Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
730 PM EDT Sat May 3 2025

...New Update Incoming Line of Storms...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 724 PM EDT Sat May 3 2025

A line of strong thunderstorms will continue to move across North
and Central Georgia over the coming hours. Prior precipitation
helped to somewhat limit instability. However, increasing
southwest flow ahead of the line and clearing skies have allowed
for further destabilization. Moderate low level shear and a
corridor of CAPE values around 1500 J/Kg from Columbus to ATL
mean the line should remain strong and organized. While gusty
straight-line winds are the main threat, a few quick spin-up
tornados are not out of the question. A watch has been issued
across much of the area, including the ATL metro, for this line.
Conditions should clear by around 2-3Z with lingering showers to
around 4z in the metro.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday)
Issued at 208 PM EDT Sat May 3 2025

At a glance:

-Showers ending overnight.

- The front will clear out tomorrow morning, leaving cooler
temperatures in it's wake.

A frontal boundary moving through the state today with showers
across the area. We should continue to see intermittent showers
through midnight or so with things slowly clearing out through
daybreak Sun. Instability is fairly limited across the state this
afternoon so we are not seeing much in the way of thunderstorms
at the moment. We still could see an isolated thunderstorm or two
before this front moves out but not expecting anything severe.

Hi-Res models showing a second, more organized line moving into
NW GA right around 20z-22z. It pushes through the ATL/CSG areas
right around sunset and continues moving SE over night. This will
be the best timeframe to see and thunderstorms but still not
expecting much in the way of a severe storm.

A drier cooler airmass wraps around the backside of the main low
pressure center over KY Sun bringing mostly clear skies to north
and Central GA. Temps Sun will be mainly in the 60s and 70s with
some near 80 deg temps across east central GA. Lows Sun night will
dip down into the 40s and 50s.

01

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday morning through next Friday)
Issued at 208 PM EDT Sat May 3 2025

-Drier and cooler conditions are likely early next week

-Unsettled weather is likely to return mid-week sticking around
through at least the end of the work week

No major changes made to the extended forecast. At the start of
the long term, an upper low becomes more centered over the Ohio
and TN Valley Regions with the surface low occluded at this point
and the surface front draped across the Mid-Atlantic States well
to our east. This positioning will allow a cooler drier airmass
to wrap around the backside of the low and move in across North
ans central GA. We should see daytime highs Monday Tuesday mainly
in the 70s with some lower 80s across portions of Central GA.
Night time Lows will dip down into the 40s and 50s as well.

As we head towards mid-week (Wednesday), latest ensembles indicate
the upper low will lift to the northeast and the ridge over the
Central US flattens as another broad trough takes up residence over
the western two-thirds of the CONUS. West to southwest flow at the
midlevels will usher in several weak disturbances across the
Southeast through at least the end of the week. Thus, unsettled
weather in the way of showers and thunderstorms return between
Wednesday and Friday. At this time, rain and thunder chances look to
be highest during the afternoon into the early evening coinciding
with peak heating. Temperatures during this timeframe will remain
'cooler' primarily due to cloud cover with forecast values in the
70s in most locations -- aside from northeast GA where temperatures
may only reach the 60s.

01

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 722 PM EDT Sat May 3 2025

Current conditions MVFR with winds becoming more SW ahead of line of
thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms within the line may become strong
with winds generally gusting 30 to 40 kts. Cannot rule out gusts
over 50kts and small hail. Conditions may temporarily drop to IFR
within and near storms though will climb IFR to MVFR overnight.
Winds remain out of W 3 to 8 kts overnight. Winds tomorrow out of W
to NW at 10 kts gusting to 20 kts during the day.

//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...

Medium Cigs overnight into early Sunday morning.
High all other elements.

SM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          55  73  48  74 /  90   0   0   0
Atlanta         55  72  50  73 /  80   0   0   0
Blairsville     48  65  42  66 /  90  10   0  10
Cartersville    51  70  45  72 /  60   0   0   0
Columbus        56  75  50  77 /  80   0   0   0
Gainesville     55  70  49  71 /  90   0   0   0
Macon           58  78  50  78 /  80   0   0   0
Rome            51  69  45  72 /  40  10   0   0
Peachtree City  53  73  47  75 /  90   0   0   0
Vidalia         64  82  56  82 /  80  20   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...SM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
640 PM EDT Sat May 3 2025

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-042245-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
640 PM EDT Sat May 3 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north and central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight...

A line of storms will move through north and central Georgia
between 6 PM and midnight. A couple of storms within the line may
produce damaging wind gusts in the 40 to 60 mph range, mainly
before 10 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

Scattered thunderstorms will return to the region between
Wednesday and Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight, but
Spotters are encouraged to submit reports of severe weather
through the web by going to weather.gov/atlanta.

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Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
728 PM EDT Sat May 3 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     4 N Conasauga Lake      34.92N 84.66W
05/03/2025  M61 MPH          Murray             GA   Mesonet

            Mesonet station COHG1 4 N Conasauga Lake.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
739 PM EDT Sat May 3 2025

GAZ033-044-053-054-040015-
Fayette GA-North Fulton GA-Coweta GA-South Fulton GA-
739 PM EDT Sat May 3 2025

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northwestern Fayette,
northwestern Coweta and southwestern Fulton Counties through 815 PM
EDT...

At 739 PM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Brownsville to near Byers Crossroads, and moving
southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Atlanta, Newnan, City of South Fulton, East Point, Union City,
College Park, Fairburn, Tyrone, Palmetto, Chattahoochee Hill,
Arnco-Sargent, Bankhead, Dunaway Gardens, Cascade Heights,
Cannongate, Lakewood Park, Campbellton, Roscoe, Sandtown, and Madras.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for
north central, northwestern and west central Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3352 8481 3355 8483 3359 8481 3363 8475
      3362 8474 3365 8471 3366 8466 3369 8465
      3368 8464 3372 8460 3382 8446 3370 8439
      3364 8445 3365 8446 3363 8446 3342 8466
      3338 8477 3336 8490
TIME...MOT...LOC 2339Z 300DEG 25KT 3380 8472 3355 8490

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH