A strong low pressure system north of the Great Lakes Wednesday morning, November 16th moved northeast to be located just east of Hudson Bay in Canada on Thursday morning, November 17th. Strong winds preceded the storm system during the morning of November 16th.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS BTV wrote it up.
A strong low pressure system north of the Great Lakes Wednesday morning, November 16th moved northeast to be located just east of Hudson Bay in Canada on Thursday morning, November 17th. Strong winds preceded the storm system during the morning of November 16th. Wind gusts were generally between 30 and 50 mph. A wind gust of 46 mph (40 kts) was recorded at the Burlington, Vt International Airport.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Burlington, VT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 15, 8:58 PM EST, 9 hours 2 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 858 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2005 .SHORT TERM (REST OF TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT)... CURRENT FORECAST ON TRACK SO NO UPDATE AT THIS TIME. WARM FRONTAL PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF TO SPOTTY SHOWERS OR DRIZZLE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AS LIFT FROM STRONG DEEP MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND FRONTOGENESIS LIFT NORTH AFTER 06Z. TEMPERATURES RISING OVERNIGHT WITH INCREASING SOUTHERLY GRADIENT AND WINDS BY MORNING WEST OF THE GREEN MOUNTAINS. KALY SOUNDING GRADIENT WINDS COULD BE A PROBLEM TOMORROW NEAR ADVISORY STRENGTH AS MENTIONED EARLIER. && .AVIATION (00Z-00Z)...FCST CONCERNS FOR TAF SITES ARE VARIABLE LIFR/MVFR CIGS/VIS ASSOCIATED WITH WARM FRONTAL PRECIP THRU 05-06Z...FOLLOWED OVERNIGHT LOW CIGS/VIS AND INCREASE THREAT FOR LLVL WS. CRNT RADAR TREND SHOWS LARGE AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH WARM FRNT LIFTING ACRS OUR FA. AFT 06Z BEST OMEGA/LIFT MOVES NORTH OF TAF SITES...BUT SOUNDINGS AND MOISTURE PROFILES SHOW PLENTY OF LLVL RH...THEREFORE WL MENTION -RA/DZ WITH CIGS AOB 1KFT. IN ADDITION...SOUNDING PROFILES AND WIND FIELDS INCREASE TO 50KT AT 2KFT. WL MENTION WS020/16050KT. SFC FRNT AND ASSOCIATED LIFT/MOISTURE APPROACH MSS TAF BY 17Z WED. WSETA SHOWS NARROW COLD FRONTAL BAND OF PRECIPITATION (+SHRA) CROSSING THROUGH ALL THE TAF SITES REACHING KMPV BY 22Z. COULD BE SOME VCTS BUT WILL LET LATER SHIFTS PUT IN IF IT BECOMES MORE CERTAIN. && .HYDROLOGY... SIGNIFICANT RISES ON THE RIVERS IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND TOMORROW BUT SHOULD REMAIN BELOW FLOOD. RAINFALL OF 0.50 TO 1.00 WITH A FEW REPORTS OF MORE THAN AN INCH SO FAR. THERE WILL BE A BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION LATER TONIGHT AFTER ANOTHER 0.25 IN THE FAR N. LINE OF SHOWERS AND PERHAPS THUNDER TOMORROW COULD ADD ANOTHER HALF INCH. THE SMALLER TRIBUTARIES OF THE MAIN RIVERS IN THE NORTHERN HALF OF VERMONT ARE ALREADY SHOWING THE INITIAL SHARP RISES OF UP A HALF A FOOT TO A FOOT INCLUDING...DOG RIVER...PIKE RIVER...NEW HAVEN RIVER...AYERS BROOK...EAST BRANCH OF THE PASSUMPSIC. && .PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... (ISSUED 410 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2005) SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)... LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS IT LIFTS NORTH THRU CNTRL GRTLKS TONITE AND REACHES JAMES BAY WED PM. WRMFRNT ASSOCD WITH THIS LOW WILL LIFT NORTH THRU FA OVERNIGHT/EARLY WED. LATEST RADAR SHOWING WIDESPREAD RAIN ACRS FA ATTM...WHICH WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING. AS BEST OVERRUNNING LIFTS NORTH OF FA LATER TONITE...SO WILL THE RAIN. POPS TAPER TO CHC AFTER MIDNIGHT FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACRS FA. EXPECTED TOTAL RAINFALL THRU TONITE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND AN INCH ACRS MUCH OF RGN. WARM SECTOR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR A GOOD PART OF WEDNESDAY. CDFNT WILL MOVE WEST TO EAST ACRS FA BTWN 18Z-00Z. SEVERAL WX CONCERNS FOR WED INCLUDING POTENTIAL FOR STG WINDS...HVY RAIN...AND TSRA. STRONGEST WINDS DURING WED EXPECTED TO BE ACRS ADRNDKS AND WRN SLOPES OF GREEN MTNS WITH GUSTS 45 MPH PSBLE. GUSTS MAY ALSO APRCH 40 MPH IN CHMPLN/ST LWR VLYS...ALTHO PRESENCE OF INVERSION AT LEAST DURINGTHE MORNING MAY BE AN INHIBITING FACTOR. MUCH OF WED AM WILL BE DRY...BUT MORE RAIN EXPECTED DURING PM WITH CDFNT. ANOTHER INCH OF RAIN PSBL WED PM/EVEN. THIS PCPN CONVECTIVE IN NATURE...SO POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HIR AMTS. RESULT WILL BE MDT RISES IN RIVERS...BUT ATTM THEY ARE EXPECTED TO RMN BELOW FLOOD