Tornado Warning 44, NWS Memphis, TN

000 
WWUS54 KMEG 010122
SVSMEG

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
822 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

MSC033-010131-
/O.CAN.KMEG.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-230401T0145Z/
DeSoto MS-
822 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN DESOTO COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for northwestern
Mississippi...and west Tennessee. A Tornado Watch also remains in
effect until 100 AM CDT for northeastern Mississippi...and west
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3484 8969 3503 8972 3530 8925 3500 8909
TIME...MOT...LOC 0121Z 250DEG 47KT 3493 8959 

$$

MSC009-093-TNC047-069-157-010145-
/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-230401T0145Z/
Marshall MS-Benton MS-Fayette TN-Hardeman TN-Shelby TN-
822 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN MARSHALL...NORTHWESTERN BENTON...SOUTHERN FAYETTE...
SOUTHWESTERN HARDEMAN AND SOUTHEASTERN SHELBY COUNTIES...
    
At 821 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Mt Pleasant, or 10 miles southeast of Collierville,
moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado, golf ball size hail, and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Collierville, Somerville, Byhalia, Mt Pleasant, Lagrange, Michigan
City, Slayden, Macon, Piperton, Rossville, Moscow, Williston, Grand
Junction, La Grange, Coal Oil Corner, Cayce, Laconia, Elba, Early
Grove and Taska.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a storm shelter or an interior room on the
lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are
outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest
substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3484 8969 3503 8972 3530 8925 3500 8909
TIME...MOT...LOC 0121Z 250DEG 47KT 3493 8959 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

SMW

332 
WWUS54 KMEG 010130
SVSMEG

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
830 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

TNC157-010139-
/O.CAN.KMEG.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-230401T0145Z/
Shelby TN-
830 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SHELBY COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for northwestern
Mississippi...and west Tennessee. A Tornado Watch also remains in
effect until 100 AM CDT for northeastern Mississippi...and west
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3487 8956 3507 8963 3530 8925 3500 8909
TIME...MOT...LOC 0129Z 241DEG 50KT 3499 8946 

$$

MSC009-093-TNC047-069-010145-
/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-230401T0145Z/
Marshall MS-Benton MS-Fayette TN-Hardeman TN-
830 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT FOR NORTH
CENTRAL MARSHALL...NORTHWESTERN BENTON...SOUTHERN FAYETTE AND
SOUTHWESTERN HARDEMAN COUNTIES...
    
At 829 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Slayden, or 13 miles east of Collierville, moving
northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado, golf ball size hail, and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Somerville, Mt Pleasant, Lagrange, Michigan City, Slayden, Macon,
Piperton, Rossville, Moscow, Williston, Grand Junction, La Grange,
Laconia, Early Grove, Taska, Hays Crossing, Pattersonville, Forty
Five and Ghost River State Natural Area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a storm shelter or an interior room on the
lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are
outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest
substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3487 8956 3507 8963 3530 8925 3500 8909
TIME...MOT...LOC 0129Z 241DEG 50KT 3499 8946 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

SMW

151 
WWUS54 KMEG 010134
SVSMEG

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
834 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

MSC009-093-TNC047-069-010145-
/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-230401T0145Z/
Marshall MS-Benton MS-Fayette TN-Hardeman TN-
834 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT FOR NORTH
CENTRAL MARSHALL...NORTHWESTERN BENTON...SOUTHERN FAYETTE AND
SOUTHWESTERN HARDEMAN COUNTIES...
    
At 833 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located over Slayden, or 12 miles north of Holly Springs, moving east
at 45 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may 
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes 
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, 
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction 
         is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Somerville, Mt Pleasant, Lagrange, Michigan City, Slayden, Macon,
Piperton, Rossville, Moscow, Williston, Grand Junction, La Grange,
Laconia, Early Grove, Taska, Hays Crossing, Pattersonville, Forty
Five and Ghost River State Natural Area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a storm shelter or an interior room on the lowest floor of a
sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile
home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and
protect yourself from flying debris.

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3487 8956 3507 8963 3530 8925 3500 8909
TIME...MOT...LOC 0133Z 249DEG 41KT 3496 8943 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

SMW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
747 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...New MESOSCALE UPDATE...

.MESOSCALE UPDATE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...
Issued at 747 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

00Z Surface analysis places a cold front from Central Iowa back
through Northwest Arkansas and into Central Texas. Surface
dewpoints still remain high in the 60s across much of the Mid-
South. Latest mesoanalysis yields between 1000-1500 J/kg surface-
based CAPE, 0-1 km Storm Relative Helicity values generally
averaging between 300-500 m2/s2, and backing surface winds across
West Tennessee and Northwest Mississippi. Short-term trends still
indicate the environment remains favorable for supercells across
the Mid-South this evening with ample directional and speed shear,
and low LCLs. Consequently, Tornado Watch #94 which covers areas
generally along and west of the Mississippi River was extended
through 3Z. (10 PM CDT)

CJC

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 315 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

A Severe Weather Outbreak is imminent this afternoon and evening.
A rare High Risk has been issued for southwest portions of the
Mid-South including the Memphis, Tennessee and Oxford,
Mississippi metros, with a Moderate Risk across the rest of the
Memphis Forecast Area. Damaging winds and several tornadoes remain
the highest threats, including a couple of strong and long-
tracked tornadoes possible. Secondary threats include large hail
and heavy rainfall. The threat for severe weather will end within
a couple of hours after midnight with a brief reprieve from
severe weather for the weekend. Wet, warm, and unsettled weather
will move into the region on Monday and persist through much of
next week. Severe weather chances remain in play for the Tuesday
to Wednesday timeframe.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Thursday)
Issued at 315 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

A Severe Weather Outbreak is still on track for this afternoon
and evening across the Mid-South. Little Rock, Arkansas has
already had at least one strong and damaging tornado move through
their city. The cell that produced that tornado is on a northeast
track towards Cross and Poinsett Counties in eastern Arkansas and
may intensify as it moves into our area.

