Pennsylvania, 2002

Drought in Pennsylvania, October 1 to 31, 2002

October 1 to 31, 2002 · NWS PHI · 8 events in 8 counties and zones

October 2002 brought to Eastern Pennsylvania the first widespread wetter than normal month since March. Every county was wetter than normal and in most cases received over twice the normal monthly precipitation for October.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
8

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PHI wrote it up.

October 2002 brought to Eastern Pennsylvania the first widespread wetter than normal month since March. Every county was wetter than normal and in most cases received over twice the normal monthly precipitation for October. On October 10th and 11th, more rain fell across the region than is normal for the entire month. Groundwater monitoring wells in Montgomery and Bucks Counties jumped a foot after the heavy rain. October is usually the driest month of the year. Most of Eastern Pennsylvania remained under drought emergency status with mandatory watering restrictions in place. Residents were required to conserve water by 15 percent and could face penalties for violating regulations. Only Carbon and Monroe Counties were in drought watch status. The Delaware River Basin Commission, which oversees water supply throughout the Delaware River Basin declared a "drought" on December 3, 2001 when the supply of water in the New York City reservoir system dropped below a designated level for early December. The commission declared a drought emergency on December 18, 2001. Both triggered additional reductions in the amount of water released from the reservoirs into the Delaware River and the amount diverted out of the Delaware River Basin to New York City and New Jersey. Diversions to New York City dropped from 800 million gallons a day to 520 million gallons a day. The emergency declaration gave the commission the power to restrict the amount of water suppliers could draw from the basin. It gave the commission the authority to take water from municipal reservoirs to maintain river levels. It could also call for water releases from federal, state and privately owned reservoirs. Water from Lake Nockamixon, the F.E. Walter Reservoir and Lake Wallenpaupack could be used to maintain river levels. Releases from the F.E. Walter Dam were reduced to one-third of normal to save water. They were last used for this purpose in the 1960s. The releases help protect the riverbank and aquatic life and also prevents salt water from flowing up the Delaware River. Salt water intrusion causes corrosion problems for industries and increases water treatment costs for municipalities that depend on the river for their water supply. Maintaining river levels are also important for groundwater reserves that are recharged by the river itself. Due to the heavy rain during October, the salt front went from mile marker 88 on October 1st to mile marker 68 on October 31st, 13 miles farther downstream than normal for October. The emergency declaration also gives the commission the power to request that utilities and other companies that use more than one million gallons of water a day to prepare contingency plans to use less water and submit the plans to the commission. The heavy precipitation in October came too late to help farmers throughout the state. It was estimated that the drought will cost farmers about 300 million dollars in Pennsylvania. The projected corn harvest should be 30 percent below levels of last year and soybeans were expected to be down about 25 percent. Dairy farmers were pinched on both sides. Milk prices were depressed and feed prices were rising because of the drought. On a county weighted average October monthly precipitation totals ranged from 5.7 inches in Bucks County to 8.3 inches in Carbon County. More precipitation fell from the south to the north. Normal monthly precipitation is around 3.2 inches. The New York City Reservoirs which feed the Delaware River increased from 50.4 percent of capacity on October 1st to 57.6 percent of capacity on November 1st. Late October was the first time since early 2001 that reservoir capacity was higher than normal. On October 31st, the salt front on the Delaware River was about thirteen miles farther downstream (mile marker 68) than normal. For the month stream flow on the Delaware, Schuylkill and Lehigh Rivers was about 200 percent of normal. October monthly precipitation was 7.20 inches at the Reading Regional Airport, 6.85 inches at the Lehigh Valley International Airport (4th wettest on record) and 5.90 inches at the Philadelphia International Airport (5th wettest on record).

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 30, 2:20 PM EST, 9 hours 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 30, 2:20 PM EST, 9 hours 40 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
320 PM EDT MON SEP 30 2002

IN THE SHORT RANGE...MOISTURE POOLED UP ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN
EXPECTED TO PROVIDE SOME CLOUD COVER OVERNIGHT...BUT NOT AS SOLID A
DECK AS LAST NIGHT AS LOW LEVEL FLOW TURNS MORE TO THE S AND SW.

OTHERWISE...A DRY PERIOD INTO WED WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING
DEWPOINTS AND TEMPS.  NOT MUCH SIGNIFICANT ON THE MARINE THROUGH
THIS PERIOD.

IN THE LONGER RANGE...DIFFICULT TO MAINTAIN RUN-TO-RUN CONTINUINTY.
KEPT CHANCE PRECIPITATION MENTIONED FOR WED NIGHT AS WEAK COLD FRONT
PASSES THROUGH THE AREA.

ADJUSTED NEXT ROUND OF PRECIPITATION TO FRI...AS WAA PATTERN SETS UP
IN ADVANCE OF NEXT SYSTEM...AND AGAIN ON SAT AS WE MOVE INTO WARM
SECTOR (AND POSSIBLE THUNDER IS MENTIONED).  INTRODUCED CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION ON MON AS YET ANOTHER SYSTEM LOOKS LIKE IT RIDES UP
FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOWARD OUR REGION.

WILD CARDS FOR THIS FORECAST ARE IF AND WHEN REMNANTS OF LILI AFFECT
THE REGION...AS WELL AS DEVELOPMENT OF CUTOFF LOW OVER THE WESTERN
U.S.  THE LONGER AND DEEPER THE WESTERN U.S. LOW DIGS IN...THE
STRONGER THE RIDGE ALONG THE EAST COAST BECOMES (AND THE DRIER WE
REMAIN).

FCSTID = 15
MPO   51  76  57  77 /   0   0  10  20
ABE   54  81  60  83 /   0   0  10  20
RDG   54  81  60  82 /   0   0  10  20
PHL   61  82  64  85 /   0   0  10  20
12N   54  79  59  81 /   0   0  10  20
SMQ   55  81  64  84 /   0   0  10  20
TTN   56  82  64  84 /   0   0  10  20
MIV   59  81  65  84 /   0   0  10  20
ACY   62  77  69  79 /   0   0  10  20
ILG   57  82  63  84 /   0   0  10  20
DOV   59  82  65  84 /   0   0  10  20
GED   58  82  66  84 /   0   0  10  20
ESN   59  80  66  83 /   0   0  10  20

.PHI...
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
PA...NONE.

SZATKOWSKI

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

8 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Berks

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Berks forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
40.416, -75.926 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Bucks

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Bucks forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL

Drought, Chester

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Chester forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL

Drought, Delaware

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Delaware forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
39.917, -75.399 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Lehigh

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Lehigh forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
40.613, -75.592 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Montgomery

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Montgomery forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL

Drought, Northampton

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Northampton forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
40.754, -75.307 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Philadelphia

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Philadelphia forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
40.008, -75.134 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Pennsylvania in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Pennsylvania, October 2002

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-30. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5318965, 5318966, 5318967, 5318968, 5318969, 5318970, 5318971, 5318972.