High pressure over the area kept dry conditions in place. Though afternoon mixing was weak, dewpoints were dry enough for prolonged dangerous fire weather conditions, especially across north Georgia.
Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FFC wrote it up.
High pressure over the area kept dry conditions in place. Though afternoon mixing was weak, dewpoints were dry enough for prolonged dangerous fire weather conditions, especially across north Georgia.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 10, 2:54 PM EST, 21 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 254 PM EST SAT NOV 10 2012 .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE STATE WILL DRIFT OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH SUNDAY. THE CWA WILL BE DRY THROUGH MUCH OF THE SHORT TERM. MODELS CONSISTENT IN SHOWING THE SURFACE FRONT ENTERING NORTHWEST GA AROUND 12Z MONDAY DRIFTING ACROSS THE CWA DURING THE DAY. A BAND OF SHOWERS SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE FRONT...NO MENTION OF THUNDER SINCE CAPES ARE FORECAST BELOW 500 AND LIFTED INDEX STAYS POSITIVE. HAVE KEPT ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE NORTHWEST CORNER 06Z TO 12Z MONDAY AND HIGHEST POPS DURING THE DAY MONDAY. MAV/MET TEMPERATURES ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT AND HAVE STAYED CLOSE. 41 .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... 12Z RUN OF THE MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT WITH CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST GRIDS. NO CHANGES MADE AT THIS TIME. SEE PREVIOUS EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION BELOW. 20 PREVIOUS DISCUSSION EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION...ISSUED 321 AM EST SAT NOV 10 2012 LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... GFS AND ECMWF IN FAIRLY DECENT AGREEMENT ON STRENGTH AND TIMING OF THE FRONT AS IT PUSHES INTO THE AREA MONDAY MORNING. THERE IS SOME CONCERN FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST GEORGIA AS A 50+KT LLJ IS PROGGED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BUT AS THE SURFACE LOW CONTINUES TO OCCLUDE IN SOUTHERN CANADA AND THE FRONT FURTHER ELONGATES...BEST LARGE-SCALE DYNAMICS AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR PULLS FURTHER NORTH. EVEN WITH SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE EXITING HIGH...SURFACE PARAMETERS DO NOT RESULT IN ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO WARRANT THUNDER WORDING...WITH MLCAPES STILL AT OR BELOW AROUND 50 J/KG. FOR NOW STILL JUST THINKING A RAIN EVENT... AND HAVE CONTINUED LIKELY POPS ACROSS ESPECIALLY NORTH GEORGIA WITH A PERIOD OF CATEGORICAL INTRODUCED. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THE EVOLUTION OF THE LLJ IN CASE THE POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR THE SHOWERS TO TAP INTO THE WINDS AND BRING THEM DOWN TO THE SURFACE...REGARDLESS OF WHETHER OR NOT THERE IS ANY THUNDER. TEMPERATURES COOL BEHIND THE FRONT AS FLOW ALOFT TRANSITIONS TO ZONAL AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SETS UP OVER THE OHIO VALLEY. ENOUGH OF A PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS TO KEEP WINDS FROM GOING CALM AND TEMPS FROM BOTTOMING COMPLETELY OUT...BUT STILL SHOULD SEE SOME FREEZING TEMPS ESPECIALLY IN NORTH GEORGIA. AS THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES NORTHEAST AND EASTERLY FLOW PICKS UP AGAIN AT THE SURFACE...THERE ARE HINTS OF INCREASING ATLANTIC MOISTURE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...BUT FOR NOW HAVE LEFT POPS OUT AND ONLY INCREASED SKY COVER ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES. TDP && .FIRE WEATHER... STILL HAVE A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON. WITH INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND SOUTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY THE HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE 25 PERCENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 41 && AVIATION... 18Z UPDATE... VFR THROUGH MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. INFLUX OF MOISTURE OFF THE ATLANTIC TONIGHT MAY BRING SOME LOW LEVEL CLOUDS TO THE AREA SUNDAY MORNING BUT TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY TO GO BKN YET. WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE...TO LIGHT SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15KT SUNDAY. //ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE... MEDIUM ON EARLY MORNING MVFR CLOUDS. HIGH ON ALL OTHER ELEMENTS. 41 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ATHENS 43 68 53 72 / 0 0 10 40 ATLANTA 48 68 56 69 / 0 0 5 60 BLAIRSVILLE 37 64 49 61 / 0 0 10 60 CARTERSVILLE 39 68 54 65 / 0 5 10 60 COLUMBUS 45 74 57 74 / 0 0 5 50 GAINESVILLE 46 65 53 63 / 0 0 10 50 MACON 40 73 53 77 / 0 0 5 30 ROME 37 70 52 67 / 0 0 20 70 PEACHTREE CITY 35 69 51 70 / 0 0 5 60 VIDALIA 50 75 58 79 / 0 0 5 10 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SHORT TERM...41 LONG TERM....20 AVIATION...41
