Pennsylvania, 2012

Flooding and Coastal Flood in Pennsylvania, October 29 to 30, 2012

October 29 to 30, 2012 · NWS PHI · 18 events in 10 counties and zones

Post Tropical Storm Sandy caused an initial estimate of $20 million dollars in damage in Pennsylvania and directly or indirectly caused 15 deaths across the state. Most of the damage in the eastern part of the state was wind related as wind gusts reached as high as 81 mph.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 9 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
11
Injuries
6
Property damage
$16 million
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
18

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PHI wrote it up.

Post Tropical Storm Sandy caused an initial estimate of $20 million dollars in damage in Pennsylvania and directly or indirectly caused 15 deaths across the state. Most of the damage in the eastern part of the state was wind related as wind gusts reached as high as 81 mph. Some moderate creek flooding occurred in the southeast part of the state and record tidal flooding occurred along the tidal Delaware River. Hundreds of roads were closed because of downed trees and major transportation in and out of the region was halted for two days and only slowly returned starting on the 31st. PECO Energy which serves customers in southeastern Pennsylvania, broke their all-time outage record of 850,000 customers without power. At any one time, the greatest number of statewide outages was approximately 1.2 million utility customers on the 30th. In the Mount Holly warning and forecast area of Eastern Pennsylvania, Sandy was responsible for eleven deaths, one that was considered directly caused by the system: a Berks County man was killed by a falling tree. Hardest hit with wind damage were Lehigh and Montgomery Counties. Chester and Delaware Counties were most affected by creek flooding.

Governor Tom Corbett declared a state of disaster emergency for Pennsylvania as did Mayor Michael Nutter of Philadelphia. President Barack Obama also declared a disaster emergency. Thirty-three counties in the state issued emergency declarations. Most schools and businesses were closed on the 29th and 30th. The American Red Cross opened 48 shelters in the state that could accommodate 31,000 people. In addition two super shelters were opened in West Chester and East Stroudsburg to assist evacuees from New Jersey. About half of the drinking and wastewater facilities lost power in the state. In all, about twenty-five sewage treatment plants were either bypassing or only on partial operations. Sixty-two water treatment facilities were affected and fifty-eight boil water advisories were issued.

In anticipation of Sandy’s arrival, SEPTA shut down all commuter service in and around Philadelphia at 1230 a.m. EDT on the 29th. AMTRAK service along the northeast corridor was also shut down at 700 p.m. EDT on the 29th. All flights in and out of Philadelphia International Airport were cancelled on the 29th. In and around Philadelphia, the Ben Franklin, Betsy Ross, Walt Whitman, and Commodore Barry bridges were closed the evening on the 29th. They were re-opened on the 30th. Most of the major interstates leading into and around Philadelphia were also closed that evening: Interstates 95, 76, 476 and 676 as well as United States Route 1. Limited SEPTA resumed service at 12 p.m. EDT on the 30th. AMTRAK service along the northeast corridor was expected to resume on the 31st. Philadelphia International Airport has resumed limited flights on the afternoon of the 30th. There were 425 roadways that were closed statewide due to the combination of downed trees, downed utilities and flooding. There were 21 precautionary bridge closures awaiting inspection. The number of closed roadways dropped to 245 on November 1st, 141 on November 3rd, and 38 (mainly because of downed utilities) on November 5th. Trash and recycling schedules were delayed. Area hotels were booked solid as people without heat or that had home damage seeked shelter. There were also long gas lines because of problems with gas supplies in New York and New Jersey. Motorists were given two week extensions for their vehicle registrations and inspections that were due by the end of October. | |PECO Energy reported a record breaking 850,000 of its customers lost power. Pennsylvania Power and Light reported 370,000 of its customers lost power and Metropolitan Edison reported 246,000 of its customers. Statewide about 520,000 utility customers were still without power on November 1st. Power was fully restored to Pennsylvania Power and Light customers on November 4th, Metropolitan Edison the week of November 4th and PECO Energy on November 6th. Power outages forced Carbon and Monroe Counties 911 operations to default to back-up and emergency powers. The high winds damaged four communication sites in Berks County. They were operating on reduced functionality but still maintained coverage throughout the county.

In Berks County, a tree fell onto the porch of a home in Pike Township, and killed a 62 year-old man. Other deaths attributed to Sandy included: in Montgomery County, a 90-year-old female was found deceased in her apartment after being overcome by fumes from her generator in the garage below her living room, in Carbon County, a 66-year-old male died at hospital due to carbon monoxide poisoning from generator running in the garage, in Northampton County, a 17- year-old boy drove his ATV into a downed tree, a 67-year-old male in Lehigh Township was found on the evening of November 2nd, apparently ran over by his tractor while cleaning up from the storm, in Lehigh County an 86-year-old female from Orefield was found unresponsive in her yard and pronounced dead from hypothermia, another man in Lehigh County also died from exposure, a 48-year-old female was found deceased in her home in Lower Macungie Township after being overcome by fumes from generator in her garage, in Berks County, an 86-year-old man died from carbon monoxide poisoning and in Philadelphia a 95-year-old female died from an electrical malfunction shortly after power was restored and a 64-year-old female died from a fire. There were six direct or indirect reported injuries. An infant in Upper Darby (Delaware County) was injured when a tree fell through the house. In Levittiown (Bucks County), two children were also injured when a tree fell through their home. Two people in Monroe County were hospitalized due to carbon monoxide poisoning and a firefighter was injured in Carbon County responding to the carbon monoxide fatality.

