Severe Thunderstorm Warning 533, NWS Atlanta, GA

461 
WWUS52 KFFC 152253
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
653 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

GAC023-091-235-152315-
/O.CON.KFFC.SV.W.0533.000000T0000Z-230815T2315Z/
Dodge GA-Pulaski GA-Bleckley GA-
653 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN DODGE...CENTRAL PULASKI AND SOUTHWESTERN BLECKLEY
COUNTIES...

At 653 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Baileys Park,
or near Cochran, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Cochran, Eastman, Hawkinsville, Dubois, Gresston, Empire, Yonkers,
Mobley Crossing, Mock Springs, Roddy, Baileys Park, Wallace, Paulk,
Hartford, and Pulaski State Prison.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3220 8361 3232 8350 3239 8344 3241 8318
      3218 8316
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 270DEG 16KT 3230 8333 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

514 
WWUS52 KFFC 152303
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
703 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

GAC023-091-235-152315-
/O.CON.KFFC.SV.W.0533.000000T0000Z-230815T2315Z/
Dodge GA-Pulaski GA-Bleckley GA-
703 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN DODGE...CENTRAL PULASKI AND SOUTH CENTRAL BLECKLEY
COUNTIES...

At 703 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Dubois, or 7
miles southeast of Cochran, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Eastman, Hawkinsville, Dubois, Wallace, Gresston, Empire, Hartford,
Roddy, and Baileys Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3220 8356 3230 8343 3236 8331 3236 8318
      3218 8316
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 270DEG 16KT 3230 8327 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

207 
WWUS52 KFFC 152312
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
712 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

GAC023-091-235-152321-
/O.EXP.KFFC.SV.W.0533.000000T0000Z-230815T2315Z/
Dodge GA-Pulaski GA-Bleckley GA-
712 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN DODGE...CENTRAL
PULASKI AND SOUTH CENTRAL BLECKLEY COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 715 PM
EDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.  However, gusty winds and heavy rain are still
possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3220 8356 3230 8343 3236 8331 3236 8318
      3218 8316
TIME...MOT...LOC 2311Z 270DEG 16KT 3230 8324 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
316 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 305 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

The cold front continues to slowly drift through the CWA, firing
a couple lines of thunderstorms along the I20 corridor and
Northward. CAPE values >3000 J/Kg and DCAPEs >1100 have lead to a
few svr warnings already. That said, given the even juicier
environment (CAPE values ~5000 and DCAPE ~1500) across central GA,
greater thunderstorm coverage may also accompany a greater
damaging wind threat. Other hazards this afternoon will include
frequent lightning and locally heavy rainfall.

This evening and tonight, the front begins to stall across the
Southeastern CWA. PoPs will continue overnight along the boundary,
however drier and cooler conditions to the north will prevail
(yeah!). Lows tonight for much of North and parts of Central GA will
finally see those 60s we all have dreamed of. That said, PoPs may
surge slightly across the Southeast CWA tomorrow afternoon with the
seabreeze and diurnal heating. Overall though the rest of the area
should be cooler and dry.

SM

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday morning through next Monday)
Issued at 305 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

The long term continues to look fairly quiet with a couple of
cooler and pleasant days for the late week period followed by
rapidly warming conditions as the upper ridge builds. Previous
discussion follows for more detail...

RW

Previous LONG TERM...
Issued at 405 AM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

An amplified upper level pattern will be in place as the extended
period begins, with a persistent ridge over the western CONUS and
a longwave trough digging southward across the eastern CONUS. At
the surface, the frontal boundary from the short term period is
expected to be stalled from far southwest Georgia to east central
Georgia. A drier airmass will be in place in the areas behind the
front, with dewpoints in the low to mid 60s in north Georgia and
mid to upper 60s in central Georgia. Precipitable water values are
also anticipated to be below 1" behind the front as the period
begins on Wednesday night. After a cool start to the morning,
temperatures on Thursday will run near daily averages, with highs
in the upper 80s and low 90s. Not only will the limited low-level
moisture make it feel refreshing outside compared to the earlier
parts of the week, it will also inhibit instability, limiting the
chances for diurnally driven convection. In fact, precipitation
chances will be mainly confined to along and south of the frontal
boundary. At this time, slight chance to low-end chance PoPs are
confined to east-central Georgia on Thursday. However, some
uncertainty remains as to exactly where the front will stall -- if
it becomes stationary further north than currently anticipated,
warmer temperatures and higher humidity, and thus greater
thunderstorm chances, will also be expected further to the north.

On Friday, the trough over the eastern CONUS will begin to lift away
as the aforementioned ridge begins to build into the Southern Plains
from the west. Temperatures will undergo a gradual warming trend
through the end of the week, with highs rising into the low to mid
90s on Friday. The position of the ridge will does not appear
favorable for a return to the northwesterly upper level flow regime
and subsequent MCS development. Meanwhile, the development of a more
typical summertime Bermuda ridge is anticipated over the western
Atlantic on Friday into the weekend. This setup will favor hot and
humid conditions, with temperatures reaching into the mid 90s and
dewpoints ranging from the upper 60s to mid 70s, through the
weekend. It appears that thunderstorms that develop this weekend
will be of the diurnally-driven pulse convection nature, with the
best coverage likely in central Georgia where instability will be
greatest.

