Tornado Warning 35, NWS Raleigh, NC

095 
WWUS52 KRAH 082041
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
441 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

NCC069-077-181-082100-
/O.CON.KRAH.TO.W.0035.000000T0000Z-240808T2100Z/
Vance NC-Granville NC-Franklin NC-
441 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT FOR SOUTHERN
VANCE...EAST CENTRAL GRANVILLE AND NORTHWESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES...

At 441 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Kittrell, or 8 miles northwest of Louisburg, moving
northwest at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Henderson and Kittrell around 445 PM EDT.
  Oxford around 450 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Dabney, South Henderson, Ingleside, and Gillburg.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3644 7836 3630 7831 3627 7831 3621 7828
      3611 7833 3612 7844 3632 7867
TIME...MOT...LOC 2041Z 150DEG 38KT 3619 7839 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

AS

778 
WWUS52 KRAH 082058
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
458 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

NCC069-077-181-082107-
/O.EXP.KRAH.TO.W.0035.000000T0000Z-240808T2100Z/
Vance NC-Granville NC-Franklin NC-
458 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHERN VANCE...EAST CENTRAL GRANVILLE
AND NORTHWESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 500 PM EDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for central North
Carolina.

&&

LAT...LON 3644 7836 3630 7831 3627 7831 3621 7828
      3611 7833 3612 7844 3632 7867
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 150DEG 39KT 3634 7850 

$$

AS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
400 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
The center of what is now Tropical Storm Debby, located over the
central border between North and South Carolina early this
afternoon, will move northward through the southern and western
Piedmont of North Carolina through tonight. A trailing surface front
will hold over western and central North Carolina Friday through
Saturday, then slowly sweep east through the area Sunday into
Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 308 PM Thursday...

* The threat of flooding will continue through tonight...
* Isolated tornadoes remain possible in the northeast through early
  this evening...

Forecast through tonight hinges on Debby's impacts, which have
altered a bit since this morning. The center of Debby was located
near the central border of NC/SC early this afternoon, but its rain
footprint has been expansive. The large solid shield of steady
moderate to heavy rain from earlier today is shifting to our N and
W, with only the Kerr Lake/Lake Gaston region still seeing the more
steady rain, however several bands of heavy tropical rain with
isolated convective elements continue to pivot up through central
NC. Clouds have been abundant today, but one-minute imagery from
GOES reveals numerous thin spots and holes between rainbands, and
these will act in a feedback loop by inciting higher CAPE with
heating which will foster and support additional rainbands with
isolated convection rotating around Debby through tonight as it
lifts northward into and through the S and W Piedmont. With PWs
still running 150-175% of normal through tonight, will maintain high
pops of likely to categorical nearly everywhere but with the higher
pops shifting into the Coastal Plain tonight as the greater upper
divergence shifts to our N. We've already had roughly 2 to 6 inches
of rain since early Wed afternoon, and we're poised to get as much
as 1 to 2.5 inches of additional rain through tonight. Given this
additional rain potential with wet soils and high water in creeks
and streams, will keep the flood watch in place. Last but not least,
the threat for isolated tornadoes will continue in our NE through
the afternoon, where marginal to moderate CAPE will couple with
abundant low level vorticity as shifting winds with height yield
very looped hodographs to create conditions favorable for a few
quick spin-ups. Lows will be mostly in the 70s. -GIH

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 340 PM Thursday...

Still expect that Debby's center will be well N of the NC border by
Fri morning and will have weakened to a depression and transitioned
to post-tropical. Some residual rain may be pivoting around the
south side of the circulation center Fri morning, and as we approach
afternoon, we should see it becoming increasingly convective, lining
up along a trailing front over the Piedmont. This band of still
tropical-ish rain (deep LCL-0C layer near 4 km) with embedded
thunder should shift slowly E through the day, with additional
cellular convection to its E over the Coastal Plain where at least
marginal SBCAPE is expected by afternoon. All of this will result in
chance pops west, likely to categorical east where PWs will still be
around 2.5". With good shower/storm coverage in the east and
factoring in antecedent conditions, the flood watch may need to be
held in place as scheduled through Fri, at least for the central and
eastern areas. Expect highs from the low 80s E (more rain and
clouds) to upper 80s W (some sunshine). Rain chances should push to
far SE sections Fri night, as broad mid level troughing over the
Great Lakes helps to push the higher PW to coastal sections. Lows
from around 70 to the mid 70s. -GIH

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 400 PM Thursday...

There are signs that we will finally dry out over all but perhaps
our southeast starting this weekend, with near or slightly below
normal temps. The front trailing from Debby's remnant low will have
become a full synoptic front, sitting near the Piedmont/Coastal
Plain interface early Sat. An expansive cool high pressure area will
cover much of the northern and central CONUS, settling behind the
deep and large mid level low centered over Lk Superior early Sat,
and it's this high that will eventually nudge the southern portion
of the surface front to the SE, bringing drier and more seasonable
(even a bit cool for this time of year) air through the NC Piedmont,
although there is a chance that the front will hold up over the
Coastal Plain and Sandhills until Mon, when the mid level low shifts
E to the St Lawrence Valley. Will have low chance pops, not far from
climatology, focused across the S and E from this weekend through
early next week. By Tue, as the mid level low shifts to New England
and the Canadian Maritimes, the front should settle near the NC/SC
border, and will carry very low to no pops by mid week. Highs will
be mostly in the 80s through Tue, then around 80 Wed/Thu. -GIH

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 235 PM Thursday...

Adverse aviation conditions associated with Tropical Storm Debby,
including widespread MVFR to IFR cigs and periods of heavy
downpours, as well as strong shifting winds with height, will
persist into tonight.

