Montana, 2015

High Wind in Montana, February 5 to 6, 2015

February 5 to 6, 2015 · NWS TFX · 10 events in 10 counties and zones

A deep trough of low pressure over the West Coast caused strong and energetic southwest flow aloft to move over Montana. As a series of weather disturbances embedded within this trough pushed through, high winds developed initially to areas along the Rocky Mountain Front, then spread into the north-central plains and portions of southwest Montana.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
10

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

A deep trough of low pressure over the West Coast caused strong and energetic southwest flow aloft to move over Montana. As a series of weather disturbances embedded within this trough pushed through, high winds developed initially to areas along the Rocky Mountain Front, then spread into the north-central plains and portions of southwest Montana. Light rain and snow also occurred over higher terrain.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 5, 10:40 AM MST, 2 hours 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 5, 10:40 AM MST, 2 hours 39 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1040 AM MST Thu Feb 5 2015

.UPDATE...Am not very confident with regard to precipitation in my
northeast zones today. While current radar is showing echoes in
this area, so far we have not had any reports of precipitation.
However, morning model runs continue to indicate that a band of
light precipitation will develop by late morning or early
afternoon. Models also continue to support freezing rain so have
opted to continue the Freezing Rain Advisory until the afternoon
package issuance. I have made some tweaks to locations for
freezing rain based on the top-down method and using the latest
model runs. Have also made minor tweaks to pops, mainly in central
Montana where I have removed slight chance wording for this
afternoon in the areas most affected by downslope winds. Am also
not confident about whether or not warm air will push out the
freezing area in the northeast, but at this time I have not made
any changes to forecast high temperatures. mpj

&&

.AVIATION...
UPDATED 1740Z.
Rain/snow/freezing rain will affect northcentral Montana this
afternoon. A brief period of MVFR ceilings is possible in the
precipitation while a brief period of MVFR visibilities is possible
with snow. This precipitation will move out of the area early this
evening. The mountains of the Rocky Mountain Front will generally be
obscured in snow from this afternoon through Friday morning.
Otherwise expect VFR conditions. West winds 30 to 40 kts with gusts
to 50 kts will affect the Rocky Mountain Front tonight through
Friday morning. Blank

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 446 AM MST Thu Feb 5 2015/
Today through Saturday...A Pacific warm front continues to slowly
push northward through the region this morning. The cold air
continues to be very slow it exit the Havre area. Thus with
precipitation moving into the region...and warmer air
aloft...there will be the potential for freezing rain until mid
afternoon. Thus a freezing rain advisory has been issued for this
region. Temperatures are mild elsewhere this morning...with
scattered light showers...mainly over the Rocky Mountain Front.
Expect a chance for showers mainly over the western portions of
the region for the next few days. Additionally...winds will be on
the increase...thus the high wind warning looks good for the Rocky
Mountain Front. A high wind watch has been added for the Cut
Bank/Shelby areas...mainly for Friday evening when there is the
potential for strong winds. Temperatures will remain mild across
the entire region through the period. Record highs are possible in
a few areas Fri/Sat. Brusda

Saturday night through Thursday...High pressure will build aloft
Sunday and the warm temperatures of the past few days, well above
seasonal averages, will continue for another day. A low pressure
trof will move over the West Coast Monday and moisture ahead of
this system will begin to move into Southwest Montana and across
the Rockies. This will cool the airmass and temperatures will
moderate...trending closer to seasonal normals. The trof will move
through the Pacific Northwest Monday night and over the Rockies
Tuesday. An associated cold front will cross the Canadian border
early Tuesday and move south during the day. This will not be an
especially moist system and precipitation accumulations will
remain on the low side. The trof will have moved east of the
region by Wednesday and high pressure aloft will build again. The
airmass will warm and dry, and temps will trend upwards above
seasonal normals through Thursday. Zelzer

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  51  41  59  42 /  20  10  10  10
CTB  43  34  52  40 /  20  10  10  20
HLN  51  34  55  36 /  30  10  10  40
BZN  49  32  54  36 /  10  10  10  40
WEY  39  30  41  33 /  20  10  20  60
DLN  54  38  57  40 /  10  30  10  50
HVR  38  31  50  37 /  90  20  10  10
LWT  48  35  55  37 /  50  10  10  10

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH WIND WARNING from 5 PM this afternoon to 5 PM MST Saturday
Northern Rocky Mountain Front...Southern Rocky Mountain Front.

FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY until 3 PM MST this afternoon Blaine...
Chouteau...Hill...Liberty.

HIGH WIND WATCH from Friday afternoon through Saturday morning
Eastern Glacier...Toole.

&&

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Event by event

10 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
February 5, 1:19 PM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways

High wind gust of 59 mph reported at Two Medicine DOT.

High Wind, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
February 5, 1:22 PM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
57 kt (66 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

High wind gust of 66 mph reported at 24 WSW Choteau.

High Wind, Toole

When
February 5, 3:31 PM MST
Where
Toole forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

High wind gust of 66 mph reported at 8 WNW Whitlash.

High Wind, Eastern Pondera

When
February 6, 6:07 AM MST
Where
Eastern Pondera forecast zone
Measured
59 kt (68 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

High wind gust of 68 mph measured at 4 miles W Valier.

High Wind, Madison

When
February 6, 6:07 AM MST to 7:07 AM MST
Where
Madison forecast zone
Measured
36 kt (41 mph) measured sustained
Reported by
Department of Highways

Norris Hill DOT measured a 1-hour sustained wind of 42 mph.

High Wind, Cascade

When
February 6, 10:57 AM MST
Where
Cascade forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Trained Spotter

A trained spotter estimated a 60 mph wind gust 4 miles south of Cascade.

High Wind, Southern Lewis and Clark

When
February 6, 11:21 AM MST
Where
Southern Lewis and Clark forecast zone
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways

Bowmans Corner DOT measures 59 mph wind gust 17 miles SW of Simms.

High Wind, Eastern Teton

When
February 6, 1:08 PM MST
Where
Eastern Teton forecast zone
Measured
63 kt (72 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Public

We received a public report of a 72 mph wind gust 7 miles NE Fairfield.

High Wind, Judith Basin

When
February 6, 8:11 PM MST
Where
Judith Basin forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways

Geyser DOT measured a 58 mph wind gust 2 miles SSE Geyser.

High Wind, Eastern Glacier

When
February 6, 10:03 PM MST
Where
Eastern Glacier forecast zone
Measured
66 kt (76 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS

Cut Bank ASOS measures 76 mph wind gust 3 miles SW Cut Bank.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, February 2015

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 562386, 562388, 562390, 562406, 562421, 562408, 562409, 562410, 562414, 562430.