King

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 130 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

VFR areawide with TEMPOs moved up to account for earlier than
expected convection across North GA (18Z-22Z). Further amend might
be needed with rear development. Winds may become gusty,
particularly around thunderstorms. W-WSW winds will continue to turn
to NW through the afternoon hours behind front. VSBYs at MCN may
drop tonight as front stalls to the SE.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence rear PoPs and motion of cold front. High
confidence all other elements.

SM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          65  86  65  88 /  10   0   0   0
Atlanta         65  85  66  88 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     57  80  60  82 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    61  84  61  86 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        70  89  68  92 /  30   0  10  10
Gainesville     63  84  65  86 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           70  89  69  91 /  60  10  20  10
Rome            63  85  63  88 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  63  85  63  88 /  10   0   0   0
Vidalia         73  88  73  91 /  60  50  50  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for GAZ038-039-049>051-
058>062-069>076-078>086-089>098-102>113.

&&

SHORT TERM...SM
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...SM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1148 AM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-161600-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1148 AM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

A Heat Advisory is in effect from 10 AM until 8 PM EDT for
portions of central and east Georgia. Heat index values of up to
106 degrees are expected. Appropriate precautions should be taken
to avoid heat related illnesses, including but not limited to
drinking plenty of fluids, using air-conditioning when possible,
staying out of the sun, and checking up on relatives and
neighbors.

Numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into
tonight as a cold front advances through north and central
Georgia. A few storms associated with this system may become
strong, capable of producing gusty winds, frequent lightning, and
locally heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible primarily in
central Georgia each afternoon and evening from Wednesday through
Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
559 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0534 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 SSE Lyneville         33.61N 82.92W
08/15/2023                   Taliaferro         GA   Public

            5 to 6 trees down with power lines down at
            SR 22 E and Springfield Road (MM 13.04).

&&

KAL

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
606 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0433 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 WNW Shoulderbone      33.35N 83.11W
08/15/2023                   Hancock            GA   Dept of Highways

            Tree down at SR 16 and Glen Spring Rd.

&&

KAL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
608 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

GAZ096-097-109-152245-
Laurens GA-Bleckley GA-Dodge GA-
608 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern
Laurens, north central Dodge and east central Bleckley Counties
through 645 PM EDT...

At 607 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Rowland, or 9 miles
northeast of Cochran, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, up to penny sized hail and frequent
         cloud to ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Chester, Dexter, Dudley, Rentz, Montrose, Harlow, Yonkers, Goldsboro,
Rebie, and Rowland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3233 8323 3246 8331 3262 8303 3241 8291
TIME...MOT...LOC 2207Z 244DEG 15KT 3244 8321

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

SM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
609 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

GAZ095-105-107-152245-
Dooly GA-Houston GA-Pulaski GA-
609 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Pulaski,
northeastern Dooly and southeastern Houston Counties through 645 PM
EDT...

At 609 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Pinehurst, or 7 miles
northeast of Vienna, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Hawkinsville, Unadilla, Pinehurst, Browndale, Wallace, Ocmulgee
Public Fishing Area, Mobley Crossing, Hartford, Mock Springs, Pulaski
State Prison, and Klondike.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3207 8368 3218 8380 3243 8353 3227 8335
      3225 8337 3212 8360 3212 8361 3211 8361
TIME...MOT...LOC 2209Z 232DEG 16KT 3217 8369

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
611 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0446 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 NNW Reese             33.38N 82.60W
08/15/2023                   Warren             GA   911 Call Center

            Tree down at Ricketson Road and Ranger Road.

&&

KAL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
611 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

GAZ076-085-086-097-098-113-152245-
Toombs GA-Jefferson GA-Emanuel GA-Treutlen GA-Johnson GA-Laurens GA-
611 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern
Laurens, northeastern Toombs, Emanuel, northeastern Treutlen, eastern
Johnson and south central Jefferson Counties through 645 PM EDT...

At 610 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Kite, or 11 miles
northwest of Swainsboro, moving southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Swainsboro, Wadley, Twin City, Adrian, Stillmore, Oak Park, Garfield,
Summertown, Nunez, Kite, Covena, Modoc, Canoochee, Norristown,
Dellwood, George L Smith State Park, Gillis Springs, Blundale, Three
Points, and Norristown Junction.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3254 8203 3256 8208 3252 8215 3248 8218
      3242 8219 3235 8225 3235 8224 3216 8218
      3233 8242 3235 8241 3235 8244 3259 8278
      3291 8239 3285 8231 3283 8231 3283 8228
      3261 8200
TIME...MOT...LOC 2210Z 305DEG 38KT 3269 8249

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SM