Alert archive / New York / Orange County
Weather alerts in Orange County, New York, 2015
134 weather alerts in 2015, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Orange County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2015. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 134
- Warnings
- 16
- Watches
- 17
- Advisories
- 46
- Busiest month
- June28 alerts
- Busiest day
- May 27, 20158 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
Orange County, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 5 | 1 | 80% | 1 | 100% | 32 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 2 | 1 | 50% | 1 | 100% | 84 min |
Each office's whole area, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS New York, NY: severe thunderstorm warnings | 34 | 23 | 32% | 130 | 75% | 18 min |
| NWS New York, NY: flash flood warnings | 20 | 15 | 25% | 52 | 92% | 66 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 4:04 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | OKX | 33 hr |
| Jan 6, 3:57 PM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | OKX | 41 hr |
| Jan 11, 3:20 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | OKX | 36 hr |
| Jan 17, 3:30 PM EST | Freezing Rain Advisory | OKX | 25 hr |
| Jan 18, 2:43 PM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | 2 hr |
| Jan 18, 5:11 PM EST | Freezing Rain Advisory | OKX | 3 hr |
| Jan 23, 4:11 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | OKX | 39 hr |
| Jan 23, 11:48 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jan 25, 3:56 AM EST | Winter Storm Watch | OKX | 11 hr |
| Jan 25, 3:19 PM EST | Blizzard Warning | OKX | 45 hr |
| Jan 27, 1:55 AM EST | Winter Storm Warning | OKX | 20 hr |
| Jan 27, 9:11 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | OKX | 7 hr |
| Jan 30, 4:06 AM EST | Wind Advisory | OKX | 30 hr |
| Jan 30, 4:15 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | OKX | 30 hr |
| Jan 31, 3:34 AM EST | Winter Storm Watch | OKX | 36 hr |
| Jan 31, 3:50 PM EST | Winter Storm Warning | OKX | 47 hr |
| Feb 1, 4:01 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | OKX | 41 hr |
| Feb 1, 9:52 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Feb 7, 3:43 AM EST | Winter Storm Watch | OKX | 24 hr |
| Feb 8, 4:12 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | OKX | 44 hr |
| Feb 12, 3:53 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | OKX | 32 hr |
| Feb 13, 4:00 AM EST | High Wind Watch | OKX | 25 hr |
| Feb 13, 3:43 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | OKX | 48 hr |
| Feb 14, 4:23 AM EST | Wind Chill Watch | OKX | 11 hr |
| Feb 14, 4:33 AM EST | Wind Advisory | OKX | 37 hr |
| Feb 14, 3:51 PM EST | Wind Chill Warning | OKX | 41 hr |
| Feb 19, 3:49 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | OKX | 30 hr |
| Feb 20, 3:59 AM EST | Wind Chill Warning | OKX | 6 hr |
| Feb 20, 4:20 PM EST | Winter Storm Watch | OKX | 12 hr |
| Feb 20, 4:20 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | OKX | 43 hr |
| Feb 28, 3:13 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | OKX | 33 hr |
| Mar 1, 1:57 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 5 hr |
| Mar 2, 4:11 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | OKX | 36 hr |
| Mar 3, 7:01 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 4 hr |
| Mar 4, 3:49 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | OKX | 27 hr |
| Mar 10, 6:09 PM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | OKX | 13 hr |
| Mar 13, 3:36 PM EDT | Freezing Rain Advisory | OKX | 18 hr |
| Mar 19, 4:18 AM EDT | Winter Weather Advisory | OKX | 55 hr |
| Mar 26, 6:20 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 3 hr |
| Apr 20, 2:14 PM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | OKX | 14 hr |
| Apr 22, 12:32 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Apr 23, 3:49 PM EDT | Freeze Warning | OKX | 15 hr |
| Apr 24, 3:36 AM EDT | Freeze Watch | OKX | 12 hr |
| Apr 24, 3:47 PM EDT | Freeze Warning | OKX | 17 hr |
| Apr 25, 3:43 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | OKX | 16 hr |
| May 19, 7:38 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 19, 8:11 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 49 min |
| May 26, 4:54 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 36 min |
| May 27, 12:21 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 54 min |
| May 27, 12:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| May 27, 2:59 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 27, 4:43 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 32 min |
| May 27, 4:49 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 86 min |
| May 27, 5:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | 30 min |
| May 27, 5:26 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 34 min |
| May 27, 5:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | 31 min |
| May 28, 11:16 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| May 28, 11:30 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 60 min |
| May 28, 11:54 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| May 28, 1:22 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 38 min |
| May 28, 3:08 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| May 31, 1:01 PM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | OKX | 43 hr |
| May 31, 2:01 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 44 min |
