Hail in Maine, April 17, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
915 AM EDT WED APR 17 2002

.UPDATED...
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IN WESTERN PORTION OF REGION ASSOCIATED
WITH NEAR STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL AFFECT THE INTERIOR DOWNEAST
ZONES THIS MORNING. WILL UPDATE THESE ZONES TO INCLUDE MENTION OF
THUNDERSTORMS.

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BECOME STATIONARY SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY. MUCH
COOLER AIR BEHIND THIS FRONT WILL SETTLE OVER NORTHERN MAINE TODAY AND
THURSDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE FRONT WILL BRING RAIN TO
NORTHERN MAINE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH BRING
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES TO THE REGION THURSDAY.

.DISCUSSION...
BOTH ETA/AVN SEEM TO BE IN AGREEMENT IN MOVING FRONT SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH
TODAY. WILL KEEP SCATTERED SHOWERS/DRIZZLE AND FOG OVER NORTHERN AREAS
TODAY AS THE FRONT DRIFTS TO THE SOUTH. SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA WILL SEE SOME SUN EARLY TODAY...THEN CLOUDS/SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL MOVE IN DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT PROGRESS TO THE SOUTH.
WILL UP POPS TO LIKELY ALL ZONES. MAX TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER
40S IN THE FAR NORTH TO NEAR 70 OVER SOUTHERN AREAS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE
POSITION OF THE COLD FRONT. MAV/FWC MAX TEMPERATURES LOOK GOOD IN THE NORTH
BUT WILL GO ABOVE GUIDANCE IN FAR SOUTH TO ACCOUNT FOR SUN EARLY IN THE DAY.
FOR TONIGHT ETA/AVN SHOWING ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SLIDING FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT...SO WILL GO WITH OCCASIONAL RAIN
WITH AREAS OF FOG IN THE NORTH AND SHOWERS AND A POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM IN
THE SOUTH. GUIDANCE NUMBERS LOOK GOOD FOR MIN TEMPERATURES IN THE NORTH
TONIGHT BUT A LITTLE TO COLD IN SOUTHERN AREAS. HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW
BRUNSWICK SHOULD BUILD INTO THE FORECAST AREA ON THURSDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES IN ALL AREAS.

COASTAL WATERS:
NO HEADLINES...WITH WINDS AND WAVES EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW
SCA CRITERIA THROUGH THURSDAY.

.CAR...NONE

WOLFE/MIGNONE