Alert archive / Virginia / Fauquier County
Weather alerts in Fauquier County, Virginia, 2015
155 weather alerts in 2015, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Fauquier County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2015. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 155
- Warnings
- 50
- Watches
- 24
- Advisories
- 52
- Busiest month
- June37 alerts
- Busiest day
- June 8, 201510 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
0 of 1 tornado warnings covering Fauquier County in 2015 had a tornado report inside them.
Fauquier County, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 1 | 0 | 100% | 0 | ||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 32 | 21 | 34% | 10 | 80% | 15 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 3 | 2 | 33% | 2 | 50% | 51 min |
Each office's whole area, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Baltimore/Washington: tornado warnings | 17 | 2 | 88% | 4 | 50% | 5 min |
| NWS Baltimore/Washington: severe thunderstorm warnings | 235 | 153 | 35% | 526 | 75% | 16 min |
| NWS Baltimore/Washington: flash flood warnings | 89 | 47 | 47% | 138 | 74% | 64 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 1:59 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | LWX | 53 hr |
| Jan 6, 7:01 AM EST | Winter Storm Warning | LWX | 12 hr |
| Jan 6, 2:58 PM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | LWX | 50 hr |
| Jan 8, 8:18 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | LWX | 42 min |
| Jan 11, 3:03 PM EST | Freezing Rain Advisory | LWX | 22 hr |
| Jan 11, 8:50 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jan 13, 4:59 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | LWX | 22 hr |
| Jan 21, 6:32 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | LWX | 15 hr |
| Jan 21, 10:56 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | LWX | 12 hr |
| Jan 23, 4:19 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | LWX | 32 hr |
| Jan 24, 2:49 PM EST | Winter Storm Watch | LWX | 19 hr |
| Jan 25, 9:38 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | LWX | 47 hr |
| Jan 29, 3:56 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | LWX | 32 hr |
| Jan 29, 9:44 PM EST | Wind Advisory | LWX | 26 hr |
| Feb 1, 10:39 PM EST | Wind Advisory | LWX | 23 hr |
| Feb 12, 3:48 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | LWX | 32 hr |
| Feb 13, 3:25 AM EST | High Wind Watch | LWX | 24 hr |
| Feb 13, 2:56 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | LWX | 33 hr |
| Feb 14, 3:17 AM EST | High Wind Warning | LWX | 32 hr |
| Feb 14, 3:17 AM EST | Wind Advisory | LWX | 36 hr |
| Feb 14, 3:44 AM EST | Wind Chill Warning | LWX | 54 hr |
| Feb 14, 3:44 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | LWX | 16 hr |
| Feb 14, 7:23 PM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | LWX | 38 hr |
| Feb 15, 3:12 PM EST | Winter Storm Watch | LWX | 13 hr |
| Feb 15, 9:53 PM EST | Winter Storm Warning | LWX | 33 hr |
| Feb 17, 8:45 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | LWX | 28 hr |
| Feb 18, 4:13 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | LWX | 56 hr |
| Feb 19, 5:57 PM EST | Winter Storm Watch | LWX | 22 hr |
| Feb 20, 3:37 PM EST | Winter Storm Warning | LWX | 41 hr |
| Feb 20, 3:37 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | LWX | 41 hr |
| Feb 21, 6:24 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 4 hr |
| Feb 25, 4:03 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | LWX | 32 hr |
| Feb 28, 2:53 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | LWX | 38 hr |
| Mar 2, 4:51 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | LWX | 4 hr |
| Mar 2, 3:37 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | LWX | 30 hr |
| Mar 3, 2:50 PM EST | Winter Storm Watch | LWX | 23 hr |
| Mar 4, 4:51 AM EST | Winter Storm Warning | LWX | 39 hr |
| Mar 5, 7:58 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 5 hr |
| Mar 5, 11:55 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Mar 5, 2:13 PM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | LWX | 18 hr |
| Mar 10, 5:23 PM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | LWX | 13 hr |
| Mar 11, 10:07 PM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | LWX | 3 hr |
| Mar 19, 4:23 AM EDT | Winter Weather Advisory | LWX | 34 hr |
| Mar 25, 3:03 AM EDT | Freezing Rain Advisory | LWX | 8 hr |
| Mar 30, 4:41 PM EDT | Fire Weather Watch | LWX | 11 hr |
| Mar 31, 4:00 AM EDT | Red Flag Warning | LWX | 15 hr |
| Mar 31, 11:47 AM EDT | Wind Advisory | LWX | 10 hr |
| Apr 11, 1:54 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | LWX | 19 hr |
| Apr 19, 4:10 AM EDT | Flood Watch | LWX | 26 hr |
| Apr 20, 10:52 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | LWX | 20 hr |
| Apr 20, 1:54 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Apr 20, 3:08 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 9 hr |
| Apr 20, 5:01 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 119 min |
| Apr 22, 4:10 AM EDT | Wind Advisory | LWX | 15 hr |
| Apr 22, 12:32 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Apr 23, 8:17 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | LWX | 11 hr |
| Apr 24, 2:35 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | LWX | 18 hr |
| May 6, 1:52 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | LWX | 6 hr |
| May 6, 3:21 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 114 min |
| May 6, 4:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 22 min |
| May 6, 4:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 34 min |
| May 6, 4:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 27 min |
| May 8, 5:03 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | LWX | 4 hr |
| May 11, 6:55 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | LWX | 2 hr |
| May 16, 1:35 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 16, 4:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 28 min |
| May 16, 4:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 29 min |
| May 27, 1:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 41 min |
| Jun 1, 4:22 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | LWX | 23 hr |
| Jun 1, 5:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 23 min |
