Alert archive / Alabama / Special Weather Statements in 2023

Special Weather Statement, NWS Mobile, AL

June 19, 2023Escambia County, Alabama

NWS Mobile, AL issued this special weather statement at Jun 19, 2023, 2:25 PM CDT for Escambia County, Alabama. It was in force for 50 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 19, 2023, 2:25 PM CDT (19:25 UTC)
Expired: Jun 19, 2023, 3:15 PM CDT
In force: 50 min
Issued by: NWS Mobile, AL
Hail: 0.50 in
Wind: 50

County Escambia County, AL

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 242 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 458 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -133 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 749 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 183 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 253 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.2
Supercell composite: 3.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 19, 1:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 19, 1:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
105 PM CDT Mon Jun 19 2023

...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 103 PM CDT Mon Jun 19 2023

General VFR conditions were noted across most of the forecast
area at 17z, with the exception of low MVFR conditions in showers
and thunderstorms stretching across southern Mobile and Baldwin
counties and near coastal areas. Am expecting this convection to
continue into the afternoon hours, with additional showers and
thunderstorms forming over the area at this time. Local drop to
low end MVFR conditions are expected in the stronger storms. South
winds 10 to 15 knots are expected through the afternoon, with
stronger winds likely near the thunderstorms. A cool front will
move south across the area tonight, bringing drier northerly air
and VFR conditions.
/16
&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Tuesday)
Issued at 103 PM CDT Mon Jun 19 2023

Looking at the big picture, an upper low organizes over Kentucky
today, then pushes south. A weakly organized surface low
associated with the upper low moves south from Tennessee to over
the Southeast Tuesday, with a cold front moving southeast across
the forecast area tonight through Tuesday. The soupy airmass over
the forecast area pushes south of the coast tonight into Tuesday,
with a significant downturn in rain chances for tonight and
Tuesday for land portion of the forecast area. Along and south of
the coast is another story, with the cold front stalling along or
just south of the coast.

For this afternoon, the area of showers and thunderstorms over
southern Baldwin and Mobile counties are expected to hang tough the
next few hours, with this area on the eastern end of a tongue of
MLCapes rising to around 4500J/kg, along with effective Bulk Wind
Shear values of 40-50kts. As the afternoon progresses and cloud
debris from this morning's convection moves off, am expecting
the airmass to destabilize forecast area-wide. Upper support has
moved off, though with wind shear value north of the coast in the 30-
40kts range, organized convection is possible. Add in DCapes in the
1000-1300J/kg range, damaging downbursts are likely. Steeper mid
level lapse rates have shifted south to along and south of the
coast, though small hail remains possible, especially with the
stronger storms. Tornadoes remain possible this afternoon,
especially near left-over boundaries from the convection earlier.
Water issues also remain possible, especially south of I-65.

Temperatures this afternoon are going to be governed by the cloud
cover and this afternoon's heating. Mid to upper 80s are expected
east of a Butler to Crestview line with cloud debris and rain
cooling from the this morning helping to limit heating, upper 80s
to mid 90s west. Tonight as the cooler and drier air moves south
across the area, upper 60s along and north of highway 84 are
expected. with around 70 to low 70s south. Tuesday, the drier
airmass and mostly sunny skies will allow temperatures to rise into
the around 90 to low 90s.

With a large tidal range and swell from the general southerly flow
on the coast, the risk of Rip Currents remains High through mid
week.
/16

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Flood Watch until 9 PM CDT this evening for ALZ056-059-060-
     261>266.

     High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday evening for ALZ265-266.

FL...Flood Watch until 9 PM CDT this evening for FLZ201>206.

     High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday evening for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 19, 2:11 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

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Local storm report, Jun 19, 2:13 PM CDT, 12 minutes before

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Local storm report, Jun 19, 2:14 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

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Local storm report, Jun 19, 2:17 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

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Local storm report, Jun 19, 2:22 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mobile AL
222 PM CDT Mon Jun 19 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     Flash Flood      1 W South Orchard       30.46N 88.17W
06/19/2023                   Mobile             AL   Dept of Highways

            Mobile Traffic reports several spots along
            Bellingrath Rd between Half Mile Rd and
            Deakle Rd ad covered by flood waters.

&&

JEH

Special weather statement, Jun 19, 2:25 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
225 PM CDT Mon Jun 19 2023

ALZ059-FLZ201-192015-
Escambia AL-Escambia Inland FL-
225 PM CDT Mon Jun 19 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of western Escambia and
north central Escambia Counties through 315 PM CDT...

