Hail and Damaging Wind in Wisconsin, April 15 to 16, 2003

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1040 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2003

ANOTHER TOUGH FORECAST CHALLENGE FOR THIS AFTERNOON AS WEAK BOUNDARY
IS NOW PUSHING DOWN THE BAY. TO COMPLICATE MATTERS EVEN MORE...STURGEON
BAY IS REPORTING A SOUTHWEST OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND LATEST VELOCITY
RADAR IMAGES FROM GRB SHOW THE DEFINITION OF THE BOUNDARY IS NOT
WELL DEFINED.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE EVEN MORE CHALLENGING DEPENDING ON THE WIND
COMPONENT OFF THE LAKE...HOW FAR SOUTH BOUNDARY WILL GO
WITH STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS AHEAD OF IT.

WILL ALSO NEED TO WORRY ABOUT CONVECTION LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
STILL TRYING TO FIGURE OUT THIS MESS...SO EXPECT ZONE UPDATES
AROUND 11:30 AM AND UPDATED GRIDS/RDF BY NOON.

.GRB...NONE.

ECKBERG
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WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-161645-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1145 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST
CENTRAL WISCONSIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LARGE HAIL IS THE PRIMARY
THREAT FROM THESE STORMS.

A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SINK SLOWLY SOUTH ACROSS WISCONSIN THIS
AFTERNOON. SOUTH OF THE FRONT...TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO CLIMB INTO
THE UPPER 70S TO THE MIDDLE 80S. MEANWHILE TO THE NORTH...TEMPERATURES
WILL FALL INTO THE 50S. THIS CONTRAST WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT
COULD RESULT IN THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL IN THE EAST CENTRAL AND
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE STATE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

FREEZING RAIN...SLEET OR SNOW IS LIKELY IN NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SOME ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE. SOME SLEET
OR FREEZING RAIN MAY OCCUR FARTHER SOUTH IN CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA ON
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...PRODUCING PRECIPITATION ACROSS MUCH OF THE
FORECAST AREA. COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE ON NORTHEAST WINDS...SETTING THE
STAGE FOR FROZEN OR FREEZING PRECIPITATION. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MAY ISSUE WINTER STORM WATCHES...OR ADVISORIES LATER THIS AFTERNOON FOR
THIS WEATHER SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MAINLY SOUTH
OF A LINE FROM RHINELANDER TO STURGEON BAY.

KALLAS
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