Alert archive / Montana / Red Flag Warnings in 2018

Red Flag Warning 2, NWS Great Falls, MT

July 17, 201817 counties in Montana

NWS Great Falls, MT issued this red flag warning at Jul 17, 2018, 2:01 PM MDT for 17 counties in Montana. It took effect at Jul 18, 2018, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 17, 2018, 2:01 PM MDT (20:01 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 18, 2018, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Jul 18, 2018, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Great Falls, MT

Counties Blaine County, MT, Broadwater County, MT, Cascade County, MT, Chouteau County, MT, Fergus County, MT, Gallatin County, MT, Glacier County, MT, Hill County, MT, Jefferson County, MT, Judith Basin County, MT, Lewis and Clark County, MT, Liberty County, MT, Meagher County, MT, Phillips County, MT, Pondera County, MT, Teton County, MT, Toole County, MT

The radar

The Great Falls radar (KTFX), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 30 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2018-07-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 82 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2018-07-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -2 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
82 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-216 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2528 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-48 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

685 
WWUS85 KTFX 172001
RFWTFX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
201 PM MDT Tue Jul 17 2018

MTZ112>115-117-118-181115-
/O.UPG.KTFX.FW.A.0002.180718T1800Z-180719T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KTFX.FW.W.0002.180718T1800Z-180719T0300Z/
Eastern Glacier/Toole/Central/Eastern Pondera/Liberty-
Hill and Blaine Counties-
Lewis and Clark National Forest Rocky Mountain District-
Rocky Mountain Front-Chouteau and Fergus Counties-
Central and Eastern Lewis and Clark National Forest Areas-
Helena and Townsend Ranger Districts of the Helena National Forest-
201 PM MDT Tue Jul 17 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 112, 113, 114, 115,
117 AND 118...

The National Weather Service in Great Falls has issued a Red Flag
Warning for low relative humidity, which is in effect from noon to
9 PM MDT Wednesday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect.

* AFFECTED AREA...In Montana, Fire Weather Zones 112 Eastern 
  Glacier/Toole/Central/Eastern Pondera/Liberty, 113 Hill and 
  Blaine Counties, 114 Lewis and Clark National Forest Rocky 
  Mountain District-Rocky Mountain Front, 115 Chouteau and Fergus 
  Counties, 117 Central and Eastern Lewis and Clark National 
  Forest Areas and 118 Helena and Townsend Ranger Districts of 
  the Helena National Forest.

* WINDS...West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* TIMING...Wednesday afternoon through evening.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 10 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...In the lower 90s.

* IMPACTS...Low humidity and gusty west winds could create critical
  fire weather conditions over lower land grass locations.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are
either occurring now, or will shortly.  A combination of 
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in these
areas of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls
3 follow-up statements
188 
WWUS85 KTFX 180436
RFWTFX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
1036 PM MDT Tue Jul 17 2018

MTZ112>115-117-118-181800-
/O.CON.KTFX.FW.W.0002.180718T1800Z-180719T0300Z/
Eastern Glacier/Toole/Central/Eastern Pondera/Liberty-
Hill and Blaine Counties-
Lewis and Clark National Forest Rocky Mountain District-
Rocky Mountain Front-Chouteau and Fergus Counties-
Central and Eastern Lewis and Clark National Forest Areas-
Helena and Townsend Ranger Districts of the Helena National Forest-
1036 PM MDT Tue Jul 17 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 112,
113, 114, 115, 117 AND 118...

* AFFECTED AREA...In Montana, Fire Weather Zones 112 Eastern
  Glacier/Toole/Central/Eastern Pondera/Liberty, 113 Hill and
  Blaine Counties, 114 Lewis and Clark National Forest Rocky
  Mountain District-Rocky Mountain Front, 115 Chouteau and Fergus
  Counties, 117 Central and Eastern Lewis and Clark National Forest
  Areas and 118 Helena and Townsend Ranger Districts of the Helena
  National Forest. For all districts, the Red Flag Warning is for 
  lower elevation grassland locations.

* WINDS...West 15 to 25 mph, with gusts up to 35 mph.

* TIMING...Wednesday afternoon through evening.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 10 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...Mid-80s to mid-90s.

* IMPACTS...Low humidity and gusty west winds will create critical
  fire weather conditions over lower elevation grassland locations.
  Any spark, man-made or nature-caused, may cause a fire to start.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are
either occurring now, or will shortly.  A combination of strong
winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute
to extreme fire behavior.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in these
areas of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

Moldan

$$

http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls
485 
WWUS85 KTFX 180940
RFWTFX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
340 AM MDT Wed Jul 18 2018

MTZ112>115-117-118-190300-
/O.CON.KTFX.FW.W.0002.180718T1800Z-180719T0300Z/
Eastern Glacier/Toole/Central/Eastern Pondera/Liberty-
Hill and Blaine Counties-
Lewis and Clark National Forest Rocky Mountain District-
Rocky Mountain Front-Chouteau and Fergus Counties-
Central and Eastern Lewis and Clark National Forest Areas-
Helena and Townsend Ranger Districts of the Helena National Forest-
340 AM MDT Wed Jul 18 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 112,
113, 114, 115, 117 AND 118...

* AFFECTED AREA...In Montana, Fire Weather Zones 112 Eastern
  Glacier/Toole/Central/Eastern Pondera/Liberty, 113 Hill and
  Blaine Counties, 114 Lewis and Clark National Forest Rocky
  Mountain District-Rocky Mountain Front, 115 Chouteau and Fergus
  Counties, 117 Central and Eastern Lewis and Clark National Forest
  Areas and 118 Helena and Townsend Ranger Districts of the Helena
  National Forest. For all districts, the Red Flag Warning is for
  lower elevation grassland locations.

* WINDS...West 15 to 25 mph, with gusts up to 35 mph.

* TIMING...Wednesday afternoon through evening.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 10 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...Mid-80s to mid-90s.

* IMPACTS...Low humidity and gusty west winds will create critical
  fire weather conditions over lower elevation grassland locations.
  Any spark, man-made or nature-caused, may cause a fire to start.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are
either occurring now, or will shortly.  A combination of strong
winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute
to extreme fire behavior.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in these
areas of this Red Flag Warning.

&&


$$

http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls
879 
WWUS85 KTFX 190246
RFWTFX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
846 PM MDT Wed Jul 18 2018

MTZ112>115-117-118-190400-
/O.EXP.KTFX.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-180719T0300Z/
Eastern Glacier/Toole/Central/Eastern Pondera/Liberty-
Hill and Blaine Counties-
Lewis and Clark National Forest Rocky Mountain District-
Rocky Mountain Front-Chouteau and Fergus Counties-
Central and Eastern Lewis and Clark National Forest Areas-
Helena and Townsend Ranger Districts of the Helena National Forest-
846 PM MDT Wed Jul 18 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR FIRE 
WEATHER ZONES 112, 113, 114, 115, 117 AND 118...

Humidity has generally increased above 20 percent across much of 
north-central and central Montana this evening though some areas 
still remain below 20 percent. Winds have diminished and 
widespread critical fire weather conditions are no longer expected
this evening.

$$

http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls

The office that day

Everything else NWS Great Falls, MT issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 16, 7:38 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXJudith Basin37 min
Jul 17, 12:23 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXJudith Basin22 min
Jul 17, 12:35 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningTFXCascade, Judith Basin115 min
Jul 17, 12:59 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXJudith Basin31 min
Jul 17, 5:12 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXHill48 min
Jul 17, 5:27 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFXFergus48 min

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Montana, 2018Every red flag warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.