Several storm systems brought very heavy rainfall to the region during the second half of the month. Paducah, KY recorded exactly 10 inches for the month of November, which was the third highest total on record for November.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Several storm systems brought very heavy rainfall to the region during the second half of the month. Paducah, KY recorded exactly 10 inches for the month of November, which was the third highest total on record for November. The monthly total at Evansville, IN was 8.32 inches, making it the fourth wettest November. The Ohio and White Rivers went above flood stage by the end of the month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 27, 5:00 AM CST, 6 hours earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 500 AM CST SUN NOV 27 2011 .UPDATE... FOR AVIATION SECTION. && .DISCUSSION... MAIN CONCERNS ARE POPS/QPF/PRECIPITATION TYPE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. ALL 00Z GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO PUSH THE COLD FRONT EAST OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT HANG THE BAND OF RAIN UP OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF OUR AREA THROUGH THE DAY. THE DEEPER MOISTURE FINALLY PUSHES OUT OF THE REGION TONIGHT...BUT THE LOW-LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SATURATED. THUS A LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE AT LEAST PERIODICALLY OVER OUR EAST TONIGHT. HOW FAR WEST THE LIGHT...SHALLOW PRECIPITATION WILL HANG ON THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT IS THE BIG QUESTION. THE MODEL SOUNDINGS ARE LOOKING LESS LIKELY FOR A CHANGE OVER TO SNOW IN OUR WEST TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING BECAUSE THE SATURATED LAYER WILL LIKELY NOT BE DEEP ENOUGH FOR SNOW TO DEVELOP...LEAVING JUST A LIGHT COLD RAIN IF ANYTHING. DID LEAVE A MENTION OF RAIN OR SNOW TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING IMMEDIATELY ALONG OUR BORDER WITH LSX AND SGF...BUT ONLY HAVE LOW CHANCE POPS. THE 00Z MODELS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THE UPPER LOW TO OUR SOUTH TONIGHT...AND SPREAD THE DEFORMATION ZONE PRECIPITATION BACK WESTWARD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY. THE CONSENSUS IS THAT OUR ENTIRE AREA WILL GET WET MONDAY NIGHT AS THE UPPER LOW BEGINS TO LIFT NORTHEAST. WARMER LOW-LEVEL AIR WILL SPREAD BACK WEST WITH THE PRECIPITATION...SO ALL RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. THE 12Z AND 00Z ECMWF HAVE BEEN A BIT FARTHER WEST WITH THE TRACK OF THE UPPER LOW MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...WHICH BRINGS OUR SOUTHEAST AREAS CLOSER TO THE COOLER AIR ALOFT. SURFACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE WARM ENOUGH TO PREVENT ANY SNOW FROM REACHING THE GROUND ON TUESDAY...BUT WILL HAVE TO WATCH THE PATH OF THE LOW CLOSELY IN THE MEANTIME. THE LAST OF THE DEFORMATION ZONE PRECIPITATION WILL LIFT NORTHEAST OF THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. CERTAINLY CANNOT RULE OUT A CHANGE OVER TO SNOW BEFORE IT ENDS. SURFACE TEMPERATES ONCE AGAIN SHOULD BE ABOVE FREEZING...SO NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MUCH OF THE AREA WILL SEE FALLING OR NEARLY STEADY TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. WILL DEFINITELY HAVE A TIGHT DIURNAL RANGE THROUGH TUESDAY. WENT ON THE WARM SIDE OF COOLISH GUIDANCE FOR TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...AND MAY NOT BE WARM ENOUGH. STAYED ON THE COOL SIDE OF GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH PLENTY OF CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION EXPECTED...ALONG WITH NORTHWEST WINDS. LOWER 40S FOR HIGHS WILL BE COMMON ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA BOTH DAYS. THE 00Z GFS AND ECMWF SETTLE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND THEN BRING A RE-INFORCING SURGE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS HIGH IS OF TRUE CANADIAN ORIGIN...BUT IT WILL BE HIGHLY MODIFIED BY THE TIME IT GETS HERE. A FEW LOCATIONS MAY SEE 50 FOR A HIGH ON THURSDAY...BUT IT WILL BE WELL BACK DOWN INTO THE 40S FOR HIGHS ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. WARM ADVECTION ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS HIGH MAY RESULT IN A WET END TO NEXT WEEKEND. OF COURSE THIS IS JUST BEYOND THE CURRENT FORECAST PERIOD. && .AVIATION... EXPECT LOW END MVFR CIGS NEARING HIGH END IFR ALL SITES. MOST OF THE RAIN SHOULD BE LIGHT AND CONTINUE TO DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY AND POSSIBLY END AT KCGI AFTER 00Z AND POSSIBLY AT KPAH AFTER 6Z. HOWEVER RAIN INTENSITY WILL PICK UP AFTER THE LAST LEG OF THE VALID TAF AT ALL SITES. WINDS WILL BE NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH THROUGH VALID TIME. VSBY SHOULD BE VFR BUT COULD DIP INTO MVFR ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. MO...NONE. IL...NONE. IN...NONE. && PUBLIC......DRS AVIATION....KH
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 422 AM CST SUN NOV 27 2011 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-281100- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 422 AM CST SUN NOV 27 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THE RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO OR MIX WITH SNOW ACROSS SOUTHWEST INDIANA...AND THE PENNYRILE REGION OF WEST KENTUCKY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME...FORECAST TEMPERATURES ARE TOO WARM FOR ANY ACCUMULATIONS. HOWEVER...A MINOR WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE PATH OF THE UPPER STORM SYSTEM COULD LEAD TO AN INCREASED SNOW POTENTIAL IN THESE AREAS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY WINTRY PRECIPITATION THEY ENCOUNTER TUESDAY OR TUESDAY NIGHT. DRS
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
4 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
At the Newburgh river gage, the Ohio River rose above flood stage on the 27th. Minor flooding of low-lying fields and woodlands occurred.
At the Mount Vernon river gage, the Ohio River rose above flood stage on the 28th. Minor flooding of low-lying fields and woodlands occurred.
At the Petersburg river gage, the White River rose above flood stage just before the end of the month. Very minor flooding of lowland fields occurred.
At the Hazleton river gage, the White River rose above flood stage just before the end of the month. Very minor flooding of lowland fields occurred.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Indiana in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Indiana, November 2011
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 352221, 352223, 355428, 355427.