Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Flash Flood Warnings in 2026

Flash Flood Warning 13, NWS State College, PA

July 5, 2026Lancaster County, Lebanon County, Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this flash flood warning at Jul 5, 2026, 9:20 PM EDT for Lancaster County, Lebanon County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 2 hr. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 5, 2026, 9:20 PM EDT (01:20 UTC)
Expired
Jul 5, 2026, 11:28 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
NWS State College, PA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Flood severity
None

Counties Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 156 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 5, 9:43 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD1 Wsw Ephrata, PAA water rescue was reported in Ephrata borough near Old Mill Road and Opal Street.
Jul 5, 11:04 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD2 Nw Myerstown, PAStreet/road flooding.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 23 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 00:00Z, 1.3 hours before the alert went out and 182 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 00:00Z on 2026-07-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2754 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 00:00Z on 2026-07-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 25 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2754 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-6 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1313 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
25 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

617 
WGUS51 KCTP 060120
FFWCTP
PAC071-075-060430-
/O.NEW.KCTP.FF.W.0013.260706T0120Z-260706T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service State College PA
920 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

The National Weather Service in State College has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northeastern Lancaster County in south central Pennsylvania...
  Southeastern Lebanon County in south central Pennsylvania...

* Until 1230 AM EDT.

* At 920 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain 
  have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are 
  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected 
  to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
           urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Lebanon, Ephrata, New Holland, Akron, Myerstown, Leola, Denver, 
  Reamstown, Rothsville, Sand Hill, Newmanstown, Lebanon South, 
  Adamstown, Avon, Richland, Fredericksburg, Brickerville, Terre 
  Hill, Schaefferstown and Churchtown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4037 7623 4036 7621 4031 7615 4014 7587
      4010 7594 4005 7615 4046 7651 4047 7640

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

Evanego
1 follow-up statement
707 
WGUS71 KCTP 060328
FFSCTP

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
1128 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

PAC071-075-060338-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FF.W.0013.000000T0000Z-260706T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lancaster PA-Lebanon PA-
1128 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN LANCASTER AND SOUTHEASTERN 
LEBANON COUNTIES HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A FLOOD WARNING...

Flood waters are receding. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

A Flood Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT Monday for a 
portion of central Pennsylvania.

&&

LAT...LON 4037 7623 4036 7621 4031 7615 4014 7587
      4010 7594 4005 7615 4046 7651 4047 7640

$$

Evanego

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 5, 8:06 PM EDT, 1 hour 14 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • 1) Breakdown of heat wave pattern gives rise to severe storms and torrential downpours today and tonight; flood risk lingering in the east on Monday.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 5, 8:06 PM EDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
806 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
* Targeted Moderate Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook (level 3/4)
  for east-central Pennsylvania through tonight
* Flood Watch issued this afternoon through Monday for east-
  central Pennsylvania

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Breakdown of heat wave pattern gives rise to
severe storms and torrential downpours today and tonight; flood
risk lingering in the east on Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Breakdown of heat wave pattern gives rise to
severe storms and torrential downpours today and tonight; flood
risk lingering in the east on Monday.

40 severe thunderstorm warnings issued in the past 2 days. The
days following a transition from an extreme heat pattern are
often marked by severe/active weather, and that trend continues
through at least Monday. As the heat dome shifts to the west and
troughing develops over the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley/Northeast, the
upcoming week will feature relatively cooler (more seasonal)
temperatures with a bullish signal for almost daily rain chances
particularly early and late in the week.

Another active wx day ahead with dual severe T-storm and flash
flood risks. We anticipate another diurnal uptick in convective
development within a very warm, moist and increasingly unstable
environment indicative of steep low-mid level lapse rates.
Pockets of stronger deep layer shear 30+ kt may exist in the
upper OH Valley and eastern PA, but the general expectation is
for pulse to multicell storms to once again merge/form into line
segments with some cold pool organization to promote damaging
wind potential from mid afternoon into the evening. Terrain
boundaries will also play an important role in initiating/organizing
convection given lack of other strong forcing. SPC placed the
highest damaging wind probs near/southeast of I81/78 where max
temps should reach 90F.

Focus will evolve from severe to flash flood/hydro ops by later
this evening and continue into Monday as a robust +RA signal
continues to manifest over east-central PA. Atmos conditions
will be quite favorable for heavy rainfall and flash flooding
potential with 2+ inch pwats correlating to intense rain rates
>2 in/hr. Still some question on degree of repeating/back-
building storms along q-stnry/wavy frontal zone. Latest
HREF/REFS mean QPF guidance is signaling 1-3" in the 24hr period
ending 00Z Tue with PMM/LPMM max values exceeding 5 inches. WPC
coordinated a targeted and relatively small moderate excessive
rainfall outlook (level 3/4) within a broader level 2/4 or SLGT
risk area. We issued a relatively large/broad flood watch along
with WFO PHI as there remains some spatial uncertainty to
exactly where the greatest rainfall will occur. The setup
(multiple rounds of slow moving/torrential downpours) favors
locally significant flash flooding particularly in terrain areas
and highly urbanized corridors. One limiting factor is
obviously the drought conditions and corresponding elevated FFG
values that may offset the overall risk to some extent.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Convection generally confined to the eastern half of
Pennsylvania to begin the forecast. Tried to time the arrival of
the main areas but there will be additional -TSRA through
midnight over the eastern airfields.