At 225 PM CDT, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorm over I65 And CR 1, or 4 miles north of Atmore,
moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, McCullough, East Brewton, Pollard,
Riverview, I65 And CR 1, I65 And AL 21, Poarch Creek Reservation and
I65 And AL 113.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8759 3116 8761 3124 8706 3100 8704
      3100 8716 3098 8719
TIME...MOT...LOC 1925Z 265DEG 27KT 3108 8751

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Black

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 19, 2:06 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Choctaw	39 min
Jun 19, 2:51 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Choctaw	39 min
Jun 19, 3:09 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MOB	Choctaw	2 hr
Jun 19, 3:23 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Clarke, Wilcox	32 min
Jun 19, 3:47 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Wilcox	43 min
Jun 19, 4:19 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Butler	41 min
Jun 19, 4:41 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Butler, Conecuh	37 min
Jun 19, 4:49 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MOB	Crenshaw	41 min
Jun 19, 5:01 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Butler	14 min
Jun 19, 5:08 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Washington	52 min
Jun 19, 5:40 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Covington, Escambia	50 min
Jun 19, 6:07 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Covington	23 min
Jun 19, 6:39 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Escambia	66 min
Jun 19, 7:14 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Covington, Escambia	46 min
Jun 19, 8:00 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Covington	60 min
Jun 19, 8:24 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Mobile	66 min
Jun 19, 8:29 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		61 min
Jun 19, 8:34 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Mobile	56 min
Jun 19, 9:34 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Escambia	56 min
Jun 19, 9:39 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	MOB	Escambia	51 min
Jun 19, 10:37 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Covington	53 min
Jun 19, 10:52 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		83 min
Jun 19, 10:55 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		50 min
Jun 19, 11:57 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Baldwin	48 min
Jun 19, 12:02 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		58 min
Jun 19, 12:15 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		90 min
Jun 19, 12:18 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Mobile	57 min
Jun 19, 12:23 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MOB	Baldwin, Mobile	3 hr
Jun 19, 12:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Baldwin	52 min
Jun 19, 12:26 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MOB	Baldwin	49 min
Jun 19, 12:44 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		46 min
Jun 19, 12:58 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MOB	Baldwin	27 min
Jun 19, 1:10 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	MOB	Baldwin	17 min
Jun 19, 1:17 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		43 min
Jun 19, 1:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Mobile	55 min
Jun 19, 1:24 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Baldwin	66 min
Jun 19, 1:31 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Mobile	59 min
Jun 19, 1:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Mobile	63 min
Jun 19, 1:45 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		90 min
Jun 19, 2:05 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threat	MOB	Baldwin, Mobile	5 hr
Jun 19, 2:25 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MOB	Baldwin	3 hr
Jun 19, 2:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Butler, Crenshaw, Wilcox	63 min
Jun 19, 2:38 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		97 min
Jun 19, 2:43 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MOB	Baldwin, Mobile	5 hr
Jun 19, 2:44 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Mobile	46 min
Jun 19, 2:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Mobile	44 min
Jun 19, 3:02 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MOB	Wilcox	3 hr
Jun 19, 3:21 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MOB	Mobile	4 hr
Jun 19, 3:31 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning Considerable damage threat	MOB	Mobile	3 hr
Jun 19, 3:33 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Butler, Clarke, Conecuh, Monroe, Wilcox	57 min
Jun 19, 4:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Washington	59 min
Jun 19, 4:17 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		118 min
Jun 19, 4:25 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MOB	Clarke, Monroe, Wilcox	2 hr
Jun 19, 4:38 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Washington	52 min
Jun 19, 5:14 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		2 hr
Jun 19, 5:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Mobile	25 min
Jun 19, 6:01 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		47 min
Jun 19, 6:02 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Mobile	43 min
Jun 19, 6:57 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	MOB	Mobile	3 hr
Jun 19, 10:58 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Okaloosa	32 min
Jun 19, 11:33 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Okaloosa	27 min
Jun 19, 6:44 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Stone	61 min
Jun 19, 7:10 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Perry	65 min
Jun 19, 7:31 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	George, Stone	44 min
Jun 19, 5:43 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Greene	32 min
Jun 19, 5:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	George	29 min
Jun 19, 6:14 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Stone	46 min
Jun 19, 6:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	George, Perry, Stone	17 min
Jun 19, 6:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MOB	Stone	45 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Alabama, 2023 Every special weather statement in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.