Alert archive / Montana / Jefferson County

Weather alerts in Jefferson County, Montana, 2012

84 weather alerts in 2012, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Jefferson County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2012. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
84
Warnings
38
Watches
31
Advisories
1
Busiest month
August37 alerts
Busiest day
July 1, 20125 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

Jefferson County, 2012

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings00
Severe thunderstorm warnings110%10%
Flash flood warnings00

Each office's whole area, 2012

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Great Falls, MT: tornado warnings10370%4100%13 min
NWS Great Falls, MT: severe thunderstorm warnings744046%15356%25 min
NWS Great Falls, MT: flash flood warnings10100%10%

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Mar 11, 2:33 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX5 hr
May 21, 2:35 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC85 min
Jun 4, 2:17 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC88 min
Jun 4, 4:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jun 5, 1:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 5, 4:58 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX47 min
Jun 23, 2:55 PM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO30 hr
Jun 24, 4:29 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX8 hr
Jun 24, 8:35 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX24 hr
Jun 24, 8:58 PM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO24 hr
Jun 25, 2:42 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX33 hr
Jun 26, 2:35 AM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO21 hr
Jun 29, 4:25 AM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX48 hr
Jun 29, 5:02 AM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO48 hr
Jul 1, 4:08 AM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX17 hr
Jul 1, 4:45 AM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO14 hr
Jul 1, 4:34 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC86 min
Jul 1, 4:53 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX67 min
Jul 1, 5:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jul 2, 3:06 AM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO11 hr
Jul 2, 3:46 AM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX11 hr
Jul 2, 2:19 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX30 hr
Jul 2, 2:24 PM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO32 hr
Jul 9, 3:33 AM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO24 hr
Jul 9, 4:39 AM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX23 hr
Jul 10, 3:05 AM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO18 hr
Jul 10, 3:10 AM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX18 hr
Jul 11, 2:52 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX23 min
Jul 14, 8:24 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTFX6 hr
Jul 20, 2:58 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC92 min
Jul 22, 3:39 AM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO24 hr
Jul 22, 4:43 AM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX23 hr
Jul 23, 3:45 AM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX40 hr
Jul 26, 2:07 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC113 min
Jul 27, 4:37 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC53 min
Jul 27, 4:51 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX69 min
Jul 28, 2:37 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC53 min
Jul 31, 2:55 PM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX24 hr
Aug 1, 3:36 AM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO7 hr
Aug 1, 10:33 AM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO34 hr
Aug 1, 3:24 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX33 hr
Aug 5, 2:44 PM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO14 hr
Aug 5, 2:44 PM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO29 hr
Aug 5, 4:23 PM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX11 hr
Aug 6, 3:20 AM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX18 hr
Aug 7, 2:00 PM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO31 hr
Aug 9, 3:34 AM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO24 hr
Aug 9, 2:56 PM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX13 hr
Aug 10, 2:07 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX38 min
Aug 10, 3:35 AM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX17 hr
Aug 10, 3:38 AM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO15 hr
Aug 12, 7:22 AM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO24 hr
Aug 13, 4:25 AM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX11 hr
Aug 13, 2:16 PM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO31 hr
Aug 13, 2:40 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX34 hr
Aug 14, 9:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX56 min
Aug 17, 2:13 PM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO37 hr
Aug 19, 3:39 AM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO17 hr
Aug 21, 10:51 AM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO13 hr
Aug 21, 2:45 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 21, 3:12 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX48 min
Aug 22, 7:20 AM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO7 hr
Aug 22, 2:04 PM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX15 hr
Aug 22, 2:11 PM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO22 hr
Aug 22, 2:11 PM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO31 hr
Aug 23, 5:25 AM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX40 hr
Aug 23, 9:35 PM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO24 hr
Aug 27, 3:08 AM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO24 hr
Aug 27, 4:05 AM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX23 hr
Aug 28, 3:26 AM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO66 hr
Aug 28, 3:27 AM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX42 hr
Aug 30, 2:13 PM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO8 hr
Aug 31, 3:37 AM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX11 hr
Aug 31, 2:20 PM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO13 hr
Aug 31, 2:49 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX3 days
Sep 7, 4:01 AM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX11 hr
Sep 7, 3:04 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX4 days
Sep 8, 8:34 AM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO63 hr
Sep 12, 1:31 PM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX24 hr
Sep 13, 3:31 AM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO11 hr
Sep 13, 1:25 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX32 hr
Sep 13, 2:07 PM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO31 hr
Oct 1, 12:48 PM MDTFire Weather WatchMSO16 hr
Oct 2, 4:42 AM MDTRed Flag WarningMSO16 hr

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20112013

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.