Alert archive / Mississippi / Forrest County
Weather alerts in Forrest County, Mississippi, 2015
118 weather alerts in 2015, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Forrest County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2015. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 118
- Warnings
- 25
- Watches
- 17
- Advisories
- 20
- Busiest month
- December20 alerts
- Busiest day
- October 31, 20159 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
0 of 1 tornado warnings covering Forrest County in 2015 had a tornado report inside them.
Forrest County, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 1 | 0 | 100% | 0 | ||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 16 | 10 | 38% | 14 | 93% | 19 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 5 | 2 | 60% | 2 | 100% | 68 min |
Each office's whole area, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Jackson, MS: tornado warnings | 53 | 18 | 66% | 67 | 81% | 17 min |
| NWS Jackson, MS: severe thunderstorm warnings | 441 | 223 | 49% | 526 | 75% | 22 min |
| NWS Jackson, MS: flash flood warnings | 95 | 42 | 56% | 113 | 76% | 67 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 3:01 PM CST | Flash Flood Watch | JAN | 33 hr |
| Jan 3, 10:24 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jan 3, 11:04 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jan 3, 1:43 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 92 min |
| Jan 3, 5:31 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 44 min |
| Jan 6, 5:05 AM CST | Hard Freeze Watch | JAN | 22 hr |
| Jan 6, 3:14 PM CST | Hard Freeze Warning | JAN | 51 hr |
| Jan 7, 3:23 AM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | JAN | 30 hr |
| Jan 7, 2:49 PM CST | Wind Advisory | JAN | 3 hr |
| Jan 8, 9:59 PM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | JAN | 14 hr |
| Jan 9, 11:52 AM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | JAN | 2 hr |
| Feb 16, 1:46 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Mar 2, 1:54 AM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | JAN | 8 hr |
| Mar 2, 2:39 PM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | JAN | 18 hr |
| Mar 10, 12:37 PM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | JAN | 8 hr |
| Mar 11, 3:29 PM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | JAN | 47 hr |
| Mar 15, 5:03 AM CDT | Dense Fog Advisory | JAN | 5 hr |
| Mar 18, 6:00 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 30 min |
| Mar 18, 10:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | 51 min |
| Mar 26, 2:48 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 6, 1:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 114 min |
| Apr 10, 12:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Apr 10, 3:12 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 18 min |
| Apr 15, 3:26 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 34 min |
| Apr 15, 5:55 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 35 min |
| Apr 15, 6:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 15, 6:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | 40 min |
| Apr 16, 7:17 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 28 min |
| Apr 16, 8:11 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 34 min |
| Apr 18, 6:17 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 19, 2:06 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min |
| Apr 25, 9:35 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Apr 25, 10:41 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Apr 25, 1:50 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Apr 27, 9:47 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| May 11, 12:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 11, 4:20 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 40 min |
| May 19, 5:32 AM CDT | Dense Fog Advisory | JAN | 3 hr |
| May 20, 3:15 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 30 min |
| May 24, 5:03 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| May 24, 7:42 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 93 min |
| May 24, 7:54 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 36 min |
| May 25, 2:38 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| May 27, 11:51 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 54 min |
| May 27, 12:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| May 27, 1:03 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 42 min |
| Jun 1, 4:09 AM CDT | Dense Fog Advisory | JAN | 5 hr |
| Jun 13, 12:55 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 35 min |
| Jun 24, 1:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | 63 min |
| Jun 24, 1:46 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | 119 min |
| Jun 24, 1:55 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 65 min |
| Jun 26, 4:45 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 30 min |
| Jun 30, 11:38 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| Jul 1, 5:09 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 36 min |
| Jul 4, 2:20 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 40 min |
| Jul 4, 2:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | 62 min |