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 508 AM EST SAT NOV 10 2012 GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086- 089>098-102>113-111015- BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA- CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA- CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL- FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE- GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON- JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON- MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY- MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH- PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON- SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS- TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN- WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES- WILKINSON- 508 AM EST SAT NOV 10 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... HIGH FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER MOST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...EXCLUDING THE NORTHEAST MOUNTAINS...THIS AFTERNOON. .SYNOPSIS... DRY AND STABLE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE REGION TODAY AND SUNDAY. .PRIMARY HAZARDS... THE PRIMARY HAZARD WILL BE HIGH FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...EXCLUDING THE NORTHEAST MOUNTAINS...DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS. .DISCUSSION... DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO AS LOW AS 25 PERCENT AND SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 MPH. THE DRY AIR AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE VALUES WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE HIGH FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE STATE ON MONDAY...BUT AT THIS TIME NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 245 PM EST SAT NOV 10 2012 GAZ001>005-011-012-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086- 089>098-102>113-102300- DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-CHATTOOGA-GORDON-FLOYD- BARTOW-CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING- COBB-NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-WILKES- HARALSON-CARROLL-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON- NEWTON-MORGAN-GREENE-TALIAFERRO-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON- SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS-JASPER-PUTNAM-HANCOCK-WARREN-TROUP- MERIWETHER-PIKE-UPSON-LAMAR-MONROE-JONES-BALDWIN-WASHINGTON- GLASCOCK-JEFFERSON-HARRIS-TALBOT-TAYLOR-CRAWFORD-BIBB-TWIGGS- WILKINSON-JOHNSON-EMANUEL-MUSCOGEE-CHATTAHOOCHEE-MARION-SCHLEY- MACON-PEACH-HOUSTON-BLECKLEY-LAURENS-TREUTLEN-STEWART-WEBSTER- SUMTER-DOOLY-CRISP-PULASKI-WILCOX-DODGE-TELFAIR-WHEELER- MONTGOMERY-TOOMBS- 245 PM EST SAT NOV 10 2012 ...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT... ...HIGH FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON FOR MOST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES... RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 25 PERCENT OR LESS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA... EXCEPT THE NORTHEAST MOUNTAINS. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. WITH DRY FUELS...HIGH FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL BURN PERMITTING AUTHORITIES CONCERNING WHETHER YOU MAY BURN OUTDOORS. IF YOU DO BURN OUTSIDE...USE EXTREME CAUTION.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
4 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.
The National Forest Service reported that a human-caused wildfire labeled Rocky Knob burned 0.1 acres and resulted in $1,000 in damages.
The National Forest Service reported that a wildfire of unknown cause labeled Yellow Trail burned 0.1 acres and resulted in $500 in damages.
The National Forest Service reported that a wildfire of unknown cause labeled Holcomb Road burned 7.25 acres and resulted in $12,000 in damages.
The National Forest Service reported that a wildfire of unknown cause labeled Cub Trail burned 1.5 acres and resulted in $500 in damages.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Georgia in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Georgia, November 2012
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 428213, 428214, 428217, 428215.