Severe Thunderstorm Warning 524, NWS Atlanta, GA

947 
WWUS52 KFFC 152019
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
419 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

GAC217-152029-
/O.CAN.KFFC.SV.W.0524.000000T0000Z-230815T2030Z/
Newton GA-
419 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL NEWTON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3327 8303 3332 8373 3333 8373 3346 8366
      3363 8352 3368 8304
TIME...MOT...LOC 2019Z 268DEG 36KT 3352 8311 

$$

GAC133-141-159-211-237-152030-
/O.CON.KFFC.SV.W.0524.000000T0000Z-230815T2030Z/
Morgan GA-Putnam GA-Hancock GA-Greene GA-Jasper GA-
419 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN MORGAN...PUTNAM...NORTHWESTERN HANCOCK...GREENE AND
NORTHEASTERN JASPER COUNTIES...

At 419 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Veazey, or near
Greensboro, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Eatonton, Madison, Greensboro, Monticello, Union Point, Woodville,
White Plains, Siloam, Shady Dale, Buckhead, Phoenix, Reynolds at Lake
Oconee, Liberty, Veazey, Greshamville, Central Georgia Experiment
Stn, Parks Mill, Swords, Shoulderbone, and Harmony.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3327 8303 3332 8373 3333 8373 3346 8366
      3363 8352 3368 8304
TIME...MOT...LOC 2019Z 268DEG 36KT 3352 8311 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
316 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 305 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

The cold front continues to slowly drift through the CWA, firing
a couple lines of thunderstorms along the I20 corridor and
Northward. CAPE values >3000 J/Kg and DCAPEs >1100 have lead to a
few svr warnings already. That said, given the even juicier
environment (CAPE values ~5000 and DCAPE ~1500) across central GA,
greater thunderstorm coverage may also accompany a greater
damaging wind threat. Other hazards this afternoon will include
frequent lightning and locally heavy rainfall.

This evening and tonight, the front begins to stall across the
Southeastern CWA. PoPs will continue overnight along the boundary,
however drier and cooler conditions to the north will prevail
(yeah!). Lows tonight for much of North and parts of Central GA will
finally see those 60s we all have dreamed of. That said, PoPs may
surge slightly across the Southeast CWA tomorrow afternoon with the
seabreeze and diurnal heating. Overall though the rest of the area
should be cooler and dry.

SM

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday morning through next Monday)
Issued at 305 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

The long term continues to look fairly quiet with a couple of
cooler and pleasant days for the late week period followed by
rapidly warming conditions as the upper ridge builds. Previous
discussion follows for more detail...

RW

Previous LONG TERM...
Issued at 405 AM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

An amplified upper level pattern will be in place as the extended
period begins, with a persistent ridge over the western CONUS and
a longwave trough digging southward across the eastern CONUS. At
the surface, the frontal boundary from the short term period is
expected to be stalled from far southwest Georgia to east central
Georgia. A drier airmass will be in place in the areas behind the
front, with dewpoints in the low to mid 60s in north Georgia and
mid to upper 60s in central Georgia. Precipitable water values are
also anticipated to be below 1" behind the front as the period
begins on Wednesday night. After a cool start to the morning,
temperatures on Thursday will run near daily averages, with highs
in the upper 80s and low 90s. Not only will the limited low-level
moisture make it feel refreshing outside compared to the earlier
parts of the week, it will also inhibit instability, limiting the
chances for diurnally driven convection. In fact, precipitation
chances will be mainly confined to along and south of the frontal
boundary. At this time, slight chance to low-end chance PoPs are
confined to east-central Georgia on Thursday. However, some
uncertainty remains as to exactly where the front will stall -- if
it becomes stationary further north than currently anticipated,
warmer temperatures and higher humidity, and thus greater
thunderstorm chances, will also be expected further to the north.

