Alert archive / Montana / Jefferson County

Weather alerts in Jefferson County, Montana, 2018

67 weather alerts in 2018, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Jefferson County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2018. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
67
Warnings
17
Watches
9
Advisories
2
Busiest month
May21 alerts
Busiest day
May 26, 20186 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

Jefferson County, 2018

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings00
Severe thunderstorm warnings3233%450%8 min
Flash flood warnings00

Each office's whole area, 2018

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Great Falls, MT: tornado warnings030%
NWS Great Falls, MT: severe thunderstorm warnings511669%6745%21 min
NWS Great Falls, MT: flash flood warnings9189%617%129 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Feb 4, 3:06 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTFX114 min
Mar 2, 4:57 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTFX33 min
Mar 11, 9:43 AM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTFX8 days
May 6, 2:51 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX54 min
May 6, 3:57 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX33 min
May 6, 4:36 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX24 min
May 10, 6:41 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTFX4 days
May 22, 2:11 AM MDTAreal Flood WarningTFX15 days
May 25, 5:49 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX26 min
May 26, 2:12 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX48 min
May 26, 2:21 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC114 min
May 26, 5:15 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX45 min
May 26, 5:21 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX39 min
May 26, 5:48 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX42 min
May 26, 5:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX36 min
May 26, 6:14 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX31 min
May 26, 6:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX28 min
May 26, 6:35 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX25 min
May 30, 1:48 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC117 min
May 30, 2:34 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX26 min
May 30, 3:03 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX27 min
May 30, 3:39 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX36 min
May 31, 12:33 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC117 min
May 31, 1:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
May 31, 7:12 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX33 min
Jun 4, 1:47 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC118 min
Jun 7, 1:20 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC85 min
Jun 7, 2:31 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX29 min
Jun 7, 4:59 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX31 min
Jun 9, 1:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 9, 4:53 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC97 min
Jun 20, 12:08 AM MDTAreal Flood WarningTFX4 days
Jun 21, 12:06 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX39 min
Jun 21, 2:28 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC92 min
Jun 25, 5:29 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jun 28, 8:20 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX40 min
Jun 28, 8:29 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX31 min
Jul 10, 1:19 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX41 min
Jul 16, 2:05 PM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX24 hr
Jul 16, 5:36 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX24 min
Jul 17, 2:01 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX31 hr
Jul 20, 3:40 AM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX19 hr
Jul 20, 2:00 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX34 hr
Jul 26, 1:10 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jul 27, 5:50 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX55 min
Jul 27, 6:32 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX43 min
Jul 28, 12:21 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX54 min
Jul 31, 2:49 PM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO14 hr
Aug 1, 4:19 AM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO17 hr
Aug 1, 11:03 AM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX59 hr
Aug 1, 12:04 PM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO34 hr
Aug 2, 3:36 AM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO42 hr
Aug 5, 2:44 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSO46 min
Aug 5, 3:18 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX27 min
Aug 8, 3:25 AM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX36 hr
Aug 8, 2:13 PM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO24 hr
Aug 9, 2:23 PM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO3 days
Aug 9, 3:02 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX3 days
Aug 15, 2:14 PM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO32 hr
Aug 15, 2:14 PM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO24 hr
Aug 15, 2:19 PM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX25 hr
Aug 16, 2:26 PM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO37 hr
Aug 16, 3:01 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX33 hr
Aug 17, 5:09 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX51 min
Aug 17, 6:24 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX36 min
Aug 19, 7:27 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX33 min
Sep 10, 3:36 AM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO16 hr

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20172019

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.