New Jersey, 2012

High Wind in New Jersey, October 29, 2012

October 29, 2012 · NWS OKX · 9 events in 9 counties and zones

Post Tropical Storm Sandy was the costliest natural disaster in Northeast New Jersey. Tropical Storm Sandy formed in the Caribbean Sea on October 22.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 9 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
15
Injuries
0
Property damage
$5.4 million
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
9

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS OKX wrote it up.

Post Tropical Storm Sandy was the costliest natural disaster in Northeast New Jersey.

Tropical Storm Sandy formed in the Caribbean Sea on October 22. After drifting slowly southwest on October 23, Sandy turned to the north and intensified to a hurricane on October 24, just before making landfall in Jamaica. Hurricane Sandy continued to the north and intensified to a strong category two hurricane before making landfall again in Cuba shortly after Midnight EDT on the 25th. Hurricane Sandy emerged on the other side of Cuba during the morning of the 25th and proceeded to drift northwest as a category one or two hurricane as it moved through the Bahamas on the 25th and 26th. Overnight on the 26th, Hurricane Sandy (Category 1) started to move toward the north northeast, a motion that continued into the evening of the 28th. From there, Sandy’s motion became driven by two factors. An anomalously strong blocking ridge over the Canadian Maritimes prevented Sandy from escaping to the east. Simultaneously, an approaching and deepening extratropical trough was about to capture Sandy. The combination of the two, turned Sandy to the north overnight on the 28th and then to the northwest on the 29th.

As Sandy continued to move northwest and interact with the mid latitude trough, its interaction continued to make it less tropical, but did not weaken it much. Sandy continued to make a harder turn to the left (west) and made landfall in Atlantic County as a post tropical storm in Brigantine City just north of Atlantic City at 730 p.m. EDT on the 29th. The estimated minimum central pressure was 945 millibars. The lowest recorded central pressure was 945.6 millibars at the Atlantic City Marina at 734 p.m. EDT.

Record breaking high tides and wave action was combined with sustained winds of 40 to 60 mph and wind gusts of 70 to 80 mph.

These extreme conditions resulted in at least 12 deaths across Northeast NJ and widespread property damage. The New Jersey State Governor estimated property damage at 29.4 billion dollars for the State.

Emergency managers recommended mandatory evacuations of people living along the coasts and rivers of mainly Union, Essex, and Hudson Counties. Widespread significant power outages of more than 1 million lasted up to 2 weeks.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 29, 1:36 PM EST, 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 29, 1:36 PM EST, 24 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
236 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
SANDY...WHOSE CENTER WAS LOCATED ABOUT 170 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
NEW YORK CITY AT 1 PM...CONTINUES TO INCREASE ITS IMPACT ON THE
REGION THROUGH TONIGHT. THE CENTER OF SANDY IS FORECAST TO MAKE
LANDFALL ON THE NEW JERSEY COAST THIS EVENING...A WORST CASE
SCENARIO FOR OUR REGION. CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY DETERIORATE
TODAY...WITH PROLONGED MAJOR IMPACTS THIS AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...
INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS TO HURRICANE FORCE...LIFE THREATENING
STORM SURGE...AND POTENTIALLY FLOODING RAINS. THE STORM WILL
WEAKEN JUST WEST OF THE REGION STARTING TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
WINDS WERE GUSTING AROUND 50KT ALONG CSTL CT...LI AND INTO NYC AT
1PM. THE UPWARD TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVE AS THE STORM
APPROACHES THE NJ COAST. THE HEAVIEST RAIN THREAT HAS REMAINED SW
OF THE CWA...AND THIS LOOKS LIKE IT MAY REMAIN THE CASE THRU THE
DURATION OF THE STORM. PERIODS OF HEAVY WIND DRIVEN RAIN WILL
STILL OCCUR HOWEVER.

