A remnant frontal boundary drifting across South Florida lead to several rounds of slow moving showers and storms along the east coast. Street flooding was reported with storms over Broward county in the afternoon.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MFL wrote it up.
A remnant frontal boundary drifting across South Florida lead to several rounds of slow moving showers and storms along the east coast. Street flooding was reported with storms over Broward county in the afternoon.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 16, 12:56 PM EST, 2 hours 19 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1256 PM EST MON NOV 16 2015 .AVIATION... A LINGERING BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER TO SOUTH FLORIDA. IT WILL MAINLY BRING SHOWERS, ALTHOUGH A BRIEF, ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. THE WIND WILL CONTINUE TO BE EASTERLY, BETWEEN 10 AND 15 KTS DURING THE DAY, DROPPING TO 5 TO 10 KTS IN THE EVENING. A FEW OF THE CIGS COULD BRIEFLY DROP TO JUST ABOVE 2000 FT, OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1042 AM EST MON NOV 16 2015/ UPDATE... HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH IS SHIFT FURTHER NORTHWARD. THIS IS ALLOWING THE BOUNDARY OVER THE KEYS TO BEGIN TO SHIFT NORTH AS WELL. THIS IS CAUSING AN INCREASE IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY, AND WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE HRRR, HOWEVER, IS STILL INSISTENT ON THE CONVECTION DISSIPATING AFTER 18 OR 19Z. HAVE CONTINUED LIKELY POPS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST THIS MORNING, AS EVEN IF IT DOES DISSIPATE, THERE WILL STILL BE SOME ACTIVITY INTO THE AFTERNOON. THE MAIN CHANGES TO THE FORECAST IS TO TWEAK THE WIND AND POPS WITH NEW MODEL DATA. OTHERWISE, NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 AM EST MON NOV 16 2015/ DISCUSSION... A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY CONTINUES IN THE VICINITY OF THE KEYS. MOST OF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY ACROSS THE KEYS. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY COULD SLOWLY LIFT NORTH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AS IT DOES SO...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF TODAY THEN SHIFT EASTWARD ON TUESDAY WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING ACROSS THE REGION IN ITS WAKE. FOR TODAY...A PLUME OF DEEP MOISTURE EXTENDS FROM NEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NORTHEAST ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS...SOUTH FLORIDA AND INTO THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. PERSISTENT EASTERLY SURFACE AND LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING PATCHES OF MOISTURE AND CLOUDS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. THE GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE PRECIPITATION PATTERNS THAT MAINLY FAVOR THE EASTERN HALF OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS. IN ADDITION TO THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN THE EASTERN GULF...MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES COULD SUPPORT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BUT OVERALL THE LAPSE RATES AND GENERAL INSTABILITY ARE NOT HIGHLY FAVORABLE. SO WILL INCLUDE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY BUT MAINLY ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND ADJACENT EAST COAST METRO AREAS. A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COAST BEACHES TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. ALTHOUGH WINDS AND SEAS ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS WILL RELAX SOME TODAY...BY TUESDAY WINDS AND SEAS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE AGAIN MAINTAINING A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...BY TUESDAY THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BUILD ACROSS THE REGION...WITH WARMING MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND LESS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. BUT DEEP EASTERLY FLOW AND THE LINGERING BOUNDARY/WARM FRONT WILL ALLOW FOR PASSING SHOWER ACTIVITY...AGAIN MAINLY FAVORING THE EASTERN HALF OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS. BY WEDNESDAY THE GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF EXTENDING NORTHWARD INTO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. BUT HIGH PRESSURE WILL STILL LINGER ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTH FLORIDA WITH LINGERING BOUNDARY MOISTURE AND A CHANCE OF QUICKLY PASSING SHOWERS WITH SURFACE AND LOW LEVEL WINDS FORECAST TO BE AROUND 15 TO 20 KNOTS. BY THURSDAY THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT INDICATING THE FRONT ENTERING NORTH FLORIDA. NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT ARE FORECAST TO DRIVE DEEP MOISTURE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS FORECAST ACROSS THE PENINSULA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. FOR THE EXTENDED PERIODS...BY FRIDAY THE MODEL CONSENSUS INDICATES THE FRONT STALLING ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA WITH DEEP BOUNDARY MOISTURE FORECAST ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS FORECAST. THERE WILL NOT BE MUCH OF A COOLING TREND WITH THE FRONT AS EASTERLY WINDS BUILD ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH LIMITED COLD AIR ADVECTION FORECAST WITH THIS SCENARIO. MARINE... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND BISCAYNE BAY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 09Z WITH LATEST MARINE GUIDANCE INDICATING ATLANTIC AND GULF STREAM SEAS TO NEAR 6 FEET AND WINDS SLOWLY SUBSIDING. A PRE-CAUTIONARY STATEMENT WILL BE IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS MORNING. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY RELAX TODAY WITH WINDS IN THE 15 TO 20 KNOT RANGE ACROSS THE GULF AND ATLANTIC WATERS EXPECTED TO DECREASE TO THE 10 TO 15 RANGE BY THIS AFTERNOON. REGIONAL SEAS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE TODAY WITH SEAS ACROSS THE ATLANTIC AND GULF STREAM WASTERS NEAR 6 FEET THIS MORNING SLOWLY SUBSIDING...AND EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE TO THE 3 TO 5 KNOT RANGE BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND REGIONAL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WITH WINDS OF 20 KNOTS OR JUST ABOVE FORECAST ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS TO THE EAST OF PALM BEACH COUNTY AND THE OFF SHORE GULF WATERS. THE GULF AND ATLANTIC SEAS WILL INCREASE BUT ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS LATE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... WEST PALM BEACH 74 85 80 87 / 40 50 40 30 FORT LAUDERDALE 74 84 79 85 / 50 50 50 40 MIAMI 74 85 78 85 / 50 50 50 40 NAPLES 71 90 74 88 / 10 20 10 30 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR FLZ168-172-173. AM...NONE. GM...NONE. && SHORT TERM...13/SI LONG TERM....60/BD AVIATION...13/SI
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1044 AM EST MON NOV 16 2015 AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676- 170345- LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY- INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER- INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE- MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD- COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE- COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1044 AM EST MON NOV 16 2015 ...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR THE ATLANTIC BEACHES... ...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST POSSIBLE... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT RIP CURRENTS: THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG EAST COAST BEACHES. THUNDERSTORMS: A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE EAST COAST. FLOODING: HEAVY RAINFALL FROM SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ONSHORE, COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED STREET FLOODING ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA METRO, ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS THAT ALREADY RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL THIS PAST WEEKEND. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHEAST FLORIDA THROUGH TUESDAY, WITH POSSIBLE STREET FLOODING OVER METRO AREAS FROM MIAMI-DADE THROUGH PALM BEACH COUNTIES. THE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL REMAIN ELEVATED ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED, HOWEVER INDIVIDUAL SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIAMI. FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
Pictures received from NWS employee showed moderate flooding of 172nd Avenue and Pines Boulevard in western Pembroke Pines. Water covered several streets and roads were nearly impassable in the area.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, November 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 602527.