Hail and Damaging Wind in Indiana, June 22, 2008

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
230 PM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008

.DISCUSSION...MAIN FORECAST FOCUS WILL BE POPS...PRECIP TIMING AND
TO A LESSER EXTENT TEMPERATURES.

WATER VAPOR SHOWS ELONGATED UPPER LOW ACRS NRN GREAT LAKES INTO
EASTERN CANADA. SHORTWAVE OVER SW LWR MI AT 18Z DVLPG SCT SVR TSHRA
ACROSS NRN IN INTO MI AND OH. WEAKER WAVE PROGRESSING ACROSS CNTRL
IL AND CNTRL IN ALSO TRIGGERING SCT TSHRA SLGTLY WEAKER THAN NRN
COUNTERPARTS. SHOR WAVES EMBEDDED IN CYCLONIC FLOW SHOULD EXIT EARLY
EVE WITH ONE MORE COMING THROUGH LATE TNGT INTO MON FROM WI
RESULTING IN MORE SCT STORMS MON.

AFTER THIS LAST SHORT WAVE MONDAY...SFC RIDGING BUILDS IN TO BRING
CLEARING AND DRY WEATHER MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY EVENING. GRT
LAKES UPPER TROF LIFTING EAST MON LEAVES US IN NW FLOW ALOFT WITH
RISING HEIGHTS AND RETURN TO SW SFC FLOW. ALL ADDS UP TO RETURN TO
HIGHER TEMPS AND DEWPOINTS WED INTO NEXT WEEKEND. WEAK SHORT WAVES
EMBEDDED IN FLOW WILL TRIGGER TSHRA CLUSTERS EACH DAY. GIVEN THIS
OCCURRING DAYS 3 AND BEYOND WILL NOT TRY TO SET HIGHER POPS ANY ONE
PERIOD FOR TIMING PURPOSES AND HAVE GENERALLY FOLLOWED GUIDANCE.

CURRENT TEMP FCSTS WERE PRETTY REASONABLE AND GIVEN MODEL
SIMILARITIES IN COMING WEEK...HAVE NOT DEVIATED MUCH HERE. MAXS MON
FROM MET APPEARED A BIT TOO COOL THOUGH SO HAVE LEANED MORE TO MAV
NUMBERS HERE.

.AVIATION...DISCUSSION FOR 18Z TAFS

MAIN PROBLEM FOR AVIATION WILL BE THE CHANCE OF TSTMS THIS AFTN.
WEAK TROF WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. DEW POINTS WILL BE
DECREASING DURING THE AFTN AND ATMOSPHERE WILL NOT BE AS UNSTABLE AS
SATURDAY. SOME ISOLATED TSTMS WILL BE PSBL THROUGH 02Z GIVING BRIEF
PERIODS OF MVFR. OUTSIDE OF THE TSTMS CONDITIONS WILL BE VFR. WITH
THE LOSS OF HEATING THE CHC OF TSTMS WILL END. WITH DRIER AIR MOVING
IN THERE WILL BE LESS CHC OF FOG TNGT. ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE IF A
TAF LOCATION RECEIVES SIGNIFICANT RAIN FROM A TSTM THEN CONDITIONS
MAY BRIEFLY DECREASE TO MVFR. SCT CU WILL DEVELOP AFT 14Z MON.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

AVIATION...SH
PUBLIC...JH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
317 PM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-068>072-231930-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
317 PM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL END EARLY TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WITH HAIL TO ONE INCH DIAMETER AND WIND
GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH. HAIL HAS BEEN THE ONLY REPORTED WEATHER
EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON AND THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD END
SHORTLY AFTER DUSK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED MONDAY
THROUGH MID WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

INZ067-231930-
KNOX-
317 PM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING. THERE IS A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WITH ONE INCH DIAMETER HAIL AND
WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH BEING THE MAIN THREAT. THE MOST LIKELY
TIME FOR ANY SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE THROUGH DUSK AND HAIL IS MORE
LIKELY THAN WIND.

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE WHITE AND WABASH
RIVER IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE ONLY REMAINING FLOOD WATERS WILL BE IN THE HAZLETON...MOUNT
CARMEL AND NEW HARMONY AREAS. FLOODING WILL END IN THESE AREAS BY
WEDNESDAY...JUNE 25.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED MONDAY
THROUGH MID WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

TUCEK