SANDY HAS TURNED TOWARD THE W IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING UPSTREAM
BLOCKING AS AN UPPER HIGH BUILDS WESTWARD INTO THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES...AND AS THE STORM FIRST UNDERGOES FUJIWARA INTERACTION
WITH AND THEN MERGES WITH A DIGGING CLOSED LOW TO ITS WEST. THIS
INFUSION OF BAROCLINIC ENERGY WILL ENABLE SANDY TO MAINTAIN OR
INCREASE IN INTENSITY...TRANSFORMING INTO A SEVERE POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE AND MAKING LANDFALL ON THE CENTRAL OR SOUTHERN NJ COAST
EARLY THIS EVENING. THE ALREADY LARGE WIND FIELD AROUND SANDY
WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND AND INTENSIFY THIS AFTN...WITH SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 40-55 MPH BY THIS EVENING. ALL NWP IN PRETTY CLOSE
AGREEMENT ON DEVELOPMENT AND PLACEMENT OF A BAND OF VERY STRONG
925 MB WINDS OF 70-90 KT TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE BY LATE
AFTERNOON OVER OUR CWA...ESPECIALLY ACROSS COASTAL SECTIONS. A
SHALLOW MIXED LAYER BELOW THAT...IN COMBINATION WITH POSSIBLE
GRAVITY WAVE DUCTING JUST NORTH OF A WARM FRONT DEVELOPING TO THE
NORTHEAST OF SANDY...COULD ALLOW A LARGE PORTION OF THESE STRONG
WINDS TO MIX DOWN...ESPECIALLY IN HEAVIER RAIN...SO AT LEAST
OCCASIONAL GUSTS 60-75 MPH EXPECTED IN NE-E FLOW DURING MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON BEFORE THE STORM MAKES LANDFALL.

OF EVEN GREATER CONCERN IS A SECOND BAND OF FCST 925 MB WINDS OF
SIMILAR STRENGTH ON THE SE FLANK OF THE CYCLONE THAT SHOULD ROTATE
UP INTO THE CWA DURING AND JUST AFTER LANDFALL THIS
EVENING...INITIALLY IMPACTING SOUTHERN CT AND LONG ISLAND...THEN
TRANSLATING WESTWARD INTO NYC METRO AND THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY.
STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN THIS QUADRANT OF THE STORM
AS CAA BEGINS JUST OFF THE DECK...BUT AS LOW LEVEL WAA
CONTINUES...SHOULD LEAD TO EVEN MORE EFFICIENT MOMENTUM
TRANSFER...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTH
SHORES OF LONG ISLAND AND CT WHERE WINDS COULD GUST 80 TO PERHAPS
90 MPH. THERE MAY BE A LOW END TORNADO THREAT ACROSS EASTERN
CT/LONG ISLAND DURING THIS TIME VIA STRONG LOW LEVEL HELICITY AND
DEVELOPMENT OF MARGINAL LOW LEVEL CAPE...NOT ENOUGH FOR THUNDER
INITIALLY BUT ENOUGH FOR LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION THAT COULD STRETCH
ROTATING UPDRAFTS AND/OR TAP INTO HIGHER MOMENTUM ALOFT.

WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT...BUT WILL STILL BE GUSTING
UP TO 45-50 MPH AT DAYBREAK.

THE COMBINATION OF EVENT DURATION...SATURATED GROUNDS...AND
PARTIAL TO NEARLY FULL TREE CANOPIES...WOULD CAUSE WIDESPREAD
DOWNING OF TREES AND POWER LINES...CAUSING DISRUPTION TO POWER AND
POSSIBLY TRANSIT FOR AT LEAST SEVERAL DAYS. THESE WINDS WILL ALSO
RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT COASTAL IMPACTS...DETAILED IN THE TIDES AND
COASTAL FLOODING SECTION.

THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS THE
STORM INTERACTS WITH INTENSE JET/SHORTWAVE ENERGY...WITH 2 TO 4
INCHES RAINFALL POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME. THINKING THE HIGHEST
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE SEEN ACROSS NYC METRO AND NORTHEAST NEW
JERSEY...CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION...AND IN/NEAR UPSLOPE
AREAS OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND SW
CT VIA STRONG OROGRAPHIC LIFT. SEE THE HYDROLOGY SECTION FOR MORE
DETAILS.

LOWS TONIGHT IN THE 50S.

