Hail in North Carolina, May 22, 2001

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
220 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2001

MAIN FOCUS OF FCST WILL BE THREAT OF SVR WEATHER LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT AHEAD OF APPROACHING COLD FRONT. FRONT WILL SLOW AS IS
NEARS THE COAST...LOSING ITS PUSH AS IT MOVES INTO THE STRONG RIDGE
IN THE WRN ATLANTIC. MODELS ALL SHOW A SPLIT OF UVM AND MOISTURE TO
THE N AND S OF OUR CWA FOR THE EARLY PART OF THE EVENING.
HOWEVER...GIVEN CURRENT INSTABILITY THINK IF A SQUALL LINE DEVELOPS
TO OUR W OR SW IT WILL HOLD TOGETHER AND PUSH THROUGH OUR AREA. WITH
FRONT SLOWING UP ACROSS OUR AREA THREAT OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH LATE TONIGHT INLAND AND INTO THE MORNING ON THE
COAST. WILL INCREASE POPS TO 60 FOR TONIGHT. WILL CONT 20 TO 30 POPS
ALONG THE COAST FOR EARLY WED. WITH FRONT SLOW TO MOVE OFF THE COAST
EXPECT LOW CLOUDS TO LINGER INTO THE AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ALONG
THE COAST. HIGHS ON WED WILL BE LIMITED TO 75 TO 80 WITH CLOUDS
LIMITING SUNSHINE. EXCEPTION MIGHT BE COASTAL PLAIN WHICH WILL SEE
MORE BREAKS EARLIER AND MAY REACH LOWER 80S. WILL KEEP SKIES PARTLY
CLOUDY INTO WED NIGHT. IT WILL BE COOLER WED NIGHT WITH LOWS 55 TO
60. THU WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY WITH TEMPS WARMING TO THE 80 TO 85
RANGE AS FLOW ONCE AGAIN BECOMES SW.

IN THE EXTENDED...SHRTWV ENERGY WILL ROTATE AROUND THE DEEP CUTOFF
LOW IN THE MIDWEST AND SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA ON FRI...WITH A WEAK
COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE AREA. THE FRONT WILL NOT BE ABLE TO PUSH
EAST INTO OUR AREA...STALLING TO OUR W THRU MON. WITH SHRTWVS
CONTINUING TO ROTATE ACROSS THE AREA WILL CARRY A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS FRI THRU MON. AS UPPER LOW FINALLY LIFTS NE ON MON FRONT
WILL SWING OFF THE COAST BY EARLY TUE. EXPECT HIGHS 75 TO 80 AND
LOWS AROUND 60 THRU MOST OF THE EXTENDED.

CWF: WILL CONTINUE MARGINAL SCA...ALTHOUGH BUOYS CURRENTLY ONLY 15
TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. WILL ALLOW FOR WINDS TO INCREASE A BIT
AS FRONT NEARS. WINDS WILL BECOME W LATE AND DIMINISH TO 15 KT AS
FRONT MOVES TO THE COAST. PLAN ON FOLLOWING ETA SOLN FOR WED AND THU
WITH AVN OVERDEVELOPING A COASTAL LOW LATE ON WED. WINDS WILL BECOME
LIGHT EAST TO NE ACROSS THE AREA ON WED AS FRONT SLOWLY SAGS S OF
AREA AND OFFSHORE. WILL CONTINUE LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WED
NIGHT..EVENTUALLY TURNING S TO SE ON THU.

.MHX....SCA FOR COASTAL WATERS.

BANDY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
847 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2001

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0844 PM    HASSELL                   NC   .75 INCH HAIL
05/22/01   MARTIN                         REPORTED BY WITN DIME HAIL
                                          IN HASSELL