across
west as pref upper level ridging breaks down allowing mid to upper
level moisture to filter in.

Fri through early next week, a series of upper level systems will
impact the state. The first wave will arrive late Thurs/Fri slicing
through northern NM. The second wave will arrive late Fri/Sat with a
brief break Sun because of a dry level intrusion, then the final
more potent wave will arrive late Sun/Mon with greater mid to upper
level winds and wetting mixed precipitation focused on areas along
and west of the central mtn chain. Limited wetting precipitation
with windier and drier conditions will favor eastern areas during
the storm's duration because of persistent downsloping winds. Vent
rates will be fair to good Thur before improving Fri/Sat. Values
will downgrade to poor north and west Sun with spotty improvements
by Mon.

32

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 18, 6:47 AM MST, 20 hours 13 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
647 AM MST WED JAN 18 2017

NMZ501>540-191300-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
647 AM MST WED JAN 18 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PATCHY FOG OR FREEZING FOG WILL IMPACT TRAVEL THROUGHOUT THE
REGION THROUGH MID MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A PERIOD OF UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY OVER THE EXPOSED
HIGHER TERRAIN AS WELL AS OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN
PLAINS...ESPECIALLY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. MOUNTAIN SNOW AND
VALLEY RAIN AND SNOW WILL INCREASE WITH SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS
POSSIBLE ALONG WEST FACING SLOPES ALONG AND WEST OF THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...INCLUDING THE CHUSKA AND NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS.
A SHORT BREAK SUNDAY WILL BE FOLLOWED BY YET ANOTHER SYSTEM, WITH
POTENTIAL FOR MORE SNOW FOR THE CENTRAL AND WEST, STRONG WINDS IN
THE EAST AND CONSIDERABLY BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES OVERALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

Event by event

2 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Eastern Lincoln County

When
January 19, 3:00 AM MST to 3:00 PM MST
Where
Eastern Lincoln County forecast zone
Measured
38 kt (44 mph) measured sustained
Reported by
Mesonet

The CSBF Transwestern Pump station reported high sustained winds for several hours.

High Wind, Central Highlands

When
January 19, 7:30 AM MST to 12:30 PM MST
Where
Central Highlands forecast zone
Measured
41 kt (47 mph) measured sustained
Reported by
ASOS

Clines Corners reported several hours with high sustained winds.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New Mexico in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, January 2017

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 666728, 666729.