Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 122

May 26, 20189 counties in Montana; 9 counties in North Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 26, 2018, 5:36 PM MDT for 9 counties in Montana; 9 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 26, 2018, 5:36 PM MDT (23:36 UTC)
Expired
May 27, 2018, 3:00 AM MDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt

Counties Dawson County, MT, Fallon County, MT, Garfield County, MT, McCone County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Richland County, MT, Roosevelt County, MT, Valley County, MT, Wibaux County, MT, Adams County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND

The radar

The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 141 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 26, 6:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, McCone59 min
May 26, 6:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, McCone, Valley53 min
May 26, 7:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, McCone, Valley63 min
May 26, 8:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, McCone, Richland67 min
May 26, 9:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Richland61 min
May 26, 9:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, McCone61 min
May 26, 9:49 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGGWGarfield, McCone4 hr
May 26, 10:21 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGGWDawson, McCone, Richland4 hr
May 26, 11:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, McCone, Prairie, Richland, Wibaux58 min
May 26, 11:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcKenzie54 min
May 26, 11:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBillings, Golden Valley, McKenzie65 min
May 27, 12:43 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDunn, McKenzie, McLean, Mountrail62 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 422 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2018-05-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 4 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2018-05-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -13 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-294 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1948 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
173 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 26, 2:21 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaverhead, Big Horn, Broadwater, Carbon, Cascade, Custer and 33 more114 min
May 26, 4:46 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCuster, Dawson, Fallon, Garfield, McCone, Prairie and 4 more119 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.