On Friday, the trough over the eastern CONUS will begin to lift away
as the aforementioned ridge begins to build into the Southern Plains
from the west. Temperatures will undergo a gradual warming trend
through the end of the week, with highs rising into the low to mid
90s on Friday. The position of the ridge will does not appear
favorable for a return to the northwesterly upper level flow regime
and subsequent MCS development. Meanwhile, the development of a more
typical summertime Bermuda ridge is anticipated over the western
Atlantic on Friday into the weekend. This setup will favor hot and
humid conditions, with temperatures reaching into the mid 90s and
dewpoints ranging from the upper 60s to mid 70s, through the
weekend. It appears that thunderstorms that develop this weekend
will be of the diurnally-driven pulse convection nature, with the
best coverage likely in central Georgia where instability will be
greatest.

King

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 130 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

VFR areawide with TEMPOs moved up to account for earlier than
expected convection across North GA (18Z-22Z). Further amend might
be needed with rear development. Winds may become gusty,
particularly around thunderstorms. W-WSW winds will continue to turn
to NW through the afternoon hours behind front. VSBYs at MCN may
drop tonight as front stalls to the SE.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence rear PoPs and motion of cold front. High
confidence all other elements.

SM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          65  86  65  88 /  10   0   0   0
Atlanta         65  85  66  88 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     57  80  60  82 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    61  84  61  86 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        70  89  68  92 /  30   0  10  10
Gainesville     63  84  65  86 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           70  89  69  91 /  60  10  20  10
Rome            63  85  63  88 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  63  85  63  88 /  10   0   0   0
Vidalia         73  88  73  91 /  60  50  50  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for GAZ038-039-049>051-
058>062-069>076-078>086-089>098-102>113.

&&

SHORT TERM...SM
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...SM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1148 AM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-161600-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1148 AM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

A Heat Advisory is in effect from 10 AM until 8 PM EDT for
portions of central and east Georgia. Heat index values of up to
106 degrees are expected. Appropriate precautions should be taken
to avoid heat related illnesses, including but not limited to
drinking plenty of fluids, using air-conditioning when possible,
staying out of the sun, and checking up on relatives and
neighbors.

Numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into
tonight as a cold front advances through north and central
Georgia. A few storms associated with this system may become
strong, capable of producing gusty winds, frequent lightning, and
locally heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible primarily in
central Georgia each afternoon and evening from Wednesday through
Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
330 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 NW Stockbridge        33.55N 84.25W
08/15/2023                   Henry              GA   Emergency Mngr

            Apartment at Villa 52 Apartments on N Henry
            Blvd on fire due to lightning strike.

&&

KAL

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
335 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0239 PM     Lightning        2 E Sandy Creek         33.51N 84.53W
08/15/2023                   Fayette            GA   Emergency Mngr

            Lightning struck tree which fell on
            powerlines at Lees Lake Rd and Buckeye Rd.

&&

KAL

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
338 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0301 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 N Starrs Mill         33.36N 84.51W
08/15/2023                   Fayette            GA   Emergency Mngr

            Tree down with powerlines blocking roadway
            on Carrolls Way west of Darren Drive.

&&

KAL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
339 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

GAZ039-051-062-152015-
Taliaferro GA-Wilkes GA-Warren GA-
339 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Warren,
southeastern Taliaferro and southeastern Wilkes Counties through 415
PM EDT...

At 339 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Sharon, or 7 miles east
of Crawfordville, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Norwood, Sharon, Camak, Cadley, Barnett, Mesena, Raytown, and Sandy
Cross.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3365 8249 3363 8257 3364 8258 3363 8261
      3363 8262 3361 8262 3361 8265 3346 8259
      3341 8255 3345 8288 3363 8285 3365 8258
      3364 8248
TIME...MOT...LOC 1939Z 275DEG 32KT 3353 8277

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
341 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

GAZ086-098-152015-
Emanuel GA-Treutlen GA-
341 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of south central
Emanuel and northeastern Treutlen Counties through 415 PM EDT...

At 341 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Gillis Springs, or near
Soperton, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Soperton, Oak Park, Nunez, Covena, Zaidee, and Gillis Springs.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8231 3232 8237 3234 8238 3234 8239
      3235 8241 3235 8246 3238 8260 3249 8259
      3251 8230
TIME...MOT...LOC 1941Z 275DEG 23KT 3243 8252

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
350 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0314 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SSE Lovejoy           33.42N 84.31W
08/15/2023                   Henry              GA   911 Call Center

            Tree down at intersection of West James Cir
            and HWY 81.

&&

KAL