Arkansas, 2016

Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Arkansas, February 23 to 24, 2016

February 23 to 24, 2016 · NWS LZK · 10 events in 10 counties and zones

Heavy snow fell in parts of the Ozark and Ouachita Mountains on February 23-24, 2016. Reports of 4-6 inches of snow were commonly reported in the higher elevations of the Ozarks and Ouachitas.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
10

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.

Heavy snow fell in parts of the Ozark and Ouachita Mountains on February 23-24, 2016. Reports of 4-6 inches of snow were commonly reported in the higher elevations of the Ozarks and Ouachitas. The maximum snowfall totals were reportedly 8.5 to 9 inches in the highest elevations of the mountains. Lower elevations received little to no snowfall making this a somewhat rare elevation driven snowfall event.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 23, 3:12 PM CST, 1 hour 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 23, 3:12 PM CST, 1 hour 48 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
312 PM CST TUE FEB 23 2016

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT

THE MAIN CONCERNS FOR THE SHORT TERM ARE THE CHANCES FOR WINTRY
PRECIPITATION...AND STRONG WINDS...EXPECTED ACROSS THE STATE
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS SUCH THE DISCUSSION WILL
FOCUS ON THAT.

FIRST OFF...THE WINTER WEATHER ASPECT OF THIS SYSTEM. NOT MUCH HAS
CHANGED THIS AFTERNOON. ELEVATION WILL MAKE ALL THE DIFFERENCE
WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH HIGHER ELEVATIONS RECEIVING ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL AND ELEVATIONS BELOW 1000 FT SEEING NON-ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL FOR THE MOST PART. THE EXCEPTION TO LOW ELEVATIONS WILL
BE IN THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST. STILL EXPECT TO SEE A CHANGEOVER
FROM RAIN TO SNOW BY A FEW HOURS BEFORE MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. HAVE ALREADY HAD SOME REPORTS OF SLEET IN NORTHERN
ARKANSAS...AND SOME RAIN/SNOW MIX IN HEAVY PRECIP RATES IN THE
NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. BETWEEN HEAVY PRECIPITATION RATES AND A
SUBSTANTIAL DRY LAYER TO THE NORTH...IT IS NOT UNREASONABLE TO BE
SEEING THESE REPORTS. HOWEVER...THINK A CHANGEOVER BACK TO ALL
RAIN WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNON AS THE COLUMN MOISTENS...WITH
WINTRY PRECIPITATION NOT EXPECTED TO RETURN UNTIL LATE THIS
EVENING. STILL THINK THAT ELEVATIONS NEAR/ABOVE 1000 FT ARE THE
AREAS TO LOOK TO FOR ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT...WITH A GENERAL 1-3
INCH SNOWFALL EXPECTED. LOWER ELEVATIONS COULD SEE UP TO AN
INCH...MAINLY IN WESTERN ARKANSAS. THE EXCEPTION TO THE LOW-
ELEVATION CAVEAT WILL BE IN THE NORTHEAST WHERE LOWER ELEVATIONS
WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE A 1-3 INCH SNOWFALL. DID CONTINUE TO MENTION
RAIN/SNOW MIX IN THE ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY AND IN THE LITTLE ROCK
METRO...BUT AGAIN...DO NOT EXPECT TO SEE MUCH IN THE WAY OF
ACCUMULATIONS IN THESE AREAS. WINTRY PRECIPITATION SHOULD PULL OFF
TO THE NORTHEAST BY MID MORNING.

REGARDING WINDS...THE NAM CONTINUES TO BE THE FRONT RUNNER IN
TERMS OF OBSERVED WINDSPEEDS ACROSS THE REGION...AND
PLACEMENT/STRENGTH OF THE SURFACE LOW THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH FAR
SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. THE NAM INDICATES
THAT PERHAPS THE WIND ADVISORY WE HAVE OUT MAY BE A BIT
OVERDONE...HOWEVER I HAVE MY DOUBTS THAT WINDS WILL BE AS WEAK AS
THE NAM ADVERTISES GIVEN THE PROXIMITY OF THE LOW AND THE FORECAST
PRESSURE GRADIENTS ACROSS THE STATE. INDEED THERE ARE OTHER
GUIDANCE SETS THAT INDICATE THE WIND ADVISORY IS WARRANTED AND AS
SUCH HAVE STAYED THE COURSE WITH THAT. STILL THINK THE LOCATIONS
THAT WILL SEE THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE IN THE DELTA REGIONS OF
EASTERN ARKANSAS...AND ALSO ALONG THE HIGHEST TERRAIN OF THE
OZARKS. GUSTS TO 50 MPH IN THOSE REGIONS SEEM VERY POSSIBLE.

