Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 550
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 17, 2015, 7:45 PM CST for 31 parishes in Louisiana; 50 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 17, 2015, 7:45 PM CST (01:45 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 18, 2015, 3:00 AM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 0.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 81 counties
Ascension Parish, LA, Assumption Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Iberia Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Jefferson Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, Lafourche Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Charles Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, St. Mary Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Terrebonne Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Attala County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Webster County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yazoo County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 8:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Jefferson | 52 min |
| Nov 17, 9:02 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Copiah, Hinds, Jefferson, Warren | 58 min |
| Nov 17, 9:16 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Hinds, Warren | 29 min |
| Nov 17, 9:18 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | East Carroll, Madison | 6 hr |
| Nov 17, 9:37 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Hinds, Madison | 38 min |
| Nov 17, 9:38 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Concordia, Franklin, Tensas | 4 hr |
| Nov 17, 9:55 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Amite | 20 min |
| Nov 17, 10:00 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Madison, Yazoo | 31 min |
| Nov 17, 10:03 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Franklin, Lincoln | 45 min |
| Nov 17, 10:29 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala, Holmes | 46 min |
| Nov 17, 10:37 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Copiah, Simpson | 53 min |
| Nov 17, 10:40 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Rankin | 65 min |
| Nov 17, 10:53 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Rankin | 39 min |
| Nov 17, 11:09 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Rankin | 23 min |
| Nov 17, 11:13 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Saint Helena, Tangipahoa | 31 min |
| Nov 17, 11:37 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Rankin, Scott | 23 min |
| Nov 17, 11:58 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Leake, Scott | 47 min |
| Nov 18, 12:14 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Copiah, Franklin, Hinds, Lawrence, Lincoln, Rankin and 1 more | 4 hr |
| Nov 18, 12:22 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Marion | 35 min |
| Nov 18, 12:22 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Attala, Leake, Neshoba, Winston | 38 min |
| Nov 18, 12:36 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Clay, Webster | 39 min |
| Nov 18, 12:46 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Choctaw, Oktibbeha, Winston | 44 min |
| Nov 18, 12:50 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Simpson, Smith | 40 min |
| Nov 18, 1:34 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Washington | 26 min |
| Nov 18, 2:13 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard | 62 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 1.8 hours before the alert went out and 96 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 107 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -3 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 916 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 55 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 309 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 502 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 0.6
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
807 WWUS20 KWNS 180142 SEL0 SPC WW 180142 LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-180900- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 550 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 740 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN LOUISIANA SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 740 PM UNTIL 300 AM CST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...SQUALL LINE NOW EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO NORTH-NORTHEAST INTO WESTERN MISSISSIPPI EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SLOWLY EWD THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY...WHILE INDIVIDUAL STORMS MOVE RAPIDLY NORTH-NORTHEAST WITHIN IT. SETUP WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF EMBEDDED SUSTAINED STORMS...SMALL BOWING SEGMENTS...AND POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND AND AN OCCASIONAL TORNADO. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF JACKSON MISSISSIPPI TO 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HOUMA LOUISIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 547...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 549. WATCH NUMBER 547 549 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 740 PM CST. AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21050. ...CORFIDI
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 6:53 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Concordia | 97 min |
| Nov 17, 11:11 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Livingston, Saint John the Baptist, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington | 94 min |
| Nov 18, 1:14 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Jefferson, Lafourche, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard, Saint Charles and 5 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 18, 2:49 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Jefferson, Lafourche, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard | 6 hr |
| Nov 18, 5:21 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Plaquemines, Saint Bernard | 114 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2015Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.