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECASTS...AS THE EXACT TIMING...PLACEMENT AND INTENSITY
OF THE STORM AS IT APPROACHES AND MAKES LANDFALL WILL DETERMINE
THE SEVERITY OF IMPACTS IN PARTICULAR LOCATIONS. ALSO...REFER TO
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE LATEST TRACK AND FORECASTS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
AS THE CENTER OF SANDY HEADS FARTHER INLAND...S-SE WINDS WILL BE
SLOW TO DIMINISH DURING THE DAY ON TUE...STILL GUSTING TO 40-45
MPH...BUT SHOULD DIMINISH FURTHER TUE NIGHT. SHOWERS STILL
EXPECTED AS MOISTURE WILL STILL BE ABUNDANT...WITH SOME MARGINAL
SFC-BASED INSTABILITY. HIGH TEMPS ACROSS EASTERN LONG ISLAND/CT
WILL BE IN THE MID 60S...YIELDING ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR A FEW
TSTMS THERE THAT COULD STILL PRODUCE LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
OVER 60 MPH OR AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
MODEL CONSENSUS TAKES THE STACKED...CLOSED REMNANT LOW OF SANDY
FROM THE INTERIOR NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC REGION SLOWLY NORTH AND
EAST ACROSS THE UPSTATE OF NEW YORK AND INTO THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES BY THE END OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN A GRADUALLY
DISSIPATING S/SW FLOW...STILL BREEZY ON WED. WINDS WILL BECOME
MORE WESTERLY BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS THE LOW PASSES TO THE
NORTH AND SENDS A TROF/WEAK COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA THU.

INSTABILITY SHOWERS EXPECTED WED AND THU DUE TO A DEEP CYCLONIC
FLOW AND COLD TEMPS ALOFT. THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF CLOUDS DURING
THIS TIME.

THE COMBINATION OF THE CLOUD COVER AND SHOWERS WILL KEEP DAYTIME
HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 50S WED AND THU...SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL. MORE SUNSHINE WILL FOLLOW FOR FRI INTO THE WEEKEND... WITH
SEASONABLY COOL AS A DRY AIR MASS FILTERS IN ON A GUSTY NW FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MAJOR IMPACTS FROM SANDY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

WINDS CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS SANDY
APPROACHES THE NJ COAST...REACHING IT NEAR 21Z. DIRECTION BACKS
SLOWLY FROM NE-ENE THIS AFTERNOON...THEN MORE RAPIDLY TO ESE-SE
THIS EVENING. GUSTS IN TAFS REPRESENT PEAK GUSTS FOR THE PERIOD.

TEMPO IFR CIGS MIGHT NOT HAPPEN IN SOME PLACES...BUT AT THE SAME
TIME...IFR CIGS COULD POSSIBLY PREVAIL FOR A FEW HOURS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.

NO TSTMS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

AN AVERAGE ACROSS THE TERMINALS OF 60 KT WINDS AT 1000FT...AND
75-80 KT AT 2000FT EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

WIND SPEEDS COULD BE FORECAST TO BE 5-10 KT TOO STRONG AFTER
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

 ...NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT...

DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT FCSTS
CAN BE FOUND AT:  HTTP:/WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90 (LOWER CASE)

KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: FREQUENT GUSTS 52-55 KT FOR THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON.

KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: FREQUENT GUSTS 50-53 KT FOR THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON.

KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: FREQUENT GUSTS AROUND 50 KT FOR THE REST OF
THE AFTERNOON.

KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: FREQUENT GUSTS 47-50 KT FOR THE REST OF
THE AFTERNOON.

KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: FREQUENT GUSTS 47-50 KT FOR THE REST OF
THE AFTERNOON.

KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: FREQUENT GUSTS AROUND 55 KT FOR THE REST OF
THE AFTERNOON.

.OUTLOOK FOR 18Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
.TUE...CIGS 2500-3500 FT...GUSTS SUBSIDING TO AROUND 35 KT.
.WED-FRI...MVFR CONDS WITH SCT SHOWERS. WIND WSW 20KT BECOMING NW
FRI.

&&

.MARINE...
SANDY...A DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY DEADLY STORM...WILL AFFECT THE
WATERS TROUGH TUESDAY. HURRICANE WIND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT.

GUSTS WILL INCREASE TO HURRICANE FORCE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
FCST UPPED TO 80KT...BUT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR HIGHER GUSTS ON
THE OCEAN CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF THE STORM.