Tropical Storm Sandy formed in the Caribbean Sea on the 22nd of October. After drifting slowly southwest into the 23rd, Sandy turned to the north and intensified to a hurricane on the 24th just before making landfall in Jamaica during that afternoon. Hurricane Sandy continued to the north and intensified to a strong category two hurricane before making landfall again in Cuba shortly after Midnight EDT on the 25th. Hurricane Sandy emerged on the other side of Cuba during the morning of the 25th and proceeded to drift northwest as a category one or two hurricane as it moved through the Bahamas on the 25th and 26th. Overnight on the 26th, Hurricane Sandy (Category 1) started to move toward the north-northeast, a motion that continued into the evening of the 28th. From there, Sandy’s motion became driven by two factors. An anomalously strong blocking ridge over the Canadian Maritimes prevented Sandy from escaping to the east. Simultaneously, an approaching and deepening extratropical trough was about to capture Sandy. The combination of the two, turned Sandy to the north overnight on the 28th and then to the northwest on the 29th. Hurricane Sandy received one last jolt of tropical energy as it passed across the Gulf Stream during the morning of the 29th. The lowest recorded central pressure of 940 millibars (27.76 inches) occurred when Category 1 Hurricane Sandy was about 110 miles southeast of Atlantic City at 2 p.m. EDT on the 29th. As Sandy continued to move northwest and interact with the mid latitude trough, its interaction continued to make it less tropical, but did not weaken it much. Sandy continued to make a harder turn to the left (west) and made landfall in Atlantic County as a post tropical storm in Brigantine City just north of Atlantic City at 730 p.m. EDT on the 29th. The estimated minimum central pressure was 945 millibars. The lowest recorded central pressure was 945.6 millibars at the Atlantic City Marina at 734 p.m. EDT. From there, Sandy continued to weaken or fill as it moved west. At 9 p.m. EDT, the low pressure system was in western Atlantic County and continued to move west-northwest. Sandy entered Pennsylvania in Delaware County around 1030 p.m. EDT. At 11 p.m. EDT, the post tropical storm (about 954 millibars) was located in southern Chester County. Post tropical storm Sandy continued to move west-northwest and weaken. At 2 a.m. EDT on the 30th, the 962 millibar low was located near Harrisburg, Pennsylvania and at 8 a.m. EDT the 979 millibar low was near Altoona, Pennsylvania. From there, the rapidly weakening low pressure system moved northwest and reached Lake Erie (993 millibars) at 8 p.m. EDT that evening and from there drifted north into Canada.| |The unique aspect of Sandy and unlike most tropical systems was the multi-tide cycle increase of onshore winds prior to landfall. In Upper Delaware Bay and tidal sections of the Delaware River, some minor tidal flooding occurred during the evening high tide cycle on the 28th, moderate (upper Delaware Bay) and major (the tidal Delaware River) record breaking tidal flooding occurred during the one overnight high tide cycle on the 29th as Sandy moved westward. The storm surge averaged 4 to 5 feet. The region was spared higher surges as Sandy made landfall in New Jersey and the winds prior to landfall pushed water down the Delaware River and Delaware Bay. Borderline minor to moderate tidal flooding occurred during the subsequent daytime high tide cycle on the 30th. Minor tidal flooding occurred along tidal sections of the Delaware with the high tide cycle on the 31st. Tidal sections of the Delaware River were spared significant runoff from the non-tidal sections of the river as the heaviest rain occurred in the southern half of New Jersey.

Strong north to northeast winds associated with Sandy started to spread across the state during the morning of the 29th. High or damaging winds started during the middle of the afternoon on the 29th in the local Philadelphia area. High winds spread across the rest of Eastern Pennsylvania by the start of the evening. Most of the peak wind gusts (between 60 mph and 80 mph) occurred during the middle evening hours of the 29th as Sandy was making landfall. The high winds were over by around Midnight EDT that night and as Sandy rapidly weakened. Except for the Poconos where it lingered until the morning, most of the strong wind gusts were also over shortly after Midnight EDT on the 30th. The highest measured wind gust in Mount Holly’s forecast and warning area in Pennsylvania was 81 mph in Allentown (Lehigh County).

