Alert archive / Montana / Jefferson County
Weather alerts in Jefferson County, Montana, 2017
100 weather alerts in 2017, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Jefferson County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2017. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 100
- Warnings
- 27
- Watches
- 9
- Advisories
- 2
- Busiest month
- July31 alerts
- Busiest day
- July 10, 20178 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
Jefferson County, 2017
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 3 | 1 | 67% | 3 | 33% | 21 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 0 | 0 |
Each office's whole area, 2017
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Great Falls, MT: severe thunderstorm warnings | 47 | 26 | 45% | 102 | 51% | 17 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 7:35 PM MST | Areal Flood Advisory | TFX | 15 hr |
| Feb 16, 8:01 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 44 min |
| Feb 19, 4:41 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 79 min |
| Feb 25, 2:13 AM MST | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 77 min |
| Mar 15, 10:22 AM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TFX | 60 hr |
| Mar 27, 3:42 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 93 min |
| Apr 14, 5:56 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 79 min |
| Apr 18, 7:13 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 62 min |
| Apr 18, 7:54 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 36 min |
| Apr 18, 8:13 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 62 min |
| May 6, 2:57 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 48 min |
| May 6, 3:42 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 63 min |
| May 6, 3:44 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 31 min |
| May 12, 1:35 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 31, 2:31 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MSO | 14 min |
| May 31, 3:43 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 32 min |
| May 31, 4:19 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 26 min |
| May 31, 4:45 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 30 min |
| May 31, 7:08 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 52 min |
| Jun 1, 12:42 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jun 7, 5:14 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 31 min |
| Jun 7, 5:42 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 33 min |
| Jun 9, 1:45 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 45 min |
| Jun 12, 11:23 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jun 12, 4:42 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 48 min |
| Jun 12, 5:23 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 52 min |
| Jun 26, 3:53 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jun 26, 9:18 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 42 min |
| Jun 27, 7:03 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 42 min |
| Jun 28, 1:26 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 49 min |
| Jul 1, 7:11 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 49 min |
| Jul 1, 7:41 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 49 min |
| Jul 1, 8:03 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 42 min |
| Jul 1, 8:44 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 61 min |
| Jul 2, 2:43 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MSO | 47 min |
| Jul 4, 9:41 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 23 hr |
| Jul 5, 4:13 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 62 min |
| Jul 5, 5:20 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 55 min |
| Jul 6, 6:36 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 54 min |
| Jul 6, 10:11 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 34 min |
| Jul 9, 1:44 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jul 9, 4:12 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 18 min |
| Jul 9, 6:38 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 37 min |
| Jul 10, 1:20 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Jul 10, 1:53 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 52 min |
| Jul 10, 2:26 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 34 min |
| Jul 10, 3:08 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 37 min |
| Jul 10, 4:40 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 20 min |
| Jul 10, 4:42 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 48 min |
| Jul 10, 5:02 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 43 min |
| Jul 10, 8:01 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 44 min |
| Jul 14, 2:46 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 54 hr |
| Jul 15, 2:07 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 53 min |
| Jul 19, 2:14 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | MSO | 31 hr |
| Jul 19, 2:44 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 12 hr |
| Jul 20, 3:05 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 42 hr |
| Jul 22, 2:56 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 30 hr |
| Jul 23, 4:36 AM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 22 hr |
| Jul 23, 2:39 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 30 hr |
| Jul 28, 10:36 AM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 40 hr |
| Jul 28, 7:11 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 64 min |
| Jul 31, 9:59 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 29 hr |
| Aug 9, 3:16 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 29 min |
| Aug 9, 4:04 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 26 min |
| Aug 9, 4:35 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 25 min |
| Aug 9, 5:06 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 24 min |
| Aug 9, 5:19 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 26 min |
| Aug 9, 5:57 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 33 min |
| Aug 11, 1:03 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | MSO | 56 hr |
| Aug 12, 2:47 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 13 hr |
| Aug 13, 3:22 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 18 hr |
| Aug 16, 3:52 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 17 hr |
| Aug 17, 3:09 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 51 hr |
| Aug 17, 11:56 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | MSO | 57 hr |
| Aug 18, 2:03 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | MSO | 31 hr |
| Aug 19, 3:28 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 18 hr |
| Aug 22, 1:26 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 14 hr |
| Aug 24, 8:59 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | MSO | 14 hr |
| Aug 24, 2:14 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Aug 25, 8:18 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | MSO | 11 hr |
| Aug 29, 12:49 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | MSO | 56 hr |
| Aug 29, 2:41 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 13 hr |
| Aug 29, 2:41 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 3 days |
| Aug 30, 4:43 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 32 min |
| Sep 1, 2:49 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 24 hr |
| Sep 2, 3:52 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 65 hr |
| Sep 2, 1:45 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | MSO | 45 hr |
| Sep 7, 1:48 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | MSO | 22 hr |
| Sep 7, 2:09 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 24 hr |
| Sep 8, 11:57 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | MSO | 33 hr |
| Sep 8, 2:03 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 40 hr |
| Sep 11, 3:26 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 31 hr |
| Sep 12, 2:02 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | MSO | 29 hr |
| Oct 4, 2:27 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 63 min |
| Nov 1, 4:08 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 112 min |
| Nov 3, 1:47 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 3 hr |
| Nov 3, 3:22 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 83 min |
| Nov 9, 3:41 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 3 hr |
| Nov 9, 7:06 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 54 min |
| Nov 9, 8:17 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 58 min |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 3 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 9 |
| Special Weather Statement | 53 |
| Flooding | |
| Areal Flood Advisory | 2 |
| Fire | |
| Red Flag Warning | 24 |
| Fire Weather Watch | 9 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20162018
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.