Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Flash Flood Warnings in 2026
Flash Flood Warning 16, NWS State College, PA
NWS State College, PA issued this flash flood warning at Jul 6, 2026, 5:34 PM EDT for Elk County, McKean County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 3 hr. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 6, 2026, 5:34 PM EDT (21:34 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 6, 2026, 8:35 PM EDT
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS State College, PA
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Elk County, PA, McKean County, PA
The radar
The State College radar (KCCX), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 5:38 PM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | Kane, PA | Two reports of flooded basements. |
| Jul 6, 6:20 PM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | Kane, PA | Several roads are flooded, and numerous homes have flooded basements. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 4 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 147 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1136 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 15 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -4 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 41 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
937
WGUS51 KCTP 062134
FFWCTP
PAC047-083-070045-
/O.NEW.KCTP.FF.W.0016.260706T2134Z-260707T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service State College PA
534 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026
The National Weather Service in State College has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Northwestern Elk County in north central Pennsylvania...
Southwestern McKean County in north central Pennsylvania...
* Until 845 PM EDT.
* At 534 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 3 inches of rain
have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 1 inch are possible
in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
shortly.
HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
other poor drainage and low-lying areas.
* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Kane, Wilcox, James City and Mount Jewett.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.
&&
LAT...LON 4163 7896 4170 7881 4178 7865 4159 7858
4152 7896 4153 7896 4155 7896 4158 7896
4161 7896 4162 7896
FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
$$
Evanego1 follow-up statement
162
WGUS71 KCTP 070035
FFSCTP
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
835 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026
PAC047-083-070045-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-260707T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Elk PA-McKean PA-
835 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN ELK AND SOUTHWESTERN MCKEAN
COUNTIES HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A FLOOD WARNING...
The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.
A Flood Watch remains in effect until 200 AM EDT for a portion of
central Pennsylvania.
&&
LAT...LON 4163 7896 4170 7881 4178 7865 4159 7858
4152 7896 4153 7896 4155 7896 4158 7896
4161 7896 4162 7896
$$
DangeloWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 6, 3:37 PM EDT, 1 hour 57 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- 1) LOCALIZED FLASH AND URBAN FLOODING IMPACTS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
Area forecast discussion, Jul 6, 3:37 PM EDT, 1 hour 57 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA Issued by National Weather Service Binghamton NY 337 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... * THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN EXPANDED IN AREA TO INCLUDE THE NORTHERN TIER OF CENTRAL PA AND EXTENDED IN TIME THROUGH 2 AM TONIGHT. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) LOCALIZED FLASH AND URBAN FLOODING IMPACTS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1: LOCALIZED FLASH AND URBAN FLOODING IMPACTS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG A STATIONARY FRONTAL ZONE AND INTERACTING WITH A FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE INITIATION OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF HIGHLY EFFICIENT RAINFALL RATES WITH REPEAT/TRAINING POTENTIAL. THE GREATEST RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING HAS SHIFTED FROM THE EASTERN INTO THE WEST/SOUTHWEST PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA (BASED ON THE HREF AND REFS MODEL OUTPUT) WHERE FFGS ARE LOWER AND TERRAIN INFLUENCES ARE MORE IN-PLAY. HOWEVER, CONVECTION IS ALSO FIRING ALONG ZONES OF CONVERGENCE IN THE NORTHERN TIER, SO WE HAVE EXPANDED THE WATCH TO INCLUDE THAT AREA. WITH CAMS SHOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN THROUGH MIDNIGHT, WE HAVE EXTENDED THE END TIME OF THE WATCH TO 06Z TUE. THE SEVERE STORM THREAT ALSO DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE AS ROBUST AS IN PRIOR DAYS (54 SVR+TOR WARNINGS IN THE PAST 3 DAYS). THIS IS REFLECTED IN MOST OF THE AREA IN A GENERAL OR NON-SEVERE TSTM OUTLOOK AND ONLY LEVEL 1/5 MRGL RISK COVERING THE SOUTHWEST THIRD OF THE CWA WHERE HIGHER CAPE AND STEEPER LAPSE RATES WILL BE MAXIMIZED. THE PATTERN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK CAN BE SUMMARIZED MORE OR LESS BY TYPICAL EARLY JULY UNSETTLED/HUMID SUMMERTIME CONDITIONS WITH A LOW PROBABILITY OF SIGNIFICANT HAZARDOUS