The center of what is now TS Debby was located near the central
border between North and South Carolina early this afternoon, and
will continue to push northward, moving through our western areas
including near or over the Triad region through tonight. Much of the
solid area of heavy rain has shifted north of the terminals, however
bands of heavy rain continue to spiral around Debby's center, and
all terminals can expect a period of brief IFR vsbys within these
downpours. All but the extreme SE portions of central NC have MVFR
to IFR cigs at this hour, and these low cigs will continue through
daybreak Fri, with a high confidence in IFR cigs dominating from 22z
today to at least 13z Fri (although RWI may have a period of MVFR
cigs). Vsbys through tonight will be mostly MVFR to VFR, but as
noted will dip to IFR within heavy rain. Low level wind shear
remains a threat at INT/GSO through 22z today, although even outside
of LLWS criteria, winds will be strong and shifting with height at
all central NC terminals, creating potentially hazardous flight
conditions for some aircraft, especially smaller aircraft. As the
center of Debby lifts into VA Fri morning, our cigs are expected to
improve to MVFR then VFR between 14z and 18z, with rain becoming
more spotty in general, although FAY/RWI have a good chance of
seeing a line of heavy showers and embedded storms through the end
of the TAF valid time frame.

Looking beyond 18z Fri, shower/storm chances will persist through
Sat night mainly in the E, ahead of a slow moving cold front.
Otherwise, generally VFR conditions are expected, with isolated
afternoon storms mainly E through mid week. -GIH

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Friday evening for NCZ007>011-021>028-
038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Hartfield
NEAR TERM...Hartfield
SHORT TERM...Hartfield
LONG TERM...Hartfield
AVIATION...Hartfield

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
105 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

NCZ021>024-038>040-073>077-083>086-088-089-091015-
Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Stanly-
Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Anson-Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-
Sampson-
105 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

Rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Debby will result in
an increased threat for flooding across the watch area. Rainfall
amounts of 2 to 4 inches have already fallen across the watch area.
An additional 1 to 3 inches of rain is expected through early
Friday, with locally higher amounts possible.

Additionally, isolated wind gusts of 35 to 45 mph within heavier
rain bands could lead to scattered power outages and downed trees
through early Friday.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

People living along rivers and creeks should make preparations for
possible moderate river flooding by late week and lingering into
next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ007>011-025>028-041>043-078-091015-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-
Wake-Johnston-Wilson-Wayne-
105 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...
...TORNADO WATCH 614 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Tornado Watch.

Rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Debby will result in
an increased threat for flooding across the watch area. Rainfall
amounts of 2 to 4 inches have already fallen across the watch area.
An additional 1 to 3 inches of rain is expected through early
Friday, with locally higher amounts possible.

Additionally, isolated tornadoes will be possible through the
early evening as rain bands continue to move through the area.

Finally, isolated wind gusts of 35 to 45 mph within heavier rain
bands could lead to scattered power outages and downed trees through
early Friday.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

People living along rivers and creeks should make preparations for
possible moderate river flooding by late week and lingering into
next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
331 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Lexington               35.81N 80.26W
08/08/2024                   Davidson           NC   Dept of Highways

            Several roads blocked by fallen trees across
            Davidson County including Tussey Rd, Kindley
            Rd, Country Ln, Tussey Ave, Old Burkhart Rd,
            Midway School Rd, and Lake Shore Ave.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
332 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg Pittsboro               35.72N 79.17W
08/08/2024                   Chatham            NC   Dept of Highways

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from
            Pittsboro. Several reports of trees down
            blocking roads across Chatham County
            including Stone Hill Road, Old Graham Road,
            Sandy branch Church Road, and Hadley Mill
            Road.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
333 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg Lexington               35.81N 80.26W
08/08/2024                   Davidson           NC   Dept of Highways

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from
            Lexington. Several roads blocked by fallen
            trees across Davidson County including
            Tussey Rd, Kindley Rd, Country Ln, Tussey
            Ave, Old Burkhart Rd, Midway School Rd, and
            Lake Shore Ave.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
335 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg Winston-Salem           36.11N 80.26W
08/08/2024                   Forsyth            NC   Dept of Highways

            Numerous trees reported down, many blocking
            roads including Conrad Road, Franklin Road,
            Conrad Sawmill Road, Reynolda Road, and
            Germanton Road.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
346 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

NCZ026-027-043-082030-
Nash NC-Franklin NC-Wilson NC-
346 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

...GUSTY DOWNPOURS WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN NASH...WEST CENTRAL
WILSON AND CENTRAL FRANKLIN COUNTIES THROUGH 430 PM EDT...

At 346 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking gusty showers over Bailey,
or 17 miles southwest of Nashville, moving north at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Louisburg, Bailey, Bunn, Spring Hope, Middlesex, Sims, Pilot, and
Buckhorn Reservoir.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Doppler radar has indicated weak rotation with this storm. If the
storm intensifies and rotation strengthens, a warning may need to be
issued.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for central North
Carolina.

&&

LAT...LON 3577 7801 3570 7811 3570 7816 3571 7816
      3573 7818 3573 7821 3575 7822 3576 7824
      3577 7825 3579 7824 3587 7828 3590 7831
      3590 7833 3591 7835 3608 7844 3614 7832
      3618 7814
TIME...MOT...LOC 1946Z 158DEG 25KT 3576 7814

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

AS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
355 PM EDT Thu Aug 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0329 PM     Tornado          3 WNW Ingleside         36.20N 78.34W
08/08/2024                   Franklin           NC   Emergency Mngr

            Debris, power lines, and limbs down at the
            1400 block of Rocky Ford Road.

&&

JD