Heavy rain also occurred with Sandy in the southeast part of the state. This made it easier for shallow rooted and leafed trees to be uprooted, it also complicated the tidal flooding. Unlike some of the more recent tropical systems to affect the area, the heaviest rain fell south of the state of Pennsylvania. Event rainfall totals averaged 1 to 2.5 inches in the Poconos, Lehigh Valley and Bucks County, 2.5 inches to 5 inches in Berks, Montgomery, Delaware and Philadelphia Counties and 4 to 6 inches in Chester County. The steady rain associated with Sandy started to spread into the state during the day on the 28th and slowly edged north and northeast and reached all of the state by the morning of the 29th. The heaviest rain fell during the morning and afternoon on the 29th. The rain ended during the middle of the day on the 30th. | |In the city of Philadelphia, about 10,000 people were evacuated including the Eastwick Neighborhood. Approximately 100 trees were knocked down and about 140,000 PECO customers lost power. Hundreds of events were cancelled or postponed. Tidal flooding occurred along Delaware Avenue. The refineries within the city could not operate at full capacity because of power outages. Bucks County was one of the hardest hit counties in Eastern Pennsylvania with around 200,000 homes and businesses losing power. Thirty-eight roadways were closed due to wind damage with the most closures in Solebury Township. In Montgomery County, around 200,000 homes and businesses also lost power. The high winds destroyed one home in the county, caused major damage to sixteen others, minor damage to nineteen others and affected an additional twenty homes. The most road closures were in Upper Dublin Township while the hardest hit townships were East Norriton, West Norriton, Lower Providence, Upper Merion, Lower Merion and Whitpain. In Delaware County, a home in Newtown Square was badly damaged by a downed tree. About 86,000 homes and businesses lost power. In Chester County, three homes were damaged by downed trees in West Goshen Township. About 74,000 homes and businesses lost power. Six roadways in the township were closed. Most of the worst wind damage occurred in the eastern part of the county in East Goshen, East Whiteland, Tredyffrin, Westtown and Easttown Townships. County offices and Longwood Gardens reopened on the 31st.

In Berks County, thirty-one roadways were closed. In the Lehigh Valley, 181,000 homes and businesses lost power. In Lehigh County, the high winds caused major damage to thirteen homes, minor damage to thirty-two homes and affected an additional eighty-six homes. Flights were cancelled from Lehigh Valley International Airport on the 29th and through Noon EDT on the 30th. About 29 roads were closed. In neighboring Northampton County, thirty-two roadways were closed. In the Poconos, in Monroe County, the worst reported wind damage occurred in Lehman and Middle Smithfield Townships. The Delaware Water Gap National Recreation Area was closed. At the Pocono Raceway, the wind knocked down a steeple. Thirty-one roadways were closed. Carbon County fared better as only five roadways were closed.| |Peak wind gusts included 81 mph in Allentown (Lehigh County), 77 mph in Forks Township (Northampton County), 76 mph in Bensalem (Bucks County), 70 mph at the Lehigh Valley International Airport, Northeast Philadelphia Airport and Bushkill (Northampton County), 68 mph in Perkasie (Bucks County) and the Philadelphia International Airport, 66 mph in Mount Pocono (Monroe County), 64 mph in Mount Aetna (Berks County), 62 mph in Wind Gap (Northampton County), 59 mph in Newbold (Bucks County), Pottstown (Montgomery County) and Newtown Square (Delaware County), 56 mph in Yardley, 48 mph in West Grove (Chester County), 46 mph in Reading (Berks County) and 45 mph in Coatesville (Chester County).

In Philadelphia, the overnight high tide on the 29th reached a record breaking 10.62 feet above mean lower low water. The previous record was 10.5 feet above mean lower low water during a pair of nor easters: April 17, 2011 and November 25, 1950. Flooding was reported in Philadelphia along the Delaware River on Delaware Avenue and Columbus Boulevard. In Bucks County, at Newbold Island the highest crest was 12.27 feet above mean lower low water.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 29, 9:13 AM EST, 1 hour 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 29, 9:13 AM EST, 1 hour 47 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1013 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
DANGEROUS HURRICANE SANDY WILL TURN WEST AND SLAM ASHORE ALONG
THE CENTRAL OR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST THIS EVENING...WEAKENING
RAPIDLY OVER WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA LATER TUESDAY THEN SLOWLY
MIGRATING INTO SOUTHEAST CANADA BY THE END OF THE WEEK. A
SECONDARY COLD FRONT SHOULD CROSS THE REGION FRIDAY WITH CANADIAN
HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES DURING THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION FOR OUR AREA...