25-35 FT OCEAN SEAS BY TNGT. SEAS UP TO 15 FT EXPECTED ON THE
SOUND.

CONDS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE INTO MID WEEK AS THE WEAKENING
REMNANT LOW OF SANDY LIFTS SLOWLY NORTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTHEAST.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
SANDY WILL BRING BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH TUESDAY.
THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS...AND IN AREAS THAT EXPERIENCE PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN
BANDS WHICH COULD VERY WELL BE NEAR THE CITY AND NORTHEAST NEW
JERSEY. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE HEAVIEST BANDS.

THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD URBAN AND POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING MONDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY...WITH FLOODING OF
FAST RESPONDING STREAMS LIKELY AS WELL. THE URBAN AND POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING WILL LIKELY BE EXACERBATED BY FALLEN LEAVES
CLOGGING DRAINS...AND ALONG COASTAL AREAS DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH
TIDE.

IN ADDITION...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME LARGER MAIN STEM RIVER
FLOODING MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THIS WILL DEPEND ON WHERE THE
HEAVIEST RAIN ACTUALLY FALLS.

A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MON AND TUE AS A RESULT.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
THIS HISTORIC STORM WITH RESPECT TO ITS LARGE SCALE AND UNUSUAL
TRACK WILL PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING COASTAL FLOODING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...WITH PARTICULAR EMPHASIS ON THE HIGH TIDE
TONIGHT. MULTIPLE SOURCES OF GUIDANCE AND THE TRACK OF THE STORM
CENTER TO THE SOUTH OF THE NEW YORK BIGHT CONTINUES TO SUPPORT A
STORM SURGE OF 6 TO 12 FT ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THE COMBINED
EFFECT OF THE STORM SURGE AND TIDE MAY PRODUCE WATER LEVELS AS
HIGH AS 6 TO 12 FT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL OR AGL...THE HIGHER END OF
THE RANGE BEING ACROSS HISTORICALLY FLOOD PRONE SPOTS.

THE COMBINATION OF PILING OF WATER FROM THE STRENGTHENING E/NE
FLOW AND EKMAN TRANSPORT WHICH TRANSPORTS WATER TO THE RIGHT OF
THE WIND...WILL BE FACTORS IN THIS PROLONGED COASTAL FLOOD EVENT.

MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING HAS ALREADY OCCURRED. FOR THE HIGH TIDE
CYCLE TONIGHT...WIDESPREAD MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING...POSSIBLY TO
RECORD LEVELS...IS EXPECTED. MODERATE TO LOCALLY MAJOR COASTAL
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE TUESDAY MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HIGH TIDES CYCLE AS WELL.

THE EXACT TRACK/TIMING OF THE STORM WILL DETERMINE THE MAGNITUDE
OF COASTAL FLOODING TONIGHT...BUT DUE TO COMBINED STORM TIDE AND
BREAKING WAVES THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR A MAJOR TO LOCALLY
RECORD BREAKING COASTAL FLOODING EVENT WITH LIFE THREATENING
INUNDATION...AS WELL AS DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES IN HISTORICALLY FLOOD
PRONE SPOTS.

WAVES ON THE ATLANTIC OCEAN SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND ARE EXPECTED TO
BUILD TO AS HIGH AS 30 TO 35 FT BY TONIGHT...RESULTING IN BREAKERS OF
15 TO 25 FT ON THE SHORELINE. THESE BATTERING WAVES SUPERIMPOSED
ON TOP OF THE STORM TIDE WILL RESULT IN SEVERE BEACH
EROSION...WASHOVERS...AND DAMAGE TO SHORELINE STRUCTURES. THIS IS
ESPECIALLY TRUE FOR LOW LYING AREAS ALONG OCEAN PARKWAY AND DUNE
ROAD...THE EASTERN ENDS OF THE TWIN FORKS OF LONG ISLAND...AND
FIRE ISLAND COMMUNITIES SUCH AS FAIR HARBOR...OCEAN BEACH...CHERRY
GROVE...FIRE ISLAND PINES AND DAVIS PARK. THERE IS EVEN A
POSSIBILITY THAT LOW LYING AND NARROW PORTIONS OF THE BARRIER
ISLANDS ALONG THE ATLANTIC OCEAN WILL MAY BE BREACHED.

