Alert archive / Montana / Jefferson County

Weather alerts in Jefferson County, Montana, 2017

100 weather alerts in 2017, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Jefferson County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2017. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
100
Warnings
27
Watches
9
Advisories
2
Busiest month
July31 alerts
Busiest day
July 10, 20178 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

Jefferson County, 2017

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings00
Severe thunderstorm warnings3167%333%21 min
Flash flood warnings00

Each office's whole area, 2017

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Great Falls, MT: severe thunderstorm warnings472645%10251%17 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Feb 9, 7:35 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTFX15 hr
Feb 16, 8:01 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTFX44 min
Feb 19, 4:41 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTFX79 min
Feb 25, 2:13 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTFX77 min
Mar 15, 10:22 AM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTFX60 hr
Mar 27, 3:42 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX93 min
Apr 14, 5:56 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX79 min
Apr 18, 7:13 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX62 min
Apr 18, 7:54 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX36 min
Apr 18, 8:13 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX62 min
May 6, 2:57 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX48 min
May 6, 3:42 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC63 min
May 6, 3:44 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX31 min
May 12, 1:35 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
May 31, 2:31 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSO14 min
May 31, 3:43 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX32 min
May 31, 4:19 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX26 min
May 31, 4:45 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX30 min
May 31, 7:08 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX52 min
Jun 1, 12:42 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jun 7, 5:14 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX31 min
Jun 7, 5:42 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX33 min
Jun 9, 1:45 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX45 min
Jun 12, 11:23 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jun 12, 4:42 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX48 min
Jun 12, 5:23 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX52 min
Jun 26, 3:53 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jun 26, 9:18 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX42 min
Jun 27, 7:03 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX42 min
Jun 28, 1:26 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX49 min
Jul 1, 7:11 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX49 min
Jul 1, 7:41 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX49 min
Jul 1, 8:03 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX42 min
Jul 1, 8:44 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX61 min
Jul 2, 2:43 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSO47 min
Jul 4, 9:41 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX23 hr
Jul 5, 4:13 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX62 min
Jul 5, 5:20 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX55 min
Jul 6, 6:36 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX54 min
Jul 6, 10:11 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX34 min
Jul 9, 1:44 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jul 9, 4:12 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX18 min
Jul 9, 6:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX37 min
Jul 10, 1:20 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC115 min
Jul 10, 1:53 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX52 min
Jul 10, 2:26 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX34 min
Jul 10, 3:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX37 min
Jul 10, 4:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX20 min
Jul 10, 4:42 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX48 min
Jul 10, 5:02 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX43 min
Jul 10, 8:01 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX44 min
Jul 14, 2:46 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX54 hr
Jul 15, 2:07 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC53 min
Jul 19, 2:14 PM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO31 hr
Jul 19, 2:44 PM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX12 hr
Jul 20, 3:05 AM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX42 hr
Jul 22, 2:56 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX30 hr
Jul 23, 4:36 AM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX22 hr
Jul 23, 2:39 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX30 hr
Jul 28, 10:36 AM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX40 hr
Jul 28, 7:11 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX64 min
Jul 31, 9:59 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX29 hr
Aug 9, 3:16 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX29 min
Aug 9, 4:04 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX26 min
Aug 9, 4:35 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX25 min
Aug 9, 5:06 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX24 min
Aug 9, 5:19 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX26 min
Aug 9, 5:57 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX33 min
Aug 11, 1:03 PM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO56 hr
Aug 12, 2:47 PM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX13 hr
Aug 13, 3:22 AM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX18 hr
Aug 16, 3:52 AM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX17 hr
Aug 17, 3:09 AM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX51 hr
Aug 17, 11:56 AM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO57 hr
Aug 18, 2:03 PM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO31 hr
Aug 19, 3:28 AM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX18 hr
Aug 22, 1:26 PM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX14 hr
Aug 24, 8:59 AM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO14 hr
Aug 24, 2:14 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Aug 25, 8:18 AM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO11 hr
Aug 29, 12:49 PM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO56 hr
Aug 29, 2:41 PM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX13 hr
Aug 29, 2:41 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX3 days
Aug 30, 4:43 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX32 min
Sep 1, 2:49 PM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX24 hr
Sep 2, 3:52 AM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX65 hr
Sep 2, 1:45 PM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO45 hr
Sep 7, 1:48 PM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO22 hr
Sep 7, 2:09 PM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX24 hr
Sep 8, 11:57 AM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO33 hr
Sep 8, 2:03 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX40 hr
Sep 11, 3:26 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX31 hr
Sep 12, 2:02 PM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO29 hr
Oct 4, 2:27 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX63 min
Nov 1, 4:08 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX112 min
Nov 3, 1:47 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX3 hr
Nov 3, 3:22 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX83 min
Nov 9, 3:41 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTFX3 hr
Nov 9, 7:06 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTFX54 min
Nov 9, 8:17 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTFX58 min

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20162018

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.