| Jul 5, 1:04 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 41 min |
| Jul 5, 1:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | 38 min |
| Jul 5, 1:44 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | 3 hr |
| Jul 5, 1:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | 63 min |
| Jul 12, 3:28 AM CDT | Heat Advisory | JAN | 11 days |
| Jul 18, 5:18 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 27 min |
| Jul 24, 3:40 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 35 min |
| Jul 24, 9:37 PM CDT | Heat Advisory | JAN | 6 days |
| Jul 29, 2:12 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 30, 3:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | 31 min |
| Jul 30, 3:46 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 44 min |
| Jul 30, 4:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | 43 min |
| Jul 30, 7:22 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 23 min |
| Aug 7, 3:05 PM CDT | Heat Advisory | JAN | 37 hr |
| Aug 8, 4:57 AM CDT | Excessive Heat Warning | JAN | 62 hr |
| Aug 8, 7:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | 57 min |
| Aug 8, 7:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | 60 min |
| Aug 10, 4:06 AM CDT | Heat Advisory | JAN | 39 hr |
| Aug 20, 2:15 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 45 min |
| Aug 20, 2:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | 47 min |
| Aug 21, 1:00 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 30 min |
| Oct 15, 2:12 PM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | JAN | 3 days |
| Oct 25, 3:50 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | JAN | 30 hr |
| Oct 26, 4:55 AM CDT | Wind Advisory | JAN | 14 hr |
| Oct 31, 3:54 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | JAN | 20 hr |
| Oct 31, 11:45 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Oct 31, 1:35 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 55 min |
| Oct 31, 3:36 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 54 min |
| Oct 31, 3:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | 53 min |
| Oct 31, 4:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | 38 min |
| Oct 31, 4:19 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | JAN | 29 min |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 25 min |
| Oct 31, 5:42 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 93 min |
| Nov 1, 3:18 AM CST | Flash Flood Watch | JAN | 12 hr |
| Nov 16, 10:35 AM CST | Flash Flood Watch | JAN | 43 hr |
| Nov 16, 3:11 PM CST | Wind Advisory | JAN | 27 hr |
| Nov 17, 7:45 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Nov 18, 1:14 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Nov 18, 2:49 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Nov 18, 8:25 PM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | JAN | 13 hr |
| Nov 21, 3:56 AM CST | Freeze Warning | JAN | 53 hr |
| Nov 28, 4:30 AM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | JAN | 5 hr |
| Dec 10, 12:03 AM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | JAN | 9 hr |
| Dec 12, 2:50 PM CST | Wind Advisory | JAN | 33 hr |
| Dec 16, 4:50 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Dec 21, 5:47 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Dec 22, 5:00 AM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | JAN | 5 hr |
| Dec 22, 2:19 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 41 min |
| Dec 23, 7:45 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | 60 min |
| Dec 23, 1:12 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 48 min |
| Dec 23, 1:33 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 57 min |
| Dec 23, 2:17 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Dec 23, 5:12 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 63 min |
| Dec 24, 12:07 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | 23 min |
| Dec 24, 1:27 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | 3 hr |
| Dec 24, 4:16 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | 3 hr |
| Dec 24, 7:06 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | 3 hr |
| Dec 28, 2:03 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| Dec 28, 2:23 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Dec 28, 5:14 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Dec 28, 5:25 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | 65 min |
| Dec 28, 6:19 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | 56 min |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 16 |
| Tornado Warning | 1 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 2 |
| Tornado Watch | 6 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 31 |
| Special Weather Statement | 25 |
| Flooding | |
| Flash Flood Warning | 5 |
| Flash Flood Watch | 7 |
| Winter | |
| Winter Weather Advisory | 2 |
| Heat | |
| Excessive Heat Warning | 1 |
| Heat Advisory | 4 |
| Cold | |
| Freeze Warning | 1 |
| Hard Freeze Warning | 1 |
| Hard Freeze Watch | 1 |
| Wind Chill Advisory | 1 |
| Wind and dust | |
| Wind Advisory | 4 |
| Fire | |
| Fire Weather Watch | 1 |
| Fog and smoke | |
| Dense Fog Advisory | 9 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20142016
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.