Tornado and Hail in Texas, April 15, 2003

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
115 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2003

STRONG UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CWA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.
CURRENT FCST APPEARS ON TRACK AND WILL LEAVE WIND WARNING AND
ADVISORY AS IS. THE WINDS SHOULD EASE UP LATER TONIGHT BUT RESUME
AGAIN TOMORROW THOUGH NOT NEAR WARNING CRITERIA.  REGARDING
THUNDERSTORMS...THE ACTIVITY SHOULD BE CLEARING THE EASTERN PORTION
OF THE CWA BY EARLY TONIGHT.

COOLER AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR TOMORROW AND THR.
THE NEXT DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE REGION BEGINNING ON
FRIDAY. LEFT THE EXTENDED AS IS GIVEN TIMING AND MOISTURE
UNCERTAINTIES.  THE SYSTEM SHOULD CLEAR THE REGION LATE ON SATURDAY
WITH DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINING PERIODS.

FCSTID = 05

AMARILLO    43 73 43 70 / 00 00 00 00
BEAVER      44 73 41 65 / 80 00 00 00
BOISE CITY  40 70 39 67 / 00 00 00 00
BORGER      45 73 42 68 / 00 00 00 00
BOYS RANCH  40 74 42 68 / 00 00 00 00
CANYON      42 73 43 68 / 00 00 00 00
CLARENDON   47 73 45 69 / 80 00 00 00
DALHART     41 72 40 68 / 00 00 00 00
GUYMON      45 71 38 66 / 00 00 00 00
HEREFORD    39 72 42 69 / 00 00 00 00
LIPSCOMB    46 74 44 66 / 80 00 00 00
PAMPA       47 74 44 67 / 80 00 00 00
SHAMROCK    49 75 45 68 / 80 00 00 00
WELLINGTON  50 74 47 68 / 80 00 00 00

.AMA...
TX...HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR TXZ001>003-006>008-011>013-
     016>018 UNTIL 03Z TONIGHT.
  ...WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR TXZ004-005-009-010-014-015-019-
     020 UNTIL 03Z TONIGHT.
  ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR TXZ001>003-006>008-
     011>013-016>018 UNTIL 01Z TONIGHT.
OK...HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR OKZ001-002 UNTIL 03Z TONIGHT.
  ...WIND ADVIOSRY IS IN EFFECT FOR OKZ003 UNTIL 03Z TONIGHT.
  ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR OKZ001-002 UNTIL 01Z TONIGHT.

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-161100-

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
100 PM CDT TUE APR 16 2003

...A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
SECTIONS OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES FOR THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING...
...A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...
...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
SECTIONS OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES FOR THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE EXTREME EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE OKLAHOMA
AND TEXAS PANHANDLES. THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS ALONG AND EAST OF
A LINE EXTENDING FROM 15 MILES NORTH OF BEAVER OKLAHOMA TO
WELLINGTON TEXAS. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE EASTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND THE
EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL. HOWEVER...ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY ALSO OCCUR...
ESPECIALLY IN THE MODERATE RISK AREA.

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE WESTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE PANHANDLES. SURFACE
SOUTHWEST WINDS SUSTAINED AT 35 TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED BY MID
AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS OVER 50 MPH IN SOME AREAS.

A RED FLAG WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE WESTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES. VERY STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL
COMBINE TO PRODUCE A VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS ACROSS THE EASTERN
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE SHOULD REMAIN
ALERT FOR LIKELY ACTIVATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

ANDRADE