Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 90
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 20, 2015, 3:08 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 20, 2015, 3:08 PM EDT (19:08 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 20, 2015, 11:57 PM EDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 100 counties
Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Allegany County, MD, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Washington County, MD, Adams County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Berks County, PA, Blair County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Centre County, PA, Chester County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Elk County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Potter County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, York County, PA, Albemarle County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Augusta County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Staunton, VA, City of Waynesboro, VA, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Frederick County, VA, Greene County, VA, Highland County, VA, King George County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Madison County, VA, Nelson County, VA, Orange County, VA, Page County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Warren County, VA, Berkeley County, WV, Grant County, WV, Hampshire County, WV, Hardy County, WV, Jefferson County, WV, Mineral County, WV, Morgan County, WV, Pendleton County, WV
The radar
The Sterling radar (KLWX), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
39 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 5:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Allegany | 23 min |
| Apr 20, 5:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Bedford | 65 min |
| Apr 20, 5:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cambria, Clearfield, Elk | 62 min |
| Apr 20, 6:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Blair, Centre, Huntingdon | 59 min |
| Apr 20, 6:48 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Cumberland, Franklin | 42 min |
| Apr 20, 6:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Washington | 31 min |
| Apr 20, 7:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Centre, Clinton, Lycoming | 58 min |
| Apr 20, 7:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Allegany, Washington | 36 min |
| Apr 20, 7:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Bedford | 66 min |
| Apr 20, 7:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Allegany, Washington | 59 min |
| Apr 20, 7:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Calvert, Charles, Prince George's, Saint Mary's | 25 min |
| Apr 20, 7:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Blair, Centre, Huntingdon, Mifflin | 54 min |
| Apr 20, 7:21 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Cumberland, Perry | 54 min |
| Apr 20, 7:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Centre, Clinton, Huntingdon, Mifflin, Union | 53 min |
| Apr 20, 7:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Fulton, Huntingdon | 58 min |
| Apr 20, 7:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Clinton, Lycoming | 65 min |
| Apr 20, 7:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Charles, Montgomery, Prince George's | 48 min |
| Apr 20, 7:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Potter, Tioga | 42 min |
| Apr 20, 7:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Grant, Mineral | 24 min |
| Apr 20, 7:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cumberland, Franklin, Fulton, Perry | 64 min |
| Apr 20, 7:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Dauphin, Lebanon, Perry | 61 min |
| Apr 20, 8:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Howard, Montgomery, Prince George's | 28 min |
| Apr 20, 8:10 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Cumberland, Dauphin | 35 min |
| Apr 20, 8:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Charles | 49 min |
| Apr 20, 8:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Calvert, Charles, Prince George's | 44 min |
| Apr 20, 8:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Centre, Clinton, Huntingdon, Lycoming, Mifflin, Snyder and 1 more | 56 min |
| Apr 20, 8:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Howard, Montgomery, Prince George's, City of Baltimore | 25 min |
| Apr 20, 8:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Washington | 36 min |
| Apr 20, 8:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Adams, Cumberland, Franklin | 60 min |
| Apr 20, 8:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Calvert, Charles, Prince George's, Saint Mary's | 35 min |
| Apr 20, 8:43 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Dauphin, Lebanon | 32 min |
| Apr 20, 8:43 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Spotsylvania, Stafford, City of Fredericksburg | 4 hr |
| Apr 20, 8:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lycoming, Sullivan | 58 min |
| Apr 20, 8:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Harford, Howard, Prince George's, City of Baltimore | 38 min |
| Apr 20, 8:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cumberland, Dauphin, Juniata, Lebanon, Northumberland, Perry and 2 more | 66 min |
| Apr 20, 9:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Dauphin, Lebanon, Schuylkill | 60 min |
| Apr 20, 9:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Berks | 42 min |
| Apr 20, 9:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Calvert, Charles, Prince George's, Saint Mary's | 47 min |
| Apr 20, 10:34 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | New Castle | 6 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 38 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 694 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 55 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 166 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 205 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
655
WWUS20 KWNS 201904
SEL0
SPC WW 201904
DCZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-CWZ000-210200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 90
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
305 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
DELAWARE
MARYLAND
SOUTHWEST NEW JERSEY
SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA
NORTHERN VIRGINIA
EASTERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA
COASTAL WATERS
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 305 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN VA AND
WESTERN MD THIS AFTERNOON...TRACKING ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL ARE THE MAIN THREATS. HOWEVER...BACKED LOW
LEVEL WINDS NEAR A WARM FRONT MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO ENHANCE THE RISK
OF ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER NORTHERN PARTS OF THE WATCH.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
CHARLOTTESVILLE VIRGINIA TO 25 MILES NORTH OF HARRISBURG
PENNSYLVANIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 86...WW 87...WW 88...WW
89...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 5:01 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | New Castle | 119 min |
| Apr 20, 1:54 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Carroll, Charles, Frederick and 6 more | 3 hr |
| Apr 20, 3:23 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bradford, Cameron, Centre, Clearfield, Clinton, Elk and 8 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 20, 5:57 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bradford, Cameron, Centre, Clinton, Columbia, Luzerne and 9 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 20, 7:31 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Lackawanna, Susquehanna, Wayne | 2 hr |
| Apr 20, 7:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bradford, Carbon, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Monroe, Northampton and 4 more | 4 hr |
| Apr 20, 2:25 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Isle of Wight, Southampton, City of Chesapeake, City of Franklin, City of Hampton, City of Norfolk and 2 more | 95 min |
| Apr 20, 2:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Alleghany, Amelia, Amherst, Appomattox, Bath, Bedford and 77 more | 7 hr |
| Apr 20, 6:27 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Amelia, Appomattox, Bedford, Brunswick, Buckingham, Campbell and 50 more | 93 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Pennsylvania, 2015Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2015Tornado Watches in Maryland, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.