Alert archive / Virginia / Prince William County

Weather alerts in Prince William County, Virginia, 2020

115 weather alerts in 2020, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Prince William County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2020. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
115
Warnings
70
Watches
9
Advisories
0
Busiest month
August32 alerts
Busiest day
June 4, 20208 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

0 of 1 tornado warnings covering Prince William County in 2020 had a tornado report inside them.

Prince William County, 2020

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings10100%0
Severe thunderstorm warnings392926%1385%20 min
Flash flood warnings8538%475%72 min

Each office's whole area, 2020

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Baltimore/Washington: tornado warnings27678%1547%9 min
NWS Baltimore/Washington: severe thunderstorm warnings45631431%1,04779%23 min
NWS Baltimore/Washington: flash flood warnings663448%13090%72 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 7, 12:29 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jan 25, 3:18 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningLWX6 hr
Jan 25, 4:13 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningLWX3 hr
Feb 7, 6:56 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC64 min
Feb 7, 8:00 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX19 min
Feb 26, 2:49 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC116 min
Feb 26, 10:10 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX50 min
Mar 3, 10:52 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC113 min
Mar 3, 11:48 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX42 min
Apr 7, 2:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC93 min
Apr 8, 3:53 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC97 min
Apr 13, 10:34 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC86 min
Apr 13, 11:33 AM EDTTornado WatchSPC5 hr
Apr 13, 12:14 PM EDTTornado WarningLWX31 min
Apr 13, 12:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX44 min
Apr 13, 1:20 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC85 min
Apr 13, 2:28 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX14 hr
Apr 13, 4:04 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX12 hr
May 29, 12:27 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC63 min
Jun 4, 2:02 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC118 min
Jun 4, 2:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
Jun 4, 4:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC94 min
Jun 4, 6:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX34 min
Jun 4, 6:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX35 min
Jun 4, 7:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX43 min
Jun 4, 7:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX26 min
Jun 4, 7:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX47 min
Jun 4, 11:27 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX6 hr
Jun 5, 1:15 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 10, 7:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX43 min
Jun 11, 12:53 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX4 hr
Jun 19, 3:38 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX4 hr
Jun 19, 4:32 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLWX90 min
Jun 22, 1:58 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jun 22, 5:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX35 min
Jun 22, 5:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX35 min
Jun 25, 1:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC117 min
Jun 25, 6:09 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC96 min
Jun 25, 7:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX23 min
Jun 25, 8:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX43 min
Jul 5, 1:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC115 min
Jul 5, 4:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX48 min
Jul 5, 4:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX32 min
Jul 5, 5:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX48 min
Jul 6, 12:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jul 6, 1:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC9 hr
Jul 6, 4:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC117 min
Jul 6, 6:25 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 20, 6:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX23 min
Jul 21, 2:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC59 min
Jul 21, 6:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX52 min
Jul 21, 7:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX40 min
Jul 22, 10:48 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC117 min
Jul 22, 12:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jul 22, 2:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX55 min
Jul 22, 2:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX39 min
Jul 22, 2:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX64 min
Jul 22, 3:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX59 min
Jul 22, 3:18 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC87 min
Jul 22, 3:31 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLWX2 hr
Jul 23, 8:28 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX5 hr
Jul 23, 8:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX44 min
Jul 23, 9:46 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLWX4 hr
Jul 24, 4:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC83 min
Jul 28, 3:19 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC116 min
Jul 28, 5:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX46 min
Jul 30, 7:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX46 min
Aug 1, 4:00 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 1, 7:05 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC115 min
Aug 3, 3:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX36 min
Aug 6, 2:08 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Aug 7, 1:30 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Aug 12, 3:55 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX8 hr
Aug 12, 4:07 AM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLWX118 min
Aug 12, 6:05 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX6 hr
Aug 12, 7:21 AM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLWX109 min
Aug 12, 1:15 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 13, 5:38 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX6 hr
Aug 13, 6:53 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX6 hr
Aug 13, 7:07 AM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLWX4 hr
Aug 13, 7:24 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX6 hr
Aug 13, 8:00 AM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLWX3 hr
Aug 13, 1:15 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX9 hr
Aug 23, 3:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 24, 3:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX48 min
Aug 24, 3:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX35 min
Aug 25, 3:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC95 min
Aug 25, 3:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Aug 25, 6:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX48 min
Aug 25, 7:07 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC113 min
Aug 25, 7:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX52 min
Aug 25, 7:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX39 min
Aug 28, 1:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
Aug 28, 5:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX46 min
Aug 28, 5:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX38 min
Aug 28, 7:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 28, 9:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX41 min
Aug 28, 10:29 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLWX99 min
Aug 29, 9:06 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX5 hr
Sep 2, 3:37 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC53 min
Sep 2, 6:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Sep 3, 3:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC114 min
Sep 3, 3:42 PM EDTTornado WatchSPC6 hr
Sep 3, 6:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX50 min
Sep 3, 7:10 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX2 hr
Oct 29, 1:00 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX8 hr
Oct 30, 4:21 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX4 hr
Nov 11, 10:34 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningLWX26 hr
Nov 15, 3:33 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Nov 15, 5:35 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Nov 15, 7:28 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX47 min
Dec 5, 3:11 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningLWX5 hr
Dec 24, 3:36 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX39 min
Dec 24, 8:13 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningLWX23 hr
Dec 25, 3:53 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningLWX16 hr

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20192021

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.