The remainder of the night will see MVFR to IFR with lingering
light rain. Dewpoints near 70 combined with earlier rainfall
will result in patchy BR/FG. Confidence of LIFR in FG is around
40% in any one location.

Precipitation returns during the afternoon Monday with isolated
TSRA through the remainder of the forecast period. Expect MVFR
to IFR during this time.

Outlook...

Tue...Restrictions possible in A.M. fog and P.M. T-storms. Wed-
Fri...Restrictions possible in showers/storms, most widespread
on Friday.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Rare Heat at Harrisburg: 3 consecutive days with maxT >= 100F
from July 2-4, 2026. The last time this streak occurred was
July 1999 (2x) and is only the 6th time on record going back to
1888.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Monday evening for PAZ017>019-024>028-
033>036-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-063>066.

&&

WHAT HAS CHANGED...Steinbugl/Colbert
KEY MESSAGES...Steinbugl/Colbert
DISCUSSION...Steinbugl/Colbert
AVIATION...Tyburski
CLIMATE...Steinbugl
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 5, 9:17 PM EDT, 3 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
917 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

PAZ036-056>059-063>066-070130-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-
Lancaster-
917 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 465 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ017>019-024>028-033>035-042-045-046-049>053-070130-
Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-
Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-
Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-
917 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ004>006-010>012-037-041-070130-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Tioga-
Northern Lycoming-
917 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Heavy rain from thunderstorms may also cause flooding on Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 5, 8:42 PM EDT, 38 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
842 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0839 PM     Flash Flood      Hummelstown             40.27N 76.71W
07/05/2026                   Dauphin            PA   911 Call Center

            Numerous cars underwater in Hummelstown near
            Swatara Creek. Many reports of 3.5-4.0
            inches of rain in 45 minutes. Water rescues
            in progress.

&&
Local storm report, Jul 5, 8:49 PM EDT, 31 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
849 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0847 PM     Flash Flood      1 WNW Hershey           40.29N 76.67W
07/05/2026                   Dauphin            PA   911 Call Center

            Water rescues underway on Hersheypark Drive
            near the Giant Center.

&&
Local storm report, Jul 5, 9:01 PM EDT, 19 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
901 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 PM     Flash Flood      Hummelstown             40.27N 76.71W
07/05/2026                   Dauphin            PA   NWS Employee

            Flooded underpass beneath a railroad
            crossing in Hummelstown.

&&
Special weather statement, Jul 5, 9:04 PM EDT, 16 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
904 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

PAZ012-018-019-060145-
Northern Centre PA-Northern Clinton PA-Southern Centre PA-
904 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL CENTRE AND WEST CENTRAL
CLINTON COUNTIES THROUGH 945 PM EDT...

At 904 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Bellefonte, moving north at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Bellefonte, Milesburg, Snow Shoe, Clarence, Moshannon, Monument,
Unionville, and Orviston.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Very heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4090 7773 4090 7798 4118 7803 4117 7767
TIME...MOT...LOC 0104Z 182DEG 12KT 4098 7786

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Dangelo
Local storm report, Jul 5, 9:18 PM EDT, 2 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
918 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 N Rouzerville         39.77N 77.53W
07/05/2026                   Franklin           PA   911 Call Center

            Trees down on wires on Mentzer Gap Road.

&&
Local storm report, Jul 5, 9:20 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
920 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NE Marion             39.88N 77.64W
07/05/2026                   Franklin           PA   911 Call Center

            Trees and wires down across Wayne Road.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 5, 8:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPFranklin, Fulton, Huntingdon45 min
Jul 5, 8:10 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPFranklin19 min
Jul 5, 8:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPDauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York72 min
Jul 5, 8:19 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPDauphin, York3 hr
Jul 5, 8:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPAdams, Cumberland, Franklin60 min
Jul 5, 8:38 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPCentre, Huntingdon3 hr
Jul 5, 8:49 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPDauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York3 hr
Jul 5, 9:04 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPCentre41 min
Jul 5, 9:16 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPAdams, Cumberland, Lancaster, York3 hr
Jul 5, 10:10 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPLancaster, Lebanon35 min
Jul 5, 11:19 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningCTPDauphin, York3 hr
Jul 5, 11:25 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningCTPDauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York3 hr
Jul 5, 11:28 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningCTPLancaster, Lebanon3 hr
Jul 6, 2:57 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPPotter, Tioga108 min
Jul 6, 4:10 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPTioga2 hr
Jul 6, 5:34 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPElk, McKean3 hr
Jul 6, 6:03 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPElk42 min
Jul 6, 6:13 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPElk3 hr
Jul 6, 6:27 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPPotter, Tioga6 hr
Jul 6, 6:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCameron, Elk41 min
Jul 6, 7:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCameron, Clearfield, Elk52 min
Jul 6, 7:50 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPClearfield3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2026Every flash flood warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.