MEANWHILE ON LONG ISLAND SOUND...WAVES OF 8 TO 15 FT WILL BATTER THE
COAST ON TOP THE RECORD STORM SURGE LEVELS. THE WESTERN SOUND WILL
SEE THE HIGHEST SURGE. AREAS FROM EAST HAVEN...WEST TO THE BRONX AND
QUEENS...AS WELL AS ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF NASSAU AND SUFFOLK
COUNTIES WILL LIKELY SEE HISTORIC COASTAL FLOODING...WITH
HISTORICALLY VULNERABLE AREAS SEEING DAMAGE TO SHORELINE
STRUCTURES.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 3 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR CTZ009>012.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR CTZ005>012.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR CTZ005>012.
NY...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 3 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR NYZ071>075-
     078>081-176>179.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR NYZ067>075-
     078>081-176>179.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR NYZ067>075-078>081-
     176>179.
NJ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 3 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR NJZ006-106-
     108.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR NJZ002-004-006-
     103>108.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR NJZ002-004-006-
     103>108.
MARINE...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING UNTIL NOON EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ330-
     335-338-340-345-350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GOODMAN
NEAR TERM...12/GOODMAN/JP
SHORT TERM...GOODMAN
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...JC
MARINE...GOODMAN
HYDROLOGY...12/GOODMAN
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 29, 4:14 AM EST, 9 hours 46 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
514 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

CTZ005>008-NJZ002-004-103>105-107-NYZ067>070-301000-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-
EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
514 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NJZ106-108-301000-
EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-
514 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.
   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.
   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-350-353-355-301000-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
514 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ009>012-NJZ006-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-301000-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-HUDSON-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-
BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
514 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.
   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.
   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ345-301000-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
514 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 29, 1:41 PM EST, 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
241 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG KEARNY                  40.75N  74.12W
10/29/2012                   HUDSON             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WIRES DOWN AT HICKORY AND PINE ST

&&

DS
Local storm report, Oct 29, 1:52 PM EST, 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
252 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0252 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST EATONS NECK             40.95N  73.39W
10/29/2012  M74 MPH          SUFFOLK            NY   MESONET

            MESONET

&&

PICCA
Local storm report, Oct 29, 1:55 PM EST, 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
255 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 ENE PLUM ISLAND       41.20N  72.12W
10/29/2012  M76 MPH          SUFFOLK            NY   MESONET

            MESONET

&&

PICCA
Local storm report, Oct 29, 1:57 PM EST, 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
257 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ENE MONTAUK HIGHWAY   40.91N  72.32W
10/29/2012  M73 MPH          SUFFOLK            NY   MESONET

            MESONET

&&

PICCA
Local storm report, Oct 29, 1:58 PM EST, 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
258 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 N TOMPKINSVILLE       40.66N  74.07W
10/29/2012  M72 MPH          ANZ338             NY   MESONET

            MESONET

&&

PICCA
Local storm report, Oct 29, 1:59 PM EST, 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
259 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0134 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST NYC/JFK AIRPORT         40.64N  73.76W
10/29/2012  M66 MPH          QUEENS             NY   ASOS

            ASOS

&&

PICCA

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

9 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Eastern Bergen

When
October 29, 2:00 PM EST to 9:00 PM EST
Where
Eastern Bergen forecast zone
Measured
66 kt (76 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$900,000
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
40.960, -74.074 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Near Teaneck, a wind gust up to 76 mph was reported at 731 pm. A wind gust up to 72 mph was measured at Teterboro Airport at 747 pm. In North Arlington, a wind gust up to 63 mph was reported at 348 pm.

High Wind, Western Passaic

When
October 29, 3:30 PM EST to 5:30 PM EST
Where
Western Passaic forecast zone
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
AWOS
Coordinates
41.034, -74.300 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A wind gust to 59 mph was measured at Sussex Airport at 510 pm.

High Wind, Western Essex

When
October 29, 5:00 PM EST to 11:00 PM EST
Where
Western Essex forecast zone
Measured
63 kt (72 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$900,000
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
40.787, -74.247 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A wind gust up to 72 mph was reported near Fairfield at 741 pm, and a wind gust to 70 mph was measured at Caldwell Airport at 614 pm.

High Wind, Western Union

When
October 29, 5:00 PM EST to 11:00 PM EST
Where
Western Union forecast zone
Measured
61 kt (70 mph) measured gust
Deaths
0 direct, 2 indirect
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
40.660, -74.309 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A wind gust to 70 mph was measured at Caldwell Airport at 614 pm. In Summit, a 93 year old male died when he fell in his home. His home was without power due to the high winds. In Berkeley Heights, a 79 year old female died after she fell in her home. She was without electricity and heat due to the high winds.

High Wind, Eastern Essex

When
October 29, 6:00 PM EST to 10:00 PM EST
Where
Eastern Essex forecast zone
Measured
68 kt (78 mph) estimated gust
Deaths
0 direct, 5 indirect
Property damage
$900,000
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
40.787, -74.247 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The FAA observer at Newark Airport estimated a wind gust up to 78 mph at 751 pm. Two females were found dead from Carbon monoxide poisoning. This was a result of a loss of power to their building. A 65 year old female was found dead as she ran out of oxygen. This was due to the loss of power in her home in Jersey City. In West Orange, a 61 year old male ran out of oxygen due to the loss of power to his home. In Newark, a 65 year old male was found dead in his home. There was no power due to the high winds, and cause of death appears to be from an asthma attack.

High Wind, Hudson

When
October 29, 6:00 PM EST to 10:00 PM EST
Where
Hudson forecast zone
Measured
67 kt (77 mph) estimated gust
Deaths
0 direct, 2 indirect
Property damage
$900,000
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
40.731, -74.076 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A wind gust up to 77 mph was reported near Bayonne around 805 pm. A wind gust up to 68 mph was reported in Harrison. An 86 year old female fell in her home. She was without power due to the high winds, and she died due to the fall.

High Wind, Eastern Union

When
October 29, 6:00 PM EST to 10:00 PM EST
Where
Eastern Union forecast zone
Measured
68 kt (78 mph) estimated gust
Deaths
0 direct, 2 indirect
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
40.660, -74.309 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The FAA observer at Newark Airport estimated a wind gust to 78 mph at 751 pm.

High Wind, Eastern Passaic

When
October 29, 7:00 PM EST to 11:00 PM EST
Where
Eastern Passaic forecast zone
Measured
70 kt (81 mph) estimated gust
Deaths
3 direct, 1 indirect
Property damage
$900,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
41.034, -74.300 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A wind gust up to 80 mph was reported in Clifton at 930 pm. A 77 year old male was killed when a tree fell into his house. An 83 year old male fell down his stairs when the electricity was out. He died as a result of the fall.

High Wind, Western Bergen

When
October 29, 7:00 PM EST to 11:00 PM EST
Where
Western Bergen forecast zone
Measured
70 kt (81 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$900,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
40.960, -74.074 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A wind gust up to 80 mph was reported in Clifton at 930 pm.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
High Wind, Western Union2012-10-2993MalePermanent HomeIndirect
High Wind, Western Union2012-10-2979FemalePermanent HomeIndirect
High Wind, Eastern Essex2012-10-29Permanent HomeIndirect
High Wind, Eastern Essex2012-10-2965MalePermanent HomeIndirect
High Wind, Eastern Essex2012-10-3118FemalePermanent HomeIndirect
High Wind, Eastern Essex2012-10-3119FemalePermanent HomeIndirect
High Wind, Eastern Essex2012-10-2961MalePermanent HomeIndirect
High Wind, Hudson2012-10-2965FemalePermanent HomeIndirect
High Wind, Hudson2012-10-2986FemalePermanent HomeIndirect
High Wind, Eastern Union2012-10-2993MalePermanent HomeIndirect
High Wind, Eastern Union2012-10-2979FemalePermanent HomeIndirect
High Wind, Eastern Passaic2012-10-29UnknownDirect
High Wind, Eastern Passaic2012-10-29Permanent HomeDirect
High Wind, Eastern Passaic2012-10-2977MalePermanent HomeDirect
High Wind, Eastern Passaic2012-10-2983MalePermanent HomeIndirect

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New Jersey in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in New Jersey, October 2012

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 413111, 416864, 413116, 416827, 413117, 413118, 416826, 413112, 413114.