WEATHER. && .AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... WITH PERSISTENT EASTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE REGION, MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS ARE LIKELY AT MOST TAF SITES, THOUGH JST AND AOO LIKELY SEE A PERIOD OF VFR CEILINGS THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON, BUT INSTABILITY WILL BE MORE LIMITED THAN IT HAS BEEN THE PAST FEW DAYS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL, LEADING TO REDUCED VISIBILITY AS THEY MOVE OVER ANY AIRFIELDS. ANOTHER NIGHT OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG APPEARS LIKELY FOR MONDAY NIGHT BEHIND THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS. Outlook... TUE...RESTRICTIONS POSSIBLE IN A.M. FOG AND P.M. T-STORMS. WED...AM FOG POSSIBLE, THEN MOSTLY DRY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE SHRA/TSRA THU-FRI...RESTRICTIONS POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS/STORMS, MOST WIDESPREAD ON FRIDAY. SAT...IMPROVING CONDITIONS && .CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flood Watch until 2 AM EDT Tuesday for PAZ004>006-010>012- 017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059- 063>066. && WHAT HAS CHANGED...Colbert KEY MESSAGES...Steinbugl/Colbert DISCUSSION...Steinbugl/Colbert AVIATION...Colbert/Bauco
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 6, 2:07 PM EDT, 3 hours 27 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 207 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026 PAZ004>006-010>012-018-019-037-041-042-045-046-049>053-057>059-066- 071815- Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Northern Centre- Southern Centre-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton- Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia- Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Lancaster- 207 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT TUESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather. PAZ017-024>028-033>036-056-063>065-071815- Clearfield-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-Bedford- Fulton-Franklin-Perry-Cumberland-Adams-York- 207 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT TUESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Isolated to widely scattered damaging wind gusts will be possible with the strongest storms this afternoon and evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather. Colbert
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 6, 1:56 PM EDT, 3 hours 38 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
156 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0943 PM Flash Flood 1 SE Hummelstown 40.26N 76.70W
07/05/2026 Dauphin PA Emergency Mngr
Route 322 was closed between the Middletown
Road exit and Hersheypark Drive due to
flooding.
&&Local storm report, Jul 6, 2:03 PM EDT, 3 hours 31 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
203 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1040 PM Flash Flood 2 NE Lancaster 40.06N 76.28W
07/05/2026 Lancaster PA Emergency Mngr
A water rescue was performed for an
occupied, submerged vehicle in flood waters
near the intersection of Pleasure Road and
Sunnybrook Drive in Lancaster.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 8:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon | 45 min |
| Jul 5, 8:10 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Franklin | 19 min |
| Jul 5, 8:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York | 72 min |
| Jul 5, 8:19 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Dauphin, York | 3 hr |
| Jul 5, 8:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Adams, Cumberland, Franklin | 60 min |
| Jul 5, 8:38 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Centre, Huntingdon | 3 hr |
| Jul 5, 8:49 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York | 3 hr |
| Jul 5, 9:04 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | CTP | Centre | 41 min |
| Jul 5, 9:16 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Adams, Cumberland, Lancaster, York | 3 hr |
| Jul 5, 9:20 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Lancaster, Lebanon | 2 hr |
| Jul 5, 10:10 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | CTP | Lancaster, Lebanon | 35 min |
| Jul 5, 11:19 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | CTP | Dauphin, York | 3 hr |
| Jul 5, 11:25 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | CTP | Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York | 3 hr |
| Jul 5, 11:28 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | CTP | Lancaster, Lebanon | 3 hr |
| Jul 6, 2:57 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Potter, Tioga | 108 min |
| Jul 6, 4:10 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Tioga | 2 hr |
| Jul 6, 6:03 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | CTP | Elk | 42 min |
| Jul 6, 6:13 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Elk | 3 hr |
| Jul 6, 6:27 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Potter, Tioga | 6 hr |
| Jul 6, 6:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cameron, Elk | 41 min |
| Jul 6, 7:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cameron, Clearfield, Elk | 52 min |
| Jul 6, 7:50 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Clearfield | 3 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2026Every flash flood warning in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.