CURRENT DOPPLER VELOCITY SHOWS A WIDE SWATH OF 60-80 KNOTS ABOUT
3-4KFT ABOVE THE SURFACE IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY SOUTH INTO THE
SOUTHERN DELAWARE. 12Z SOUNDINGS SHOW AN INVERSION SET UP AROUND
2500 FEET SO SOME OF THESE STRONGER LOW-LEVEL WINDS ARE HAVING A
VERY HARD TIME BREAKING THROUGH TO THE SURFACE...A VERY GOOD
THING! THE HEAVIER RAIN WILL, IF IT FALLS WITHIN THE LOCATIONS OF
STRONGER WINDS, DRAG THESE WINDS TO THE SURFACE AND WE WILL START
TO SEE MORE WIDESPREAD 50MPH PLUS GUSTS.

STILL EXPECTING MAXIMUM PUMMEL BETWEEN 18Z AND 06Z...BEFORE AND
JUST AFTER SANDY'S PASSAGE. WE ARE SEEING GFS BL WINDS AT 18Z OF
40 TO 48 KT WITH 70 TO 75 KNOTS JUST 25 MILES OFFSHORE. AT 00Z 50
TO 55 KT NORTH AND SOUTH PORTIONS WITH LESS IN BETWEEN NEAR THE
AXIS OF SANDY'S PROJECTED PATH...THEN THE SOUTHERLY PUMMEL ALONG
THE COAST BY 03Z WITH BL WIND 60 TO 65 KTS! THE ADDITION OF SOME
COLDER AIR IN THE LOWER LEVELS, AS SANDY MOVE ONSHORE, WILL
INCREASE THE LAPSE RATES AND ALLOW THE STRONGER WINDS, EVEN
WITHOUT THE HEAVIER SHOWERS, TO REACH THE SURFACE!

WINDS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO STRONG STORM SURGE ALONG THE COATS AND
DEL BAY...THIS IS DISCUSSED IN THE SECTION BELOW. RAINFALL TODAY
1-4 INCHES FAR NORTH AND 5 TO 8 INCHES FAR SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM TUESDAY/...
SANDY WILL BE ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING AND IT WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE WEST/SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT. DANGEROUS WINDS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...WITH SOME DECREASE IN WINDS
LATE. WIND DIRECTIONS WILL ABRUPTLY SHIFT FROM N/NE EARLY THIS
EVENING TO S/SE OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUSTS 60 TO 85
MPH EARLY THEN DECREASE LATE. HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE
EARLY...THEN TAPER DOWN LATE. ADDITIONS QPF RANGES FROM 0.5 TO 1.0
NORTH UP TO 2 INCHES SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
500MB: SANDYS EVOLUTION INTO A DEEP TROUGH CENTERED IN WESTERN
PENNSYLVANIA TO START THIS EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD WILL VERY SLOWLY
WEAKEN NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHEAST CANADA BY THE WEEKEND.

CALENDER DAY AVERAGE TEMPERATURES: OVERALL NEAR NORMAL WITH MILDER
THAN NORMAL NIGHTS AND PROBABLY COOLER THAN NORMAL DAYS THROUGH
MIDWEEK WITH SMALLER DIURNALS DUE TO CLOUD COVER AND LEFTOVER
SHOWERS. AS IT DRIES OUT AT THE END OF THE WEEK DIURNALS INCREASE
AND BECOME MORE SEASONABLE.

TUESDAY...THE REGION WILL STILL BE DEALING WITH SANDY ON TUE BEFORE
STARTING TO QUIET DOWN SOME TUESDAY NIGHT.

NO SUBSTANTIAL HEADLINE ADJUSTMENTS.

REVIEWING WIND... NO EXTENSION ATTM. CONCERN IS FOR A FASTER WESTWARD
DEPARTURE OF SANDY AND SO RATHER THAN EXTEND ATTM...WE WILL WAIT A
COUPLE OF FCST CYCLES TO BE SURE OF SANDYS DECAYING PSN AND MODELED
INSTABILITY AND WIND. WHAT WE CAN SEE IS THAT A FEW TREES MAY STILL
COME DOWN THROUGH 17Z ALONG COASTAL NJ INTO DE...IN PART DUE TO
WIND GUSTS OF 40-50 KNOTS IN THE MORNING AND RAIN SOFTENED GROUND.
BY AND LARGE HOWEVER...WINDS WILL BE DIMINISHING..ESPECIALLY IN
THE AFTERNOON.

WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...PERIODIC SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY EASTERN PA
NEAR THE TROUGH ALOFT. COOL DAYS DUE TO CLOUD COVER. GFS MEX
GUIDANCE WAS COOLED DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS.

FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...A DRYING TREND...THOUGH PROBABLY ALOT OF
DIURNAL CLOUD COVER.

SUNDAY...MIGHT TURN OUT TO BE THE BRIGHTEST DAY OF THE WEEK AS
HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL...KPNE...KTTN, KABE...KRDG...
KILG...KMIV...KACY...AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

DETERIORATING CONDITIONS WITH IFR CONDITIONS AND WIND GUSTS 50 TO
60 KTS BY EVENING WITH THE APPROACH OF SANDY. WINDS ABRUPTLY SHIFT
FROM NRLY TO ERLY/SERLY ONCE THE CENTER PASSES THE AREA THIS
EVENING.

OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY...MVFR CIGS WITH POSSIBLE IFR CONDS IN PERIODS OF
RAIN/DRIZZLE. S GUSTS 20 TO 40 KNOTS EARLY DIMINISHING IN THE
AFTN AND NIGHT.

WEDNESDAY...MVFR CIGS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SW G TO 20 KTS DURING
THE DAY.

THURSDAY...VFR CIGS POSSIBLY MVFR CONDS IN A FEW SHOWERS. SW GUSTS
TO 20 KTS DURING THE DAY.

FRIDAY...VFR SCT TO OCNL BKN CIGS. WSHIFT TO WNW WITH GUSTS 20 KTS
DURING THE DAY.

&&

.MARINE...
MARINE FLAGS REMAIN AS PREVIOUSLY ISSUED.

GUSTS OF 70 TO 75 KT EXPECTED IN THE COASTAL WATERS FIRST FROM THE
NNE THIS AFTERNOON THEN FROM THE SW OR S EARLY TONIGHT.

A HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF OUR WATERS AS
WHAT IS CURRENTLY SANDY CONTINUED TO APPROACH THE REGION. THE
STORM WILL MOVE GENLY N EARLY THIS MORNING THE TURN NW AND THEN W
DURING THE DAY AND MOVE ASHORE ALONG NJ. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
WITH TIME, WITH THE WORST PD LIKELY THIS AFTN INTO TONIGHT. THIS
IS A VERY DANGEROUS TIME ON THE AREA WATERS.

OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY...LEFTOVER STORM FORCE SLY GUSTS EARLY IN THE DAY DIMINISH
TO GALE GUSTS DURING MIDDAY. ATLC SEAS STILL NEAR 15 FEET TO START
SUBSIDE LATE.

WEDNESDAY...SCA SEAS FOR 5 TO 8 FOOTERS ON THE ATLC WATERS.

THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...NEAR 5 FT ON THE ATLC WATERS AND WE MAY NEED
AN SCA AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY FRIDAY WHEN A CFP OCCURS AND A FRESH
COOLER CANADIAN AIRMASS TRIES TO ARRIVE ON WNW WINDS LATE FRIDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
PNS HAS POSTED ON STORM TOTALS OVER 2 INCHES. NEARLY 5 INCHES AT
SELBYVILLE AS OF 630 AM...COULD BE HIGHER IN PARTS OF E MD SHORE
WHERE NO GROUND TRUTH.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SIGNS POINTING TO SIGNIFICANT FRONTOGENETIC
FORCING FOR HEAVY RAIN, ESPECIALLY ALONG AND LEFT OF THE TRACK OF
SANDY. THEREFORE, THE FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE
CWA.

WE ARE EXPECTING 4 TO 10 INCHES...ISOLATED 1 FOOT...ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PART OF THE AREA. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ARE ESPECIALLY
FROM THE PHILADELPHIA METROPOLITAN AREA ON SOUTHWARD. THIS WOULD
RESULT IN OUR BIGGEST PROBLEMS ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY,
SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND ACROSS MARYLAND AND DELAWARE.

SMALL STREAM FLOODING, AS WELL AS CONSIDERABLE URBAN AND POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING, IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MONDAY MORNING AND LAST
THROUGH TUESDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME LARGER MAIN STEM RIVER
FLOODING TUESDAY OR LATER, HOWEVER THIS WILL ULTIMATELY DEPEND ON
WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAIN ACTUALLY FALLS. LEAVES WILL TEND TO GET
WASHED INTO STORM DRAINS, WHICH WILL LOCALLY ENHANCE THE FLOODING.

WHILE THE FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR OUR ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
TONIGHT THROUGH 600 PM TUESDAY, THE PRIMARY INTENSE RAIN WILL BE
MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING WITH NEARLY 1-INCH HOURLY RAINFALL RATES
OCCUR. THIS WOULD BE ENHANCED THE MOST WITHIN SQUALLY BANDS OF
INTENSE SHOWERS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS ARE UP FOR ALL OF OUR TIDAL WATERS. MAJOR AND
IN SOME CASES RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST,
ADJACENT BACK BAYS, RARITAN BAY AND DELAWARE BAY. THE MONDAY NIGHT
HIGH TIDE IS THE ONE THAT WOULD CAUSE THE WORST FLOODING, AND THE
WORST FLOODING IS MOST LIKELY OVER THE NORTHERN NEW JERSEY
COASTLINE, RARITAN BAY AND ADJACENT TIDAL WATERS.

COASTAL FLOODING WILL STILL BE SUBSTANTIAL AND POTENTIALLY
DEVASTATING IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY WHERE THE COMBINED SURGE/TIDE
WILL PROBABLY EXCEED THE FLOOD OF RECORD THERE BY 1.5 TO 3 FEET.
THE PERIOD OF RECORD AT SANDY HOOK DATES BACK TO 1910!

THE HIGH WAVES SLAMMING ASHORE WILL ADD TO THE HIGH PROBABILITY
FOR SEVERE DAMAGE. THE FORECAST WATER ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WILL
EXCEED THE LEVELS OF IRENE LAST YEAR AND HURRICANE DONNA OF SEPT
1960. ANYTHING WITHIN 15 FEET OF NORMAL SEA LEVEL IS IN HARMS WAY!

MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST FOR THE TIDAL DELAWARE RIVER AND
THE EASTERN SHORE OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY. PLEASE SEE PHLCFWPHI FOR
DETAILS.

EARLY THIS EVENING, DEPARTURES ALONG THE COAST, ADJACENT BACK BAYS,
RARITAN BAY AND DELAWARE BAY RANGED FROM SOMEWHAT ABOVE 2 TO
SOMEWHAT ABOVE 3 FT. DEPARTURES UP THE TIDAL DELAWARE RIVER WERE
AROUND 2 FT. DEPARTURES UP CHESAPEAKE BAY RANGED FROM A BIT ABOVE A
FOOT OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION TO MINIMAL (BUT BEGINNING TO RISE)
OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION. THESE DEPARTURES WOULD CAUSE AT LEAST
SOME MODERATE FLOODING ALONG THE COAST, ADJACENT BACK BAYS, RARITAN
BAY AND UP DELAWARE BAY THIS EVENING, SOLID MINOR TIDAL FLOODING
OVER THE TIDAL DELAWARE RIVER TONIGHT AND PERHAPS SOME MINOR TIDAL
FLOODING ALONG THE MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE ON MONDAY MORNING.

DEPARTURES GENERALLY ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT TWO HIGH
TIDE CYCLES. WITH THE STORM MAKING LANDFALL SOMETIME AROUND MIDNIGHT
ON MONDAY NIGHT, DEEPENING PRIOR TO LANDFALL AND MOVING SLOWLY
INLAND THEREAFTER, THESE INCREASES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SIGNIFICANT.
HENCE THE WARNINGS THAT ARE, IN SOME CASES, OMINOUS.

&&

.CLIMATE...
THE DAILY RAINFALL RECORDS FOR TODAY 10/29.

ACY 2.33 IN 1908
PHL 1.72 IN 1953
ILG 2.56 IN 1953
ABE 1.72 IN 1953
TTN 3.11 IN 1973
GED 1.50 IN 2003 ALREADY A NEW RECORD TODAY WITH 1.73 AT 650 AM.
RDG 2.35 IN 1953
MPO 1.52 IN 1972

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 9 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR PAZ054-055-
     060>062-067>071.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR PAZ054-055-060>062-
     067>071.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR PAZ069>071.
NJ...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 9 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR NJZ001-007>010-
     012>027.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR NJZ001-007>010-
     012>027.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR
     NJZ012>014-020>027.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR NJZ015>019.
DE...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 9 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR DEZ001>004.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR DEZ001>004.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR
     DEZ002>004.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR DEZ001.
MD...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 9 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR MDZ008-012-015-
     019-020.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR MDZ008-012-015-019-
     020.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EDT
     TUESDAY FOR MDZ008-012-015-019-020.
MARINE...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING UNTIL 3 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ430-
     431-450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DRAG
NEAR TERM...DRAG/HEAVENER/O'HARA
SHORT TERM...O'HARA
LONG TERM...DRAG/99
AVIATION...DRAG/O'HARA
MARINE...DRAG/O'HARA
HYDROLOGY...
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
CLIMATE...
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 29, 3:22 AM EST, 7 hours 38 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
422 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

NJZ001-007>010-PAZ054-055-060>062-067-068-300830-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-
422 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-300830-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
422 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.
   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ001-NJZ015>019-PAZ069>071-300830-
NEW CASTLE-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
422 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.
   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MDZ008-012-015-019-020-300830-
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
422 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 AM EDT
TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM
EDT TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ430-431-450>455-300830-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
422 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 29, 10:25 AM EST, 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1125 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1010 AM     COASTAL FLOOD    UPPER TWP               39.25N  74.73W
10/29/2012                   CAPE MAY           NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            BAY WATER ONTO TYLER ROAD.

