Drought, Berks
- When
- October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
- Where
- Berks forecast zone
- Reported by
- GOVT OFFICIAL
- Coordinates
- 40.416, -75.926 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
October 2002 brought to Eastern Pennsylvania the first widespread wetter than normal month since March. Every county was wetter than normal and in most cases received over twice the normal monthly precipitation for October.
Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PHI wrote it up.
October 2002 brought to Eastern Pennsylvania the first widespread wetter than normal month since March. Every county was wetter than normal and in most cases received over twice the normal monthly precipitation for October. On October 10th and 11th, more rain fell across the region than is normal for the entire month. Groundwater monitoring wells in Montgomery and Bucks Counties jumped a foot after the heavy rain. October is usually the driest month of the year. Most of Eastern Pennsylvania remained under drought emergency status with mandatory watering restrictions in place. Residents were required to conserve water by 15 percent and could face penalties for violating regulations. Only Carbon and Monroe Counties were in drought watch status. The Delaware River Basin Commission, which oversees water supply throughout the Delaware River Basin declared a "drought" on December 3, 2001 when the supply of water in the New York City reservoir system dropped below a designated level for early December. The commission declared a drought emergency on December 18, 2001. Both triggered additional reductions in the amount of water released from the reservoirs into the Delaware River and the amount diverted out of the Delaware River Basin to New York City and New Jersey. Diversions to New York City dropped from 800 million gallons a day to 520 million gallons a day. The emergency declaration gave the commission the power to restrict the amount of water suppliers could draw from the basin. It gave the commission the authority to take water from municipal reservoirs to maintain river levels. It could also call for water releases from federal, state and privately owned reservoirs. Water from Lake Nockamixon, the F.E. Walter Reservoir and Lake Wallenpaupack could be used to maintain river levels. Releases from the F.E. Walter Dam were reduced to one-third of normal to save water. They were last used for this purpose in the 1960s. The releases help protect the riverbank and aquatic life and also prevents salt water from flowing up the Delaware River. Salt water intrusion causes corrosion problems for industries and increases water treatment costs for municipalities that depend on the river for their water supply. Maintaining river levels are also important for groundwater reserves that are recharged by the river itself. Due to the heavy rain during October, the salt front went from mile marker 88 on October 1st to mile marker 68 on October 31st, 13 miles farther downstream than normal for October. The emergency declaration also gives the commission the power to request that utilities and other companies that use more than one million gallons of water a day to prepare contingency plans to use less water and submit the plans to the commission. The heavy precipitation in October came too late to help farmers throughout the state. It was estimated that the drought will cost farmers about 300 million dollars in Pennsylvania. The projected corn harvest should be 30 percent below levels of last year and soybeans were expected to be down about 25 percent. Dairy farmers were pinched on both sides. Milk prices were depressed and feed prices were rising because of the drought. On a county weighted average October monthly precipitation totals ranged from 5.7 inches in Bucks County to 8.3 inches in Carbon County. More precipitation fell from the south to the north. Normal monthly precipitation is around 3.2 inches. The New York City Reservoirs which feed the Delaware River increased from 50.4 percent of capacity on October 1st to 57.6 percent of capacity on November 1st. Late October was the first time since early 2001 that reservoir capacity was higher than normal. On October 31st, the salt front on the Delaware River was about thirteen miles farther downstream (mile marker 68) than normal. For the month stream flow on the Delaware, Schuylkill and Lehigh Rivers was about 200 percent of normal. October monthly precipitation was 7.20 inches at the Reading Regional Airport, 6.85 inches at the Lehigh Valley International Airport (4th wettest on record) and 5.90 inches at the Philadelphia International Airport (5th wettest on record).
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 30, 2:20 PM EST, 9 hours 40 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 320 PM EDT MON SEP 30 2002 IN THE SHORT RANGE...MOISTURE POOLED UP ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN EXPECTED TO PROVIDE SOME CLOUD COVER OVERNIGHT...BUT NOT AS SOLID A DECK AS LAST NIGHT AS LOW LEVEL FLOW TURNS MORE TO THE S AND SW. OTHERWISE...A DRY PERIOD INTO WED WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING DEWPOINTS AND TEMPS. NOT MUCH SIGNIFICANT ON THE MARINE THROUGH THIS PERIOD. IN THE LONGER RANGE...DIFFICULT TO MAINTAIN RUN-TO-RUN CONTINUINTY. KEPT CHANCE PRECIPITATION MENTIONED FOR WED NIGHT AS WEAK COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE AREA. ADJUSTED NEXT ROUND OF PRECIPITATION TO FRI...AS WAA PATTERN SETS UP IN ADVANCE OF NEXT SYSTEM...AND AGAIN ON SAT AS WE MOVE INTO WARM SECTOR (AND POSSIBLE THUNDER IS MENTIONED). INTRODUCED CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ON MON AS YET ANOTHER SYSTEM LOOKS LIKE IT RIDES UP FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOWARD OUR REGION. WILD CARDS FOR THIS FORECAST ARE IF AND WHEN REMNANTS OF LILI AFFECT THE REGION...AS WELL AS DEVELOPMENT OF CUTOFF LOW OVER THE WESTERN U.S. THE LONGER AND DEEPER THE WESTERN U.S. LOW DIGS IN...THE STRONGER THE RIDGE ALONG THE EAST COAST BECOMES (AND THE DRIER WE REMAIN). FCSTID = 15 MPO 51 76 57 77 / 0 0 10 20 ABE 54 81 60 83 / 0 0 10 20 RDG 54 81 60 82 / 0 0 10 20 PHL 61 82 64 85 / 0 0 10 20 12N 54 79 59 81 / 0 0 10 20 SMQ 55 81 64 84 / 0 0 10 20 TTN 56 82 64 84 / 0 0 10 20 MIV 59 81 65 84 / 0 0 10 20 ACY 62 77 69 79 / 0 0 10 20 ILG 57 82 63 84 / 0 0 10 20 DOV 59 82 65 84 / 0 0 10 20 GED 58 82 66 84 / 0 0 10 20 ESN 59 80 66 83 / 0 0 10 20 .PHI... DE...NONE. MD...NONE. NJ...NONE. PA...NONE. SZATKOWSKI
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
8 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Pennsylvania in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Pennsylvania, October 2002
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-30. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5318965, 5318966, 5318967, 5318968, 5318969, 5318970, 5318971, 5318972.