Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 550

November 17, 201531 parishes in Louisiana; 50 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 17, 2015, 7:45 PM CST for 31 parishes in Louisiana; 50 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 17, 2015, 7:45 PM CST (01:45 UTC)
Expired
Nov 18, 2015, 3:00 AM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 81 counties

Ascension Parish, LA, Assumption Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Iberia Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Jefferson Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, Lafourche Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Charles Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, St. Mary Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Terrebonne Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Attala County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Webster County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 17, 8:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Jefferson52 min
Nov 17, 9:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Copiah, Hinds, Jefferson, Warren58 min
Nov 17, 9:16 PM CSTTornado WarningJANHinds, Warren29 min
Nov 17, 9:18 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANEast Carroll, Madison6 hr
Nov 17, 9:37 PM CSTTornado WarningJANHinds, Madison38 min
Nov 17, 9:38 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANConcordia, Franklin, Tensas4 hr
Nov 17, 9:55 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXAmite20 min
Nov 17, 10:00 PM CSTTornado WarningJANMadison, Yazoo31 min
Nov 17, 10:03 PM CSTTornado WarningJANFranklin, Lincoln45 min
Nov 17, 10:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Holmes46 min
Nov 17, 10:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Simpson53 min
Nov 17, 10:40 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANRankin65 min
Nov 17, 10:53 PM CSTTornado WarningJANRankin39 min
Nov 17, 11:09 PM CSTTornado WarningJANRankin23 min
Nov 17, 11:13 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXSaint Helena, Tangipahoa31 min
Nov 17, 11:37 PM CSTTornado WarningJANRankin, Scott23 min
Nov 17, 11:58 PM CSTTornado WarningJANLeake, Scott47 min
Nov 18, 12:14 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANCopiah, Franklin, Hinds, Lawrence, Lincoln, Rankin and 1 more4 hr
Nov 18, 12:22 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJefferson Davis, Lawrence, Marion35 min
Nov 18, 12:22 AM CSTTornado WarningJANAttala, Leake, Neshoba, Winston38 min
Nov 18, 12:36 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay, Webster39 min
Nov 18, 12:46 AM CSTTornado WarningJANChoctaw, Oktibbeha, Winston44 min
Nov 18, 12:50 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANSimpson, Smith40 min
Nov 18, 1:34 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXWashington26 min
Nov 18, 2:13 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXOrleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard62 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 1.8 hours before the alert went out and 96 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2015-11-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 107 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2015-11-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 309 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
107 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
916 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
309 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
502 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

807 
WWUS20 KWNS 180142
SEL0  
SPC WW 180142
LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-180900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 550
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
740 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHERN AND EASTERN LOUISIANA
  SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
  COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 740 PM
  UNTIL 300 AM CST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...SQUALL LINE NOW EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO NORTH-NORTHEAST INTO WESTERN MISSISSIPPI EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
SLOWLY EWD THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY...WHILE INDIVIDUAL STORMS MOVE
RAPIDLY NORTH-NORTHEAST WITHIN IT. SETUP WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF EMBEDDED SUSTAINED STORMS...SMALL BOWING
SEGMENTS...AND POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR
DAMAGING WIND AND AN OCCASIONAL TORNADO.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
JACKSON MISSISSIPPI TO 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HOUMA LOUISIANA. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 547...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 549. WATCH NUMBER 547 549
WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 740 PM CST. 

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21050.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 17, 6:53 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCConcordia97 min
Nov 17, 11:11 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLivingston, Saint John the Baptist, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington94 min
Nov 18, 1:14 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJefferson, Lafourche, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard, Saint Charles and 5 more2 hr
Nov 18, 2:49 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCJefferson, Lafourche, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard6 hr
Nov 18, 5:21 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPlaquemines, Saint Bernard114 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2015Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.