1019 AM     COASTAL FLOOD    LONG BEACH              39.69N  74.14W
10/29/2012                   OCEAN              NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NEAR RECORD HIGH TIDE REPORTED ON LONG BEACH ISLAND...
            CONSIDERABLE FLOODING

1024 AM     COASTAL FLOOD    ATLANTIC CITY           39.38N  74.45W
10/29/2012                   ATLANTIC           NJ   PUBLIC

            NUMEROUS REPORTS OF COASTAL FLOODING VIA SOCIAL MEDIA

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1200801 PHI1200802 PHI1200803

GAINES

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

10 high wind, 5 flood, 3 coastal flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Montgomery

When
October 29, 11:00 AM EST to 11:27 PM EST
Where
Montgomery County, Palm to 1.46 mi WNW of Stowe
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
40.430, -75.530

The main stem of the Perkiomen Creek at East Greenville was above its 4 foot flood stage from 451 p.m. EDT on the 29th through 1237 a.m. EDT on the 30th It crested at 5.43 feet at 9 p.m. EDT on the 29th. Elsewhere in the county, urban and poor drainage flooding occurred. Pennsylvania State Route 309 near the Fort Washington Interchange was flooded. In the Pennypack Basin, Byberry Road was closed in Lower Moreland Township. Event precipitation totals included 4.00 inches in Ambler, 3.30 inches in West Norriton, 2.95 inches in Conshohocken, 2.83 inches in Pottstown, 2.63 inches in Perkiomenville and 2.58 inches in Green Lane.

Flood, Delaware

When
October 29, 11:00 AM EST to October 30, 5:31 PM EST
Where
Delaware County, 1.59 mi S of Marcus Hook to 3.09 mi SE of Essington
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
39.797, -75.419

Many gaged streams in Delaware County had moderate flooding. In addition, there was poor drainage flooding as well tidal flooding along and near the Delaware River. The Darby Creek flooded Darby Borough. Flooding was also reported in Malvern. Pennsylvania State Route 1 in Chadds Ford was closed due to Brandywine Creek flooding. The main stem of the Brandywine Creek at Chadds Ford had moderate flooding and was above its 9 foot flood stage from 6 p.m. EDT on the 29th through 631 a.m. EDT on the 30th It crested at 12.20 feet at 421 a.m. EDT on the 30th. The Chester Creek near Chester had moderate flooding and was above its 8 foot flood stage from 355 p.m. EDT on the 29th through 426 a.m. EDT on the 30th . It crested at 10.54 feet at 830 p.m. EDT on the 29th. The Crum Creek at Newtown Square was above its 6 foot flood stage from 306 p.m. EDT through 1125 p.m. EDT on the 29th It crested at 7.87 feet at 615 p.m. EDT. Event precipitation totals included 5.02 inches in Media, 4.20 inches in Garnet Valley, 3.06 inches at the Philadelphia International Airport and 2.43 inches in Aston Township.

Flood, Philadelphia

When
October 29, 11:00 AM EST to October 30, 5:00 AM EST
Where
Philadelphia County, 1.62 mi SSE of (Phl)philadelphia in to 0.49 mi ENE of Torresdale
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
39.859, -75.237

The heavy rain caused poor drainage flooding as well tidal flooding along and near the Delaware River in Philadelphia. Event precipitation totals included 3.06 inches at the Philadelphia International Airport, 2.17 inches in Rockledge and 1.62 inches at the Northeast Philadelphia Airport.

Flood, Chester

When
October 29, 12:00 PM EST to October 30, 5:31 PM EST
Where
Chester County, 1 mi NW of Honey Brook to Barnsley
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
40.110, -75.933

Many gaged streams in Chester County had moderate flooding. In addition, there was poor drainage flooding. Two roadways were closed along the main stem of the Brandywine Creek due to flooding. The West Branch of the Brandywine Creek at Honey Brook had moderate flooding and was above its 7 foot flood stage from 554 p.m. EDT on the 29th through 343 a.m. EDT on the 30th. It crested at 9.43 feet at 915 p.m. EDT on the 29th. The East Branch of the Brandywine Creek at Downingtown had major flooding and was above its 7 foot flood stage from 430 p.m. EDT on the 29th through 647 a.m. EDT on the 30th. It crested at 11.11 feet at 943 p.m. EDT on the 29th. The main stem of the Brandywine Creek at Chadds Ford had moderate flooding and was above its 9 foot flood stage from 6 p.m. EDT on the 29th through 631 a.m. EDT on the 30th It crested at 12.20 feet at 421 a.m. EDT on the 30th. The Valley Creek at Valley Forge had moderate flooding and was above its 7 foot flood stage from 326 p.m. EDT through 1050 p.m. EDT on the 29th. It crested at 8.55 feet at 715 p.m. EDT. The French Creek at Phoenixville was above its 8 foot flood stage from 454 p.m. EDT on the 29th through 742 a.m. EDT on the 30th. It crested at 8.62 feet at 615 p.m. EDT on the 29th.

Event precipitation totals included 5.90 inches in Landenburg, 5.78 inches in West Chester, 5.59 inches in Exton, 4.75 inches in Glenmoore, 4.61 inches in Honey Brook and 3.15 inches in Phoenixville.

High Wind, Berks

When
October 29, 3:00 PM EST to 11:00 PM EST
Where
Berks forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Deaths
1 direct, 1 indirect
Property damage
$2.5 million
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
40.416, -75.926 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

High Wind, Bucks

When
October 29, 3:00 PM EST to 11:00 PM EST
Where
Bucks forecast zone
Measured
66 kt (76 mph) measured gust
Injuries
2 direct, 0 indirect
Property damage
$3.2 million
Reported by
Trained Spotter

High Wind, Philadelphia

When
October 29, 3:00 PM EST to 10:00 PM EST
Where
Philadelphia forecast zone
Measured
61 kt (70 mph) measured gust
Deaths
0 direct, 2 indirect
Property damage
$400,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
40.008, -75.134 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

High Wind, Delaware

When
October 29, 3:00 PM EST to 10:00 PM EST
Where
Delaware forecast zone
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Injuries
1 direct, 0 indirect
Property damage
$1.0 million
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
39.917, -75.399 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

High Wind, Carbon

When
October 29, 4:00 PM EST to 10:00 PM EST
Where
Carbon forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) estimated gust
Deaths
0 direct, 1 indirect
Injuries
0 direct, 1 indirect
Property damage
$7,000
Reported by
Newspaper
Coordinates
40.918, -75.709 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

High Wind, Monroe

When
October 29, 4:00 PM EST to 10:00 PM EST
Where
Monroe forecast zone
Measured
57 kt (66 mph) measured gust
Injuries
0 direct, 2 indirect
Property damage
$930,000
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
41.058, -75.339 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

High Wind, Montgomery

When
October 29, 4:00 PM EST to 10:00 PM EST
Where
Montgomery forecast zone
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Deaths
0 direct, 1 indirect
Property damage
$3.0 million
Reported by
ASOS

Flood, Berks

When
October 29, 4:00 PM EST to October 30, 4:35 AM EST
Where
Berks County, Topton to 0.81 mi NW of New Jerusalem
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
40.500, -75.700

Heavy rain, creek and poor drainage flooding affected the southeastern part of Berks County the hardest. Monocacy Creek Road at U.S. Route 422 in Amity Township, Mertztown Road in Longswamp Township, Bertolet Mill Road in Oley Township and Lobachsville Road in Pike Township were all closed due to flooding. Evacuations occurred along the Manatawny Creek Basin. The Manatawny Creek at Spangsville was above its 6 foot flood stage from 616 p.m. EDT on the 29th through 535 a.m. EDT on the 30th. It crested at 7.56 feet at 1015 p.m. EDT on the 29th. Event precipitation totals included 5.12 inches at Unionville, 3.82 inches in Alburtis, 3.72 inches in Oley and 2.32 inches in Reading.

High Wind, Chester

When
October 29, 4:00 PM EST to 11:00 PM EST
Where
Chester forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$1.0 million
Reported by
Newspaper

High Wind, Lehigh

When
October 29, 5:00 PM EST to 11:00 PM EST
Where
Lehigh forecast zone
Measured
70 kt (81 mph) measured gust
Deaths
0 direct, 3 indirect
Property damage
$3.0 million
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
40.613, -75.592 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

High Wind, Northampton

When
October 29, 5:00 PM EST to 11:00 PM EST
Where
Northampton forecast zone
Measured
67 kt (77 mph) measured gust
Deaths
0 direct, 2 indirect
Property damage
$1.0 million
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
40.754, -75.307 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Coastal Flood, Delaware

When
October 30, 1:00 AM EST to 5:00 AM EST
Where
Delaware forecast zone
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
39.917, -75.399 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Coastal Flood, Philadelphia

When
October 30, 2:00 AM EST to 6:00 AM EST
Where
Philadelphia forecast zone
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
40.008, -75.134 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Coastal Flood, Bucks

When
October 30, 3:00 AM EST to 7:00 AM EST
Where
Bucks forecast zone
Reported by
River/Stream Gage

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
High Wind, Berks2012-10-2962MalePermanent HomeDirect
High Wind, Berks2012-10-3086MalePermanent HomeIndirect
High Wind, Philadelphia2012-10-3095FemalePermanent HomeIndirect
High Wind, Philadelphia2012-10-3064FemalePermanent HomeIndirect
High Wind, Carbon2012-10-3066MalePermanent HomeIndirect
High Wind, Montgomery2012-10-3090FemalePermanent HomeIndirect
High Wind, Lehigh2012-10-3086FemaleOutside/Open AreasIndirect
High Wind, Lehigh2012-10-30MaleOutside/Open AreasIndirect
High Wind, Lehigh2012-10-3048FemalePermanent HomeIndirect
High Wind, Northampton2012-10-3017MaleOutside/Open AreasIndirect
High Wind, Northampton2012-11-0267MaleOutside/Open AreasIndirect

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
Coastal Flood
Flooding of coastal land by the sea, from storm surge, onshore wind or high tides.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Pennsylvania in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Pennsylvania, October 2012

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 416911, 416915, 416918, 416913, 416845, 416846, 416855, 416858, 416848, 416850, 416859, 416921, 417867, 416852, 416853, 416922, 416923, 416926.