&&

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THORUGH TUESDAY

THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL BE OVERALL DRY WITH MODERATING TEMPS.
A CHANCE OF RAIN ENTERS THE FORECAST LATE IN THE PERIOD.

THURSDAY WILL SEE THE DEEP UPPER TROUGH MOVING MORE TO THE
EAST...WHILE A FAST MOVING DRY FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. ONLY
SOME CLOUDS WITH A WIND SHIFT TO THE NW ARE EXPECTED...WHILE TEMPS
WILL BE AROUND NORMAL VALUES. ON FRIDAY...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE REGION...AS SOME UPPER HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING BEGINS
TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY
WITH WARMING TEMPS. SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WILL SEE WARMER TEMPS...AS
THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES EAST AND A SOUTH WIND FLOW RETURNS TO THE
REGION. A CHANCE OF RAIN ENTERS THE FORECAST FOR LATE SUNDAY TO
MONDAY...AS A COLD FRONT SAGS SOUTHEAST TO AR...THEN MOVES OUT OF
THE STATE DURING THE DAY MONDAY. AT THIS TIME ONLY USED CHANCE POPS
AND WILL FINE TUNE WITH LATER FORECASTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     34  46  32  49 / 100  80  10   0
CAMDEN AR         39  52  34  58 /  90  30  10   0
HARRISON AR       34  41  29  45 / 100  20   0   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    38  49  33  54 / 100  40  10   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  38  49  33  53 / 100  70  10   0
MONTICELLO AR     38  50  35  55 /  80  50  10   0
MOUNT IDA AR      37  48  32  54 / 100  20  10   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  35  44  30  46 / 100  40  10   0
NEWPORT AR        34  46  30  49 / 100  80  10   0
PINE BLUFF AR     38  49  33  53 / 100  70  10   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   38  48  32  52 / 100  40  10   0
SEARCY AR         37  48  30  51 / 100  80  10   0
STUTTGART AR      36  48  31  52 / 100  80  10   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST
WEDNESDAY FOR BAXTER-BOONE-CLEBURNE-CONWAY-FULTON-GARLAND-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JOHNSON-LOGAN-MARION-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-PERRY-
POLK-POPE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-YELL.

WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM CST WEDNESDAY FOR
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT
SPRING-INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-
LOGAN-LONOKE-MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-
POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN
BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL.

&&

SHORT TERM...64 / LONG TERM...59
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 23, 11:47 AM CST, 5 hours 13 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1147 AM CST TUE FEB 23 2016

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-241100-
BOONE-MARION-BAXTER-FULTON-SHARP-NEWTON-SEARCY-STONE-IZARD-
INDEPENDENCE-JOHNSON-POPE-VAN BUREN-CLEBURNE-JACKSON-LOGAN-CONWAY-
FAULKNER-WHITE-WOODRUFF-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-POLK-MONTGOMERY-GARLAND-
SALINE-PULASKI-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-MONROE-PIKE-CLARK-HOT SPRING-GRANT-
JEFFERSON-ARKANSAS-DALLAS-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-DESHA-OUACHITA-
CALHOUN-BRADLEY-DREW-
1147 AM CST TUE FEB 23 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE OVER THE STATE TODAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. INITIALLY...SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE SEEN DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS TODAY...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL
DROP THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO GET COLD
ENOUGH ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE STATE TO SEE RAIN MIXING WITH SNOW
LATE THIS EVENING...THEN TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT.

AT THIS TIME...THE BEST CHANCES FOR SEEING ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL
WILL BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL THROUGH NORTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS THAT ARE 1000 FEET IN ELEVATION OR HIGHER.

FORECAST ACCUMULATIONS ARE ON THE ORDER OF ONE TO THREE INCHES
IN THOSE AREAS ABOVE 1000 FEET IN ELEVATION WITH LOWER AREAS
LIKELY SEEING ONE INCH OR LESS. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN THE OZARKS WHERE THE COLDEST AIR
WILL RESIDE. SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS COULD ALSO BE SEEN FURTHER
SOUTH AND EAST OF THESE AREAS.