| Jun 8, 2:34 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Jun 8, 4:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 39 min |
| Jun 8, 4:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 36 min |
| Jun 8, 4:46 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 59 min |
| Jun 8, 5:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 46 min |
| Jun 8, 5:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 39 min |
| Jun 8, 6:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 33 min |
| Jun 8, 6:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 32 min |
| Jun 8, 7:07 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 53 min |
| Jun 8, 7:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 12, 2:03 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| Jun 14, 2:06 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min |
| Jun 15, 5:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 33 min |
| Jun 16, 12:15 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 18, 2:28 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 19, 12:50 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 28 min |
| Jun 19, 3:11 PM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | LWX | 38 hr |
| Jun 20, 1:36 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 114 min |
| Jun 20, 2:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 9 hr |
| Jun 20, 4:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 36 min |
| Jun 20, 6:24 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 96 min |
| Jun 20, 7:05 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | 25 min |
| Jun 20, 7:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 39 min |
| Jun 20, 7:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 27 min |
| Jun 23, 1:45 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jun 23, 4:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 23, 5:47 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| Jun 23, 6:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 29 min |
| Jun 23, 7:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 31 min |
| Jun 23, 7:41 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 94 min |
| Jun 25, 9:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 42 min |
| Jun 26, 4:20 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | LWX | 40 hr |
| Jun 27, 6:23 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 30, 2:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 30, 3:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| Jun 30, 11:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 24 min |
| Jun 30, 11:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 35 min |
| Jul 1, 12:33 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 27 min |
| Jul 4, 9:53 PM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | LWX | 12 hr |
| Jul 6, 1:01 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 12, 12:26 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | LWX | 8 hr |
| Jul 13, 6:44 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 3 hr |
| Jul 13, 9:36 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 12 hr |
| Jul 14, 5:05 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | LWX | 16 hr |
| Jul 14, 6:10 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 14, 6:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 32 min |
| Jul 14, 6:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| Jul 14, 6:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 21 min |
| Jul 14, 9:26 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 94 min |
| Jul 18, 3:11 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | LWX | 29 hr |
| Jul 20, 3:41 AM EDT | Heat Advisory | LWX | 16 hr |
| Jul 27, 3:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 13 min |
| Jul 29, 4:56 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | LWX | 3 hr |
| Aug 4, 3:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Aug 4, 8:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 50 min |
| Aug 11, 1:30 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Aug 20, 3:45 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Aug 20, 6:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 49 min |
| Aug 20, 6:18 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 3 hr |
| Aug 20, 7:12 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 3 hr |
| Aug 24, 6:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 26 min |
| Sep 2, 3:35 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Sep 4, 2:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 48 min |
| Sep 4, 3:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 26 min |
| Sep 19, 6:16 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | LWX | 4 hr |
| Sep 29, 4:20 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | LWX | 23 hr |
| Sep 29, 8:56 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 3 hr |
| Sep 30, 1:09 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 6 hr |
| Sep 30, 1:57 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | LWX | 11 hr |
| Oct 1, 4:19 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | LWX | 50 hr |
| Oct 2, 9:46 AM EDT | River Flood Watch | LWX | 15 hr |
| Oct 16, 3:57 AM EDT | Freeze Watch | LWX | 24 hr |
| Oct 17, 3:34 AM EDT | Freeze Watch | LWX | 31 hr |
| Oct 17, 3:34 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | LWX | 29 hr |
| Oct 18, 10:38 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | LWX | 22 hr |
| Nov 12, 8:34 AM EST | Wind Advisory | LWX | 43 hr |
| Dec 1, 10:47 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | LWX | 17 hr |
| Dec 6, 9:28 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | LWX | 6 hr |
| Dec 9, 6:14 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | LWX | 7 hr |
| Dec 10, 3:16 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | LWX | 8 hr |
| Dec 17, 9:57 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | LWX | 5 hr |
| Dec 25, 4:14 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | LWX | 9 hr |
| Dec 25, 1:19 PM EST | Flash Flood Watch | LWX | 6 hr |
| Dec 30, 12:08 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | LWX | 11 hr |
| Dec 31, 1:18 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | LWX | 9 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20142016
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.