STAGE. MARGINAL INSTABILITY JUST AHEAD OF FROPA WEDNESDAY...SO HAVE CONTD WITH CHC TSRA. RISK OF ANY SVR EXPECTED TO RMN SOUTH OF FA HOWEVER. AS FRONT PUSHES EAST OF FA WED NITE...WDSPRD SHWRS AND WDLY SCT TSRA ASSOCD WITH FRONT WILL COME TO AN END. THERE WILL BE A CONTD CHC OF SHWRS OVRNGHT AS WE RMN UNDER UPPER TROF. CAA WILL RESULT IN RAIN SHWRS MIXING WITH OR CHANGING TO SNOW SHWRS...ESP OVER HIR TRRN. MORE RAIN/SNOW SHWRS PSBL THURS AS CAA CONTINUES AND SHRTWV TROF MOVES THRU RGN. LLVL FLOW FAVORABLE FOR SOME LES IN ADRNDKS THURS. FLOW EVENTUALLY TURNS MORE NW AND FAVORABLE FOR UPSLOPE SNOW SHWR ACTIVITY LATER THURS/THURS NITE. HIGH PRESSURE BLDS IN FRIDAY RESULTING IN DRIER CONDITIONS. LONG TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)... OVERALL PATTERN CHANGE OCCURS DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH MID/UPPER LVL TROF DEVELOPING ACRS THE EASTERN CONUS. MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH PLACEMENT OF TROF ACRS REGION...BUT HAVING DIFFICULTIES WITH INDIVIDUAL S/WS AND ASSOCIATED SFC LOW DEVELOPMENT AND TRACK. FCSTER CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BUT BELOW AVERAGE FOR NEXT WEEK. WL KEEP SATURDAY DRY BASED SFC RIDGE OVERHEAD AND PLENTY OF DRY AIR/SUBSIDENCE ACRS OUR FA. WL MENTION CHC POPS WESTERN FA LATE SATURDAY NITE INTO SUNDAY ASSOCIATED WITH LLVL WAA AND WEAK 5H VORT MOVING ALONG SFC FRNT. HOWEVER...GIVEN AMOUNT OF LIFT AND OVERALL MOISTURE PROFILE...QPF WL BE LIGHT. MID/UPPER LVL TROF CONTS MONDAY INTO TUES WITH SOME QUESTION ABOUT EVOLUTION OF SFC LOW DEVELOPMENT OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. ECMWF IS CLOSEST TO THE COAST AND STRONGEST WITH DEVELOPMENT...WHILE GFS HAS SFC DEVELOPMENT WELL OFF THE SE COAST LINE. WL CONT TO MENTION CHC POPS ATTM AND MONITOR LATER RUNS FOR POTENTIAL COASTAL DEVELOPMENT. PROGGED 85H TEMPS SUPPORT TEMPS 3 TO 5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THRU NEXT TUES. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...NONE. NY...NONE. && SHORT TERM...SISSON
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 505 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005 NYZ026-027-031-034-087-VTZ016>019-171015- NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON- WESTERN ESSEX-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-EASTERN FRANKLIN- EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND- 505 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW YORK...CENTRAL VERMONT...NORTHWEST VERMONT AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA UNTIL 7 PM. A STRONG STORM SYSTEM ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TO NEAR JAMES BAY BY THIS EVENING. A UNUSUALLY STRONG AND FAST MOVING COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON...ALONG WITH A PERIOD OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS. AS A RESULT...SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS WILL THEN TURN SOUTHWESTERLY AND SLOWLY SUBSIDE BY THE LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY IN NORTHERN SAINT LAWRENCE AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES. HERE...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL THEN TURN SHARPLY SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH AS THE FRONT PASSES DURING THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED DAMAGE WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES TODAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO RELAY ANY STRONG WIND OR WIND DAMAGE REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...OR THEIR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. NYZ028-035-VTZ001>012-171015- EASTERN CLINTON-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS- ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON- WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR- 505 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW YORK...CENTRAL VERMONT...NORTHEAST VERMONT...NORTHWEST VERMONT AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A STRONG STORM SYSTEM ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TO NEAR JAMES BAY BY THIS EVENING. A UNUSUALLY STRONG AND FAST MOVING COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON...ALONG WITH A PERIOD OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH ACROSS EASTERN VERMONT...AND 20 TO 30 MPH ACROSS THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY ARE EXPECTED TODAY ALONG WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. AS THE FRONT PASSES...WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHWESTERLY AND SLOWLY SUBSIDE DURING THE EVENING HOURS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO RELAY ANY WIND REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR THEIR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. NYZ029-030-171015- SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN- 505 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7PM THIS EVENING. A STRONG STORM SYSTEM ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TO NEAR JAMES BAY BY THIS EVENING. A UNUSUALLY STRONG AND FAST MOVING COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON...ALONG WITH A PERIOD OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED DAMAGE WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES TODAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH 4 PM THURSDAY. AS COLDER AIR RAPIDLY PUSHES INTO THE AREA LATER TONIGHT...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA. THE SNOW MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THURSDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATER THURSDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING. AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR OVER 6 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS THE AREA BY LATER THURSDAY. AFTERWARDS...HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO RELAY ANY STRONG WIND OR WIND DAMAGE REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...OR THEIR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. JMG
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 532 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005 NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>012-016>019-162130- NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CLINTON- SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON- WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-GRAND ISLE- WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE- CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND- WINDSOR-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON- EASTERN RUTLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...PLATTSBURGH... STAR LAKE...SARANAC LAKE...TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA... LAKE PLACID...PORT HENRY...TICONDEROGA...OGDENSBURG...POTSDAM... GOUVERNEUR...ALBURG...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...NEWPORT... ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY... MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH... RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...ENOSBURG FALLS... RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON...EAST WALLINGFORD... KILLINGTON 532 AM EST WED NOV 16 2005 ...A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK AND VERMONT TODAY COULD CAUSE LOCALIZED WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH... A MAJOR STORM SYSTEM ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES WILL RAPIDLY MOVE A STRONG COLD FRONT...ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW...EAST ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. STRONG WINDS OF 50 TO 60 MPH ABOVE THE GROUND MAY TRANSLATE TO THE SURFACE JUST AHEAD OF AND WITH THE COLD FRONT. THESE WIND SPEEDS ARE CAPABLE OF DOWNING LARGE BRANCHES...TREES... CAUSING POWER OUTRAGES AND MAKING FLYING OBJECTS OF TOYS AND LAWN FURNITURE. ALSO...STRONG WINDS CAN EASILY BUFFET YOUR VEHICLE MAKING FOR HAZARDOUS DRIVING. THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY AROUND NOON...THE ADIRONDACKS DURING EARLY AFTERNOON...THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY DURING MID AFTERNOON AND THE CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY BY THIS EVENING. MEANWHILE...SOME AREAS WILL WITNESS VERY WINDY CONDITIONS OUTSIDE OF THE COLD FRONT. THE ADIRONDACKS WILL EXPERIENCE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH TODAY. THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE GREEN MOUNTAINS WILL WITNESS SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH TODAY. IN THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY...EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST THEN WEST AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THESE LOCATIONS UNTIL 7 PM. REMEMBER TO MOVE ANY OBJECTS THAT COULD GET MOVED BY THE WIND INSIDE OR SECURED. IF YOU RUN ACROSS A DOWNED POWERLINE...PLEASE LEAVE IT ALONE AND CALL LOCAL OFFICIALS. STAY TUNED TO LATER FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS WITH NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR CHECK THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON VERMONT. SLW
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Vermont in 2005Every state in 2005This day in weather historyWarnings in Vermont, November 2005
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5485808.