Alert archive / Montana / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 532

May 26, 201839 counties in Montana; Park County, Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 26, 2018, 2:21 PM MDT for 39 counties in Montana; Park County, Wyoming. It was in force for 114 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 26, 2018, 2:21 PM MDT (20:21 UTC)
Expired
May 26, 2018, 4:15 PM MDT
In force
114 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
60%
All 40 counties

Beaverhead County, MT, Big Horn County, MT, Broadwater County, MT, Carbon County, MT, Cascade County, MT, Custer County, MT, Daniels County, MT, Dawson County, MT, Deer Lodge County, MT, Fallon County, MT, Fergus County, MT, Gallatin County, MT, Garfield County, MT, Golden Valley County, MT, Granite County, MT, Jefferson County, MT, Judith Basin County, MT, Lewis and Clark County, MT, Madison County, MT, McCone County, MT, Meagher County, MT, Musselshell County, MT, Park County, MT, Petroleum County, MT, Phillips County, MT, Powell County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Richland County, MT, Roosevelt County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Sheridan County, MT, Silver Bow County, MT, Stillwater County, MT, Sweet Grass County, MT, Treasure County, MT, Valley County, MT, Wheatland County, MT, Wibaux County, MT, Yellowstone County, MT, Park County, WY

The radar

The Billings radar (KBLX), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 172 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2018-05-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 4 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2018-05-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -13 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-294 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1948 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
173 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 26, 4:46 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCuster, Dawson, Fallon, Garfield, McCone, Prairie and 4 more119 min
May 26, 5:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDawson, Fallon, Garfield, McCone, Prairie, Richland and 3 more9 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Montana, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Wyoming, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.