Alert archive / Virginia / Prince William County
Weather alerts in Prince William County, Virginia, 2020
115 weather alerts in 2020, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Prince William County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2020. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 115
- Warnings
- 70
- Watches
- 9
- Advisories
- 0
- Busiest month
- August32 alerts
- Busiest day
- June 4, 20208 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
0 of 1 tornado warnings covering Prince William County in 2020 had a tornado report inside them.
Prince William County, 2020
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 1 | 0 | 100% | 0 | ||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 39 | 29 | 26% | 13 | 85% | 20 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 8 | 5 | 38% | 4 | 75% | 72 min |
Each office's whole area, 2020
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Baltimore/Washington: tornado warnings | 27 | 6 | 78% | 15 | 47% | 9 min |
| NWS Baltimore/Washington: severe thunderstorm warnings | 456 | 314 | 31% | 1,047 | 79% | 23 min |
| NWS Baltimore/Washington: flash flood warnings | 66 | 34 | 48% | 130 | 90% | 72 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 12:29 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jan 25, 3:18 PM EST | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 6 hr |
| Jan 25, 4:13 PM EST | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 3 hr |
| Feb 7, 6:56 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 64 min |
| Feb 7, 8:00 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 19 min |
| Feb 26, 2:49 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Feb 26, 10:10 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 50 min |
| Mar 3, 10:52 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Mar 3, 11:48 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 42 min |
| Apr 7, 2:57 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 93 min |
| Apr 8, 3:53 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| Apr 13, 10:34 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 86 min |
| Apr 13, 11:33 AM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Apr 13, 12:14 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | 31 min |
| Apr 13, 12:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 44 min |
| Apr 13, 1:20 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Apr 13, 2:28 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 14 hr |
| Apr 13, 4:04 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 12 hr |
| May 29, 12:27 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 63 min |
| Jun 4, 2:02 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Jun 4, 2:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Jun 4, 4:41 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 94 min |
| Jun 4, 6:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 34 min |
| Jun 4, 6:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 35 min |
| Jun 4, 7:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 43 min |
| Jun 4, 7:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 26 min |
| Jun 4, 7:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 47 min |
| Jun 4, 11:27 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 6 hr |
| Jun 5, 1:15 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 10, 7:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 43 min |
| Jun 11, 12:53 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 4 hr |
| Jun 19, 3:38 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 4 hr |
| Jun 19, 4:32 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 90 min |
| Jun 22, 1:58 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jun 22, 5:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 35 min |
| Jun 22, 5:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 35 min |
| Jun 25, 1:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| Jun 25, 6:09 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 96 min |
| Jun 25, 7:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 23 min |
| Jun 25, 8:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 43 min |
| Jul 5, 1:50 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Jul 5, 4:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 48 min |
| Jul 5, 4:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 32 min |
| Jul 5, 5:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 48 min |
| Jul 6, 12:33 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jul 6, 1:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 9 hr |
| Jul 6, 4:33 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| Jul 6, 6:25 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 20, 6:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 23 min |
| Jul 21, 2:01 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 59 min |
| Jul 21, 6:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 52 min |
| Jul 21, 7:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 40 min |
| Jul 22, 10:48 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| Jul 22, 12:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 22, 2:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 55 min |
| Jul 22, 2:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 39 min |
| Jul 22, 2:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 64 min |
| Jul 22, 3:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 59 min |
| Jul 22, 3:18 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| Jul 22, 3:31 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 2 hr |
| Jul 23, 8:28 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 5 hr |
| Jul 23, 8:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 44 min |
| Jul 23, 9:46 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 4 hr |
| Jul 24, 4:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 83 min |
| Jul 28, 3:19 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Jul 28, 5:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 46 min |
| Jul 30, 7:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 46 min |
| Aug 1, 4:00 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 1, 7:05 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Aug 3, 3:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 36 min |
| Aug 6, 2:08 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Aug 7, 1:30 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Aug 12, 3:55 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 8 hr |
| Aug 12, 4:07 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 118 min |
| Aug 12, 6:05 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 6 hr |
| Aug 12, 7:21 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 109 min |
| Aug 12, 1:15 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 13, 5:38 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 6 hr |
| Aug 13, 6:53 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 6 hr |
| Aug 13, 7:07 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 4 hr |
| Aug 13, 7:24 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 6 hr |
| Aug 13, 8:00 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 3 hr |
| Aug 13, 1:15 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 9 hr |
| Aug 23, 3:57 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 24, 3:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 48 min |
| Aug 24, 3:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 35 min |
| Aug 25, 3:10 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 95 min |
| Aug 25, 3:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Aug 25, 6:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 48 min |
| Aug 25, 7:07 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Aug 25, 7:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 52 min |
| Aug 25, 7:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 39 min |
| Aug 28, 1:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Aug 28, 5:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 46 min |
| Aug 28, 5:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 38 min |
| Aug 28, 7:50 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 28, 9:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 41 min |
| Aug 28, 10:29 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 99 min |
| Aug 29, 9:06 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 5 hr |
| Sep 2, 3:37 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 53 min |
| Sep 2, 6:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Sep 3, 3:06 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 114 min |
| Sep 3, 3:42 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Sep 3, 6:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 50 min |
| Sep 3, 7:10 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 2 hr |
| Oct 29, 1:00 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 8 hr |
| Oct 30, 4:21 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 4 hr |
| Nov 11, 10:34 PM EST | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 26 hr |
| Nov 15, 3:33 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Nov 15, 5:35 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Nov 15, 7:28 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 47 min |
| Dec 5, 3:11 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 5 hr |
| Dec 24, 3:36 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 39 min |
| Dec 24, 8:13 PM EST | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 23 hr |
| Dec 25, 3:53 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 16 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 39 |
| Tornado Warning | 1 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 7 |
| Tornado Watch | 2 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 36 |
| Flooding | |
| Areal Flood Warning | 22 |
| Flash Flood Warning | 8 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20192021
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.