New Jersey, 2002

Drought in New Jersey, October 1 to 31, 2002

October 1 to 31, 2002 · NWS PHI · 21 events in 21 counties and zones

October 2002 saw the return of well above normal precipitation to New Jersey. It was also the first month since June that precipitation was above normal in every county.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 21 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
21

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PHI wrote it up.

October 2002 saw the return of well above normal precipitation to New Jersey. It was also the first month since June that precipitation was above normal in every county. Soaking rains on the 10th and 11th alone accounted for the normal October precipitation. The preliminary statewide average monthly precipitation was 7.04 inches, the sixth wettest October on record. Normal is 3.51 inches. County weighted average monthly rainfall totals ranged from 5.5 inches in Mercer County to 8.9 inches in Monmouth County.The heavy rain came too late to help farmers. It was estimated that the drought will cost farmers about $125 million in revenue. The corn harvest was expected to be down 25 percent and the soybean harvest down 30 percent. Revenue drops in some areas were over 50 percent. Hardest hit were farms in Salem, Gloucester and Cumberland Counties where losses approached 60 percent. Field crops such as hay, wheat, sorghum, soybeans and corn for animal feed were hardest hit because they are not irrigated. Increased damage was also caused by bears and deer looking for food and water. It was estimated that one-third of Sussex County's corn drop was lost to animals. Pumpkins were brought in from as far away as Vermont to supplement the state's crop. On the 18th, United States Department of Agriculture Secretary Ann Veneman declared a drought disaster in several states including New Jersey, Maryland and Delaware. Farmers were eligible to apply for low interest loans. Compensation was also given for farmers who were raising livestock. Landscaping businesses were also hard hit by the drought. With watering restrictions in place, consumers shied away from new purchases. The grass was dormant. It was estimated that revenue for the landscaping business was off by one-third (about 100 million dollars). Water companies' revenue was down about 15 percent. The drought also brought a bumper crop of fleas, mites and chiggers. Butterfly (including Monarch) breeding areas were depleted by the drought. It was believed that many large trees were hurt by the drought over the past two years.As October began, even with near normal precipitation in September, groundwater levels were at record lows. Stream flows remained low and the northern New Jersey Reservoirs were below normal. In Sussex County, flow along the Wallkill River and Black Creek was about 5 to 10 percent of normal. The Black Creek in fact was flowing near zero in spots. The low flow led to unacceptable levels of pollutants including phosphorous. Brick Township (Ocean County) could not use the Metedeconk River as its main water source because of salt water intrusion. Surface water conditions improved greatly after the soaking rains on the 10th and 11th. Brick Township was able to use the Metedeconk River again. Water levels in the Boonton Reservoir (Morris County) rose five feet and went from 65 to 82 percent of capacity. More heavy rain fell with the October 16th northeaster, especially in the northwest part of the state. While surface water supplies responded quickly, groundwater water levels lagged especially in the southern part of the state. On October 24th, monitoring wells in Cumberland and Burlington Counties were within one foot of previous record lows for the date. The Kirkwood-Cohansey aquifer remained at record lows. Groundwater recovery normally takes longer to occur than surface water supplies. On the 24th, the State Department of Environmental Protection eased water restrictions. Lawn watering was permitted every other day and car washing was permitted on weekends. Washing of homes, windows, decks and fences was permitted. Other water restrictions remained in place as well as the moratorium on permits to expand public water systems. The moratorium on new housing development in Egg Harbor, Galloway and Hamilton Townships (Atlantic County) remained in effect. The heavy rain during October caused a tremendous rebound in surface reservoir capacities across the state. The Manasquan Reservoir (Monmouth County) went from 69.5 percent of capacity on the first to 81 percent of capacity on the 24th. Other Monmouth County reservoirs were between 95 and 100 percent of capacity by the 24th. The northern New Jersey Reservoirs increased from about 63 percent of capacity on September 30th to 74.8 percent of capacity on October 31st, about 10 percent ABOVE normal. Even the New York City Reservoirs which feed the Delaware River increased from 50.4 percent of capacity on October 1st to 57.6 percent of capacity on November 1st and were above normal for the first time since early 2001. For the month stream flow on the Delaware River was over 200 percent of normal. The Delaware River Basin Commission, which oversees water supply throughout the Delaware River Basin declared a "drought" on December 3, 2001 when the supply of water in the New York City reservoir system dropped below a designated level for early December. The commission declared a drought emergency on December 18, 2001. Both triggered additional reductions in the amount of water released from the reservoirs into the Delaware River and the amount diverted out of the Delaware River Basin to New York City and New Jersey. Diversions to New York City dropped from 800 million gallons a day to 520 million gallons a day. The emergency declaration gave the commission the power to restrict the amount of water suppliers could draw from the basin. It gave the commission the authority to take water from municipal reservoirs to maintain river levels. It could also call for water releases from federal, state and privately owned reservoirs. Water from Lake Nockamixon, the F.E. Walter Reservoir and Lake Wallenpaupack could be used to maintain river levels. They were last used for this purpose in the 1960s. The releases help protect the riverbank and aquatic life and also prevents salt water from flowing up the Delaware River. Salt water intrusion causes corrosion problems for industries and increases water treatment costs for municipalities that depend on the river for their water supply. Maintaining river levels are also important for groundwater reserves that are recharged by the river itself. Heavy rains in October pushed th salt front to mile marker 68 on October 31st, thirteen miles farther downstream than its normal October position. The New York City Reservoirs which feed the Delaware River increased from 50.4 percent of capacity on October 1st to 57.6 percent of capacity on November 1st. The northern New Jersey reservoirs were at 74.8 percent of capacity as of October 31st, about 10 percent above normal. Monthly precipitation totals were 6.38 inches at the Atlantic City International Airport (3rd wettest on record), 6.43 inches at the Marina within Atlantic City (6th wettest on record) and 5.02 inches in Trenton.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 30, 2:20 PM EST, 9 hours 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 30, 2:20 PM EST, 9 hours 40 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
320 PM EDT MON SEP 30 2002

IN THE SHORT RANGE...MOISTURE POOLED UP ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN
EXPECTED TO PROVIDE SOME CLOUD COVER OVERNIGHT...BUT NOT AS SOLID A
DECK AS LAST NIGHT AS LOW LEVEL FLOW TURNS MORE TO THE S AND SW.

OTHERWISE...A DRY PERIOD INTO WED WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING
DEWPOINTS AND TEMPS.  NOT MUCH SIGNIFICANT ON THE MARINE THROUGH
THIS PERIOD.

IN THE LONGER RANGE...DIFFICULT TO MAINTAIN RUN-TO-RUN CONTINUINTY.
KEPT CHANCE PRECIPITATION MENTIONED FOR WED NIGHT AS WEAK COLD FRONT
PASSES THROUGH THE AREA.

ADJUSTED NEXT ROUND OF PRECIPITATION TO FRI...AS WAA PATTERN SETS UP
IN ADVANCE OF NEXT SYSTEM...AND AGAIN ON SAT AS WE MOVE INTO WARM
SECTOR (AND POSSIBLE THUNDER IS MENTIONED).  INTRODUCED CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION ON MON AS YET ANOTHER SYSTEM LOOKS LIKE IT RIDES UP
FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOWARD OUR REGION.

WILD CARDS FOR THIS FORECAST ARE IF AND WHEN REMNANTS OF LILI AFFECT
THE REGION...AS WELL AS DEVELOPMENT OF CUTOFF LOW OVER THE WESTERN
U.S.  THE LONGER AND DEEPER THE WESTERN U.S. LOW DIGS IN...THE
STRONGER THE RIDGE ALONG THE EAST COAST BECOMES (AND THE DRIER WE
REMAIN).

FCSTID = 15
MPO   51  76  57  77 /   0   0  10  20
ABE   54  81  60  83 /   0   0  10  20
RDG   54  81  60  82 /   0   0  10  20
PHL   61  82  64  85 /   0   0  10  20
12N   54  79  59  81 /   0   0  10  20
SMQ   55  81  64  84 /   0   0  10  20
TTN   56  82  64  84 /   0   0  10  20
MIV   59  81  65  84 /   0   0  10  20
ACY   62  77  69  79 /   0   0  10  20
ILG   57  82  63  84 /   0   0  10  20
DOV   59  82  65  84 /   0   0  10  20
GED   58  82  66  84 /   0   0  10  20
ESN   59  80  66  83 /   0   0  10  20

.PHI...
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
PA...NONE.

SZATKOWSKI

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

21 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Camden

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Camden forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
39.804, -74.960 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Cumberland

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Cumberland forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
39.328, -75.129 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Eastern Atlantic

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Eastern Atlantic forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
39.469, -74.634 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Eastern Cape May

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Eastern Cape May forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
39.085, -74.850 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Eastern Monmouth

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Eastern Monmouth forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
40.288, -74.158 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Eastern Ocean

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Eastern Ocean forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
39.866, -74.250 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Gloucester

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Gloucester forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
39.717, -75.142 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Hunterdon

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Hunterdon forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
40.567, -74.912 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Mercer

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Mercer forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
40.283, -74.702 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Middlesex

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Middlesex forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
40.440, -74.409 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Morris

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Morris forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
40.862, -74.544 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Northwestern Burlington

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Northwestern Burlington forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
39.878, -74.668 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Salem

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Salem forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
39.577, -75.358 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Somerset

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Somerset forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
40.564, -74.616 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Southeastern Burlington

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Southeastern Burlington forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
39.878, -74.668 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Sussex

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Sussex forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
41.140, -74.690 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Warren

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Warren forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
40.857, -74.997 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Western Atlantic

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Western Atlantic forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
39.469, -74.634 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Western Cape May

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Western Cape May forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
39.085, -74.850 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Western Monmouth

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Western Monmouth forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
40.288, -74.158 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Western Ocean

When
October 1, 12:00 AM EST to October 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Western Ocean forecast zone
Reported by
GOVT OFFICIAL
Coordinates
39.866, -74.250 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New Jersey in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in New Jersey, October 2002

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5319063, 5319064, 5319065, 5319066, 5319067, 5319068, 5319069, 5319070, 5319071, 5319072, 5319073, 5319074, 5319075, 5321103, 5321104, 5321105, 5321106, 5321107, 5321108, 5321109, 5321110.