Severe weather ingredients remain healthy along and west of the
Mississippi River with a less unstable environment further east.
However, the airmass is still continuing to modify ahead of the
main trough and will likely become just as unstable over the next
couple of hours.

A secondary marine front was analyzed along a northwest
to southeast line from Jonesboro, Arkansas to Holly Springs,
Mississippi and back through Tupelo, Mississippi. Dewpoints are in
the mid to upper 60s south of the front with low 60 dewpoints
north of the front. The latest Mesoanalysis places 2000 J/kg
SBCAPE in our southwest counties with a gradient of 1000 J/kg near
Memphis and down to 500 J/kg near Paris, TN. Additionally, the
entire forecast area is already in a highly sheared environment.
Any storms that move into our area will have the opportunity to
rotate and produce tornadoes, large hail, and heavy rainfall.

Another round of storms will arrive this evening just ahead of a
cold front. The environment will likely be a little bit less
unstable, but more highly sheared. Damaging winds and tornadoes
remain the highest threats as it moves across the area. The storms
may congeal into a line of storms as they move into northeast
Mississippi later this evening. That threat would include damaging
winds and embedded tornadoes. The threat for severe weather
should end within a couple of hours after midnight.

High pressure will build into the region for Saturday and winds
will remain elevated. Sunday looks to be a nice day with
temperatures in the 70s and light winds and low humidity.

Wet, humid, and unsettled weather will set up across the region on
Monday and persist through at least late week. Dewpoints will
climb into the mid to upper 60s as temperatures climb into the
lower 80s early next week. There remains a risk for severe weather
Tuesday into the Wednesday timeframe.

AC3

&&

.AVIATION...(00Z TAFS) Issued at 620 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

A round of strong to severe thunderstorms is expected to impact
MEM and MKL over the next hour or two. Strong damaging wind is
possible along with brief IFR vis. Hail and a tornado at least in
the vicinity is also a possibility.

Before and after thunderstorms strong south to southwest gradient
wind is likely between 25 and 45mph with gusts to 45 mph. Winds
will shift west and then northwest behind a cold front later
tonight.

VFR conditions will prevail at all sites tomorrow along with
northwest wind 10-15kt.

30/Sirmon

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Wind Advisory until 1 AM CDT Saturday for ARZ009-018-026>028-035-
     036-048-049-058.

MO...Wind Advisory until 1 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ113-115.

MS...Wind Advisory until 1 AM CDT Saturday for MSZ001>017-020>024.

TN...Wind Advisory until 1 AM CDT Saturday for TNZ001>004-019>022-
     048>055-088>092.

&&

PUBLIC FORECAST...JDS
AVIATION...ARS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
637 PM CDT FRI MAR 31 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     TORNADO          3 S COVINGTON           35.52N 89.65W
03/31/2023                   TIPTON             TN   AMATEUR RADIO

            ROOF DAMAGE AND WINDOWS BLOWN OUT AT
            CHEVROLET DEALARSHIP ON HIGHWAY 51 SOUTH OF
            DOWNTOWN COVINGTON.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
642 PM CDT FRI MAR 31 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0628 PM     TORNADO          4W BROWNSVILLE          35.59N 89.25W
03/31/2023                   HAYWOOD            TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS TORNADO REPORT FROM
            BROWNSVILLE. A ROOF WAS BLOWN OFF A TRAILER
            ON PEPPER LANE IN BROWNSVILLE. SOME DEBRIS
            IS ON THE ROAD AND IN THE TREES.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
649 PM CDT FRI MAR 31 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     TORNADO          3 W BROWNSVILLE         35.59N 89.31W
03/31/2023                   HAYWOOD            TN   AMATEUR RADIO

            ONE CHURCH WAS DESTROYED AND SEVERAL HOMES
            WERE DAMAGED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF FULTON
            ROAD AND EVINS ROAD WEST OF BROWNSVILLE.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
707 PM CDT FRI MAR 31 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     TORNADO          COVINGTON               35.57N 89.65W
03/31/2023                   TIPTON             TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            THE COVINGTON HOSPITAL HAS BEEN DAMAGED WITH
            PATIENTS BEING REROUTED TO LAUDERDALE
            COUNTY.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
709 PM CDT FRI MAR 31 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0659 PM     TORNADO          2 E MARVELL             34.56N 90.88W
03/31/2023                   PHILLIPS           AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORT OF A TORNADO.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
759 PM CDT FRI MAR 31 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0754 PM     TORNADO          7 NE TUNICA             34.76N 90.29W
03/31/2023                   TUNICA             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORT OF DAMAGE ON ARKLABUTLA DAM ROAD IN
            TUNICA COUNTY.

&&