Alert archive / Maryland / Mesoscale Discussions in 2020

Mesoscale Discussion 1669

September 2, 202015 counties in Maryland; 8 counties in Pennsylvania; 13 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Sep 2, 2020, 3:37 PM EDT for 15 counties in Maryland; 8 counties in Pennsylvania; 13 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 53 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 2, 2020, 3:37 PM EDT (19:37 UTC)
Expired
Sep 2, 2020, 4:30 PM EDT
In force
53 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...tornado watch likely
Chance of a watch
80%
All 36 counties

Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Adams County, PA, Chester County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, York County, PA, Arlington County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, King George County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Stafford County, VA

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 43 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2020-09-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 158 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2020-09-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 126 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
158 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-27 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
488 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
126 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
173 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 2, 6:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Caroline, Carroll, Cecil and 10 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Maryland, 2020Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2020Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2020Every mesoscale discussion in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.