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL ALSO BE SEEN WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH
COULD BE SEEN...WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH POSSIBLE. SOME
LOCATIONS...ALONG THE I-40 AND US-67 CORRIDOR NORTHEAST AND EAST
OF LITTLE ROCK...COULD SEE EVEN HIGHER WINDS. THESE AREAS COULD
SEE SUSTAINED WINDS APPROACHING 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS POTENTIALLY
OVER 45 TO 50 MPH THIS EVENING AND ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SOME SNOW OR RAIN SNOW MIX WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE DURING THE
MORNING HOURS ON WEDNESDAY. SOME ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS COULD BE SEEN IN THE MORNING HOURS BEFORE THE STORM
SYSTEM LIFTS NORTHEAST OUT OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
PRECIPITATION WILL THEN END FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST.

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.
EXPECT WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH...AND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH POSSIBLE.
SOME LOCATIONS COULD STILL SEE SUSTAINED WINDS OVER 35 MPH...AND
GUSTS OVER 45 MPH. EXPECT THESE WINDS TO LESSEN DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY EVENING HOURS ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. HOWEVER...REPORTS OF ANY
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE APPRECIATED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

62/226

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

6 winter weather, 4 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Polk

When
February 23, 5:00 PM CST to February 24, 4:00 AM CST
Where
Polk forecast zone
Reported by
Social Media

An estimated 8.5 inches of snow fell at Queen Wilhelmina State Park. Strong winds made it difficult to measure accurately. Park/Forest Service estimated 5.0 inches at 940 pm on the 23rd while several social media reports came in above 9 inches.

Winter Storm, Logan

When
February 23, 5:00 PM CST to February 24, 5:00 AM CST
Where
Logan forecast zone
Reported by
Park/Forest Service

The Park/Forest Service reported 8.0 inches at 800 am on the 24th. There was also a report from Social Media that Mt. Magazine at 1035 pm on the 23rd measured 6.0 inches.

Winter Weather, Johnson

When
February 23, 6:00 PM CST to February 24, 6:00 AM CST
Where
Johnson forecast zone
Reported by
Social Media

An estimated 1.5 inches of snow fell 20 miles south of Jasper.

Winter Weather, Van Buren

When
February 23, 7:00 PM CST to February 24, 7:00 AM CST
Where
Van Buren forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer

A measured 3 inches of snow was reported in Botkinburg...according to the COOP observer. Sheriff estimated 2.0 inches of snow at Dodd Mountain.

Winter Storm, Newton

When
February 23, 7:00 PM CST to February 24, 7:00 AM CST
Where
Newton forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer

The COOP Observer reported 7.5 inches in Compton. We also received reports from a COOP Observer in Fallsville of 4.5 inches...from Law Enforcement in Deer of 3.0 inches...from broadcast media that Mt. Sherman received 5.0 inches...and from the public that 5.5 inches was 11 S of Jasper.

Winter Storm, Searcy

When
February 23, 8:00 PM CST to February 24, 8:00 AM CST
Where
Searcy forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer

The COOP Observer in Witts Spring reported 5.8 inches of snow at 754 am on the 24th.

Winter Weather, Boone

When
February 23, 11:00 PM CST to February 24, 7:00 AM CST
Where
Boone forecast zone
Reported by
Law Enforcement

An estimated 2.0 inches of snow fell in Harrison. 2.5 to 3.0 inches of snow was reported in Ridgeway by Social Media.

Winter Weather, Marion

When
February 23, 11:00 PM CST to February 24, 7:00 AM CST
Where
Marion forecast zone
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
36.268, -92.684 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

An estimated 1.0 inch of snow fell at Yellville...estimated by the Sheriffs office.

Winter Weather, Sharp

When
February 24, 12:00 AM CST to 7:00 AM CST
Where
Sharp forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
36.161, -91.480 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

An estimated 1.0 inch of snow fell at Hardy.

Winter Weather, Fulton

When
February 24, 12:00 AM CST to 7:00 AM CST
Where
Fulton forecast zone
Reported by
Social Media
Coordinates
36.382, -91.818 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

An estimated 2.5 inches of snow was reported in Viola at 615 am. An estimated 1.0 inch of snow fell at Salem...estimated by the Sheriffs office at 534 am.

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
Winter Weather
Snow, sleet or freezing rain below warning levels that still caused disruption, damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arkansas in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, February 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 621155, 621158, 619840, 619919, 621161, 621162, 619875, 619910, 619889, 619922.