| May 31, 2:18 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | 3 hr |
| May 31, 2:48 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 42 min |
| May 31, 8:15 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 45 min |
| May 31, 8:24 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | 3 hr |
| May 31, 11:14 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | 4 hr |
| Jun 1, 1:52 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | 3 hr |
| Jun 8, 7:12 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 93 min |
| Jun 8, 7:49 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | 3 hr |
| Jun 9, 12:36 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 114 min |
| Jun 9, 3:33 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 27 min |
| Jun 12, 4:44 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 31 min |
| Jun 12, 7:07 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 38 min |
| Jun 12, 7:53 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 37 min |
| Jun 12, 10:32 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 73 min |
| Jun 12, 11:33 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 12 min |
| Jun 16, 3:02 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 43 min |
| Jun 21, 4:58 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 32 min |
| Jun 21, 5:36 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 39 min |
| Jun 23, 8:57 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 63 min |
| Jun 23, 10:12 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jun 23, 2:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | 47 min |
| Jun 23, 2:46 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| Jun 23, 3:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jun 23, 7:40 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 50 min |
| Jun 23, 8:34 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 56 min |
| Jun 30, 12:31 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 30, 1:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 30, 4:15 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 30, 7:38 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 67 min |
| Jun 30, 7:55 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 50 min |
| Jun 30, 8:44 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 46 min |
| Jun 30, 9:41 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | 4 hr |
| Jun 30, 10:51 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 39 min |
| Jul 1, 3:17 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | OKX | 3 hr |
| Jul 1, 3:32 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 58 min |
| Jul 1, 3:38 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | 112 min |
| Jul 9, 3:35 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | OKX | 17 hr |
| Jul 18, 11:55 AM EDT | Heat Advisory | OKX | 54 hr |
| Jul 18, 6:52 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 53 min |
| Jul 18, 7:17 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 58 min |
| Jul 21, 4:17 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 28 min |
| Jul 21, 4:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | 48 min |
| Jul 21, 6:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | 30 min |
| Jul 26, 2:17 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 28 min |
| Jul 26, 3:34 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Jul 26, 6:08 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 22 min |
| Jul 26, 6:50 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | 55 min |
| Jul 27, 4:27 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | 3 hr |
| Jul 27, 7:00 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | OKX | 3 hr |
| Jul 30, 3:39 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | 3 hr |
| Aug 18, 1:53 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | 2 hr |
| Aug 18, 2:37 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 23 min |
| Aug 18, 2:46 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | OKX | 3 hr |
| Aug 18, 3:09 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 36 min |
| Aug 21, 3:00 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | 2 hr |
| Aug 25, 4:16 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 44 min |
| Sep 3, 8:44 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 31 min |
| Sep 3, 9:02 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 28 min |
| Sep 3, 9:33 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | 117 min |
| Oct 9, 3:11 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Oct 10, 2:30 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | OKX | 19 hr |
| Oct 16, 11:50 AM EDT | Freeze Watch | OKX | 16 hr |
| Oct 16, 3:05 PM EDT | Freeze Watch | OKX | 37 hr |
| Oct 17, 3:20 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | OKX | 31 hr |
| Oct 18, 3:41 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | OKX | 30 hr |
| Oct 28, 10:22 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | 3 hr |
| Dec 14, 8:45 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | OKX | 3 hr |
| Dec 23, 1:09 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | OKX | 8 hr |
| Dec 27, 3:47 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | OKX | 6 hr |
| Dec 27, 3:20 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | OKX | 45 hr |
| Dec 30, 3:28